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I am projecting that the US govt is near insolvent and that we will be facing a new Bretton Woods currency agreement bringing gold back into the monetary system in combination with a sudden fiat currency devaluation (across the board-most currencies) against gold over a long weekend or an outright sovereign debt panic by 2020-2025. The least expected outcome double digit inflation is very likely sometime in the future. The Fed PRO-POVERTY policies are going to crush the poor, fixed pensioners and lower middle class since disposable income growth is limited. Beware middle class and retirees your purchasing power will drop dramatically when everyday necessities absorb a larger % of your income. To spread the word to the brainwashed American drones that this economy is one big illusion ponzi scheme and you are infact broke. Issuing more debt to solve a debt problem is crazy. I am accepting nominations for those that played a major positive and major negative impact on our economy. Inductees: The Hammer Hall of Fame Bill Black Brooksley Born David Walker Ron Paul Robert Rodriguez Peter Schiff David Stockman Janet Tavakoli John Bogle Elizabeth Warren Steve Wynn ============================== The Hammer Hall of Shame Ben MadMan Bernanke Lloyd Blankfein Bush II Jamie Diamond Shaun Donovan Barney Fwank Dick Fuld Alan "The Maestro" Greenspan Tim Geithner Paul king Krugman David Lereah Angelo Mozillo Obama The NAHB The NAR Henry Paulsen Nancy Pelosi Charles Prince Franklin Raines Robert Rubin David Stephens Larry Summers Bob Toll Maxine Waters Lawrence Yun
At Activist Stocks we use hedge funds and activist investors to find actionable investing ideas. That is, stocks with catalysts to unlock and generate shareholder value. Activist Stocks also offers a catalyst and event-driven idea forum for investors looking for unique idea generation, Catalyst-Driven Small-Caps, where I share daily activist and turnaround insights and deep dives.
I am a Level III candidate in the CFA program. I have passed the Level I exam in June 2014 and the Level II exam in June 2015.
Outside of my interest in investing and stock analysis (which I currently do in my free time,) I am an IT project manager for a large multi-national firm. With my background in technology I have particular interest and stronger circle of competence in tech stocks, although I venture from this domain to certain other industries as well where I feel the businesses are simple and understandable or where I have particular first hand knowledge.
I consider myself a value investing enthusiast, following a bottom up fundamental analysis style approach. My value investing approach is quite simple - I look to "figure out the value of something, and pay a lot less".
I do not consider Growth and Value stocks as mutually exclusive, and in fact my favorite investments are:
small cap companies with good long term growth prospects,
strong business fundamentals
low financial leverage,
trading at an attractive valuation, and with some sort of short term difficulties that have caused the market perception to be negative in the short term.
To value companies I use a variety of techniques, sometimes heavily favoring traditional value metrics like P/B, and also I like good business (ROIC, ROE) trading at attractive multiples against EBITDA. I do discounted cash flow analysis where appropriate, and in some cases favor heavily on comparative valuation.
Lorenzo De Plano is an active trader/investor in both tech-based and large value oriented positions. Lorenzo De Plano is the founder of DPGW, which is a Venture Centric Sales and Marketing Firm that specializes in absorbing stakes in companies in exchange for equity positions.
James Altucher was the managing director of Formula Capital, an asset management firm and fund of hedge funds. He's written five books on investing: Trade Like a Hedge Fund, Trade Like Warren Buffett, SuperCash, The Forever Portfolio, and his latest book, The Choose Yourself Guide To Wealth. He currently writes at Jamesaltucher.com and has released a newsletter, The Altucher Report.
Mr. Altucher is the founder of Stockpickr.com, a social network for finance that had millions of unique visitors per month when it was sold to TheStreet.com in 2007. He has written over 200 columns for The Financial Times and has written for TheStreet.com, Forbes, Yahoo Finance, Fidelity.com, and other publications. He was also the founder of a web services firm, Reset Inc, which he sold in 1998, at which time he became a partner at VC firm, 212 Ventures/Investcorp. Mr. Altucher regularly appears on CNBC, Fox News, Fox Business, and CNN Radio, and is also in his spare time a nationally ranked chess master. Mr. Altucher received his BA at Cornell University and attended graduate school for computer science at Carnegie Mellon University.
You can follow him on twitter @jaltucher.
Value investor seeking investment opportunities in which I can exploit my durable competitive advatanages of both a small capital base and patient long-term investment discipline. From a strategy perspective, I primarily seek out the rare situations where there is a positive expected value to an explicit near-term catalyst and the odds of realizing that value are generous in my favor. By taking advantage of these pricing inefficiencies, I believe I can compound wealth at an above-average rate over a long period of time, while incurring a below-average probability of permanent capital loss.
Or perhaps it's just better to say I look for 50-cent dollar bills.
Tools and Business Reviews to help you find only GREAT stocks: those with rising, recurring revenues and durable competitive advantages. Learn more about our low cost, high value membership today!
The Rational Walk was created to provide a platform to publish equity research based on value investing principles. We believe that diligent and thorough security analysis has the potential to identify opportunities in the financial markets for the small number of investors who truly have long time horizons and the appropriate temperament to ignore short term market fluctuations. The Rational Walk’s extensive coverage of Berkshire Hathaway has been mentioned in several news articles.
Whitney Tilson is the founder and Managing Partner of Kase Capital Management, which manages three value-oriented hedge funds. Mr. Tilson is also the co-founder of Value Investor Insight, an investment newsletter.
Mr. Tilson has co-authored two books, The Art of Value Investing: How the World's Best Investors Beat the Market (2013) and More Mortgage Meltdown: 6 Ways to Profit in These Bad Times (2009), was one of the authors of Poor Charlie’s Almanack, the definitive book on Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, and has written for Forbes, the Financial Times, Kiplinger’s, the Motley Fool and TheStreet.com. He was featured in two 60 Minutes segments in December 2008 about the housing crisis (which won an Emmy) and in March 2015 about Lumber Liquidators. He served for two years on the Board of Directors of Cutter & Buck, which designs and markets upscale sportswear, until the company was sold in early 2007.
Mr. Tilson received an MBA with High Distinction from the Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar (top 5% of class), and graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College, with a bachelor’s degree in Government.
Mr. Tilson spent much of his childhood in Tanzania and Nicaragua (his parents are both educators, were among the first couples to meet and marry in the Peace Corps, and have retired in Kenya). Consequently, Mr. Tilson is involved with a number of charities focused on education reform and Africa. For his philanthropic work, he received the 2008 John C. Whitehead Social Enterprise Award from the Harvard Business School Club of Greater New York. He is a member and past Chairman of the Manhattan chapter of the Young Presidents’ Organization. Mr. Tilson lives in Manhattan with his wife and three teenage daughters.
Mariusz Skonieczny is the founder and president of Classic Value Investors, He is also the author of several books on investing including Why Are We So Clueless about the Stock Market, The Basics of Understanding Financial Statements, Due Diligence: How to Research a Stock, 100 Ways to Find Investment Ideas, Investment Wisdom and Gold Production from Beginning to End.
Variant View Research and/or its affiliates actively manage trading accounts and may take positions in securities mentioned in its publications or the derivatives of those securities. Variant View Research and/or its affiliates may change its positions at any time without disclosure. We have a financial interest via our securities positions, but we do not receive direct monetary compensation for writing or publishing articles.
Information and opinions provided in our publications are compiled from or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable, however no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness. In the event that we receive conflicting information subsequent to publication, we may not necessarily disclose such information or update our publications.
Our publications are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Investing in securities involves a high degree of risk, and investment activity should only be undertaken after consulting a professional investment adviser.
Andrew Left's Citron Research (http://www.citronresearch.com/) (formally known as Stocklemon.com) seeks to expose companies whose management is in some way misleading investors. Left digs into SEC filings, financials, management histories and other data to uncover such situations, and he is usually short the stocks he writes about. Mr. Left has been publishing for 7 years and has created a track record that is unrivaled in short selling. Mr. Left has been cited in Barron's, Wall St Journal, CNBC and other major publications repeatedly for his work. Mr. Left was also an invited speaker at the reknown Master Investor Conference.
Visit: Citron Research (http://www.citronresearch.com/)
Jason Merriam is former publisher and editor of the Merriam Report providing innovative financial analysis based on dual cash-flow, accruals and capital productivity methodologies. An active investor for 35 years, he is also founder and president of Merriam Investor Services since 1990. MIS offers portfolio analysis and investment research services to institutional and retail investor clients. Prior to MIS, Jason was managing partner for Beach and Sea Group, a San Diego based investment LP. Merriam studied corporate finance and accounting with Robert J. Westervelt, retired senior VP of Finance at Warner Lambert and Pfizer. As Mr. Westervelt's intern, Jason assisted and was responsible for financial statement analysis, evaluation of earnings-quality, credit/liquidity/dividend assessment, etc. This opportunity allowed Jason to advance his research of the novel dual cash-flow methodology (based on the pioneering work of Harry Ernst and Jeffrey Fotta in the 1990's). Jason has 22 years experience in active portfolio management and asset allocation. Media appearances include: CNBC, MarketWatch, New York Times and San Diego Union Tribune. Visit his blog: www.merriamreport.blogspot.com
According to Greek mythology, Glaucus, a god of the sea blessed with the power of prophecy, frequently came to the rescue of distressed sailors and fisherman. We founded Glaucus Research Group California LLC (a California Limited Liability Company) to help capital markets investors navigate treacherous financial waters in search of great investment opportunities.
Ian worked for Kerrisdale, a New York activist hedge fund, for three years, before moving to Latin America to pursue entrepreneurial opportunities there. His Ian's Insider Corner service provides live chat, model portfolios, full access and updates to his "IMF" portfolio, along with a weekly newsletter which expands on these topics.
Ian is also an associate analyst for Value Investor's Edge. VIE is a top-ranked deep value research service featuring exclusive work from J Mintzmyer, James Catlin, and Ian Bezek.
Gary Weiss is an investigative reporter and freelance writer. He is the author of three books, including AYN RAND NATION: The Hidden Struggle for America's Soul, to be published by St. Martin's Press on February 28, 2011. He was an investigative reporter for BusinessWeek magazine for many years, and was a contributing editor for Conde Nast Portfolio. He is a regular weekly columnist for TheStreet.com and Salon.
Follow him on Twitter: https://twitter.com/gary_weiss, and check out his author page, http://gary-weiss.com.
Elsewhere on the web:
Gary can speak on a wide variety of topics, from investment fraud to the influence of Ayn Rand on American politics and culture. For more details and speaking topics, email him or log on to http://www.macmillanspeakers.com/garyweiss
Prescience Investment Group is a research-driven, performance-oriented investment firm. Prescience manages a private investment fund on behalf of its clients and principals with the objective of generating superior absolute investment returns over the full cycle of market and economic conditions.
We specialize in extensive, investigative research on difficult-to-analyze or obscure public companies in order to develop unique insights and identify singular investment opportunities. We seek out abnormally large disparities between what businesses are intrinsically worth and what they sell for and invest accordingly, long and short.
Copperfield Research is the pseudonym of a research team focusing on publicly traded equities. As of the publication date of our articles, we may have long or short equity positions in the companies covered. We do not discuss unpublished reports, or provide any advanced warning of future reports to others. Due to the danger of retaliation, our reports are written under a pseudonym. Please read our Disclaimer on the front page of every opinion piece before reading any of the material.
Joe Ponzio learned investing the hard way. He was burned by an adviser, losing 80% on his investments and even more when the adviser stole money and skipped the country. He went to work for two of Wall Street's largest firms where he learned everything but investing. Self-educated in business and investing, Joe went on to form Ponzio Capital, an independent firm focused on value investing.
Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and Co-Founder and General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his original thesis. His blog features his various ideas and general commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain's NY and others. He has also appeared on Fox Business News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. Visit his sites: ValuePlays (http://valueplays.net/) , Rand Strategic Partners (http://randstrategicpartners.com)
Todd Kenyon PhD CFA has been working as an analyst and portfolio manager for nearly 20 years, and currently presides over a long-only asset management firm, which he founded in 2006. He specializes in uncovering value and exploiting behavioral inefficiencies in the market, typically with a long-term perspective. He previously served nine years as portfolio manager and equity analyst for a boutique firm with over $700 million under management, $150M of which Todd managed. He received his CFA charter in 2001. Todd has a doctorate and a master's degree in marine biology from the University of Miami, and received his bachelor's degree with a double major in mechanical engineering and biology from Bucknell University.