I have been investing in stocks for over 20 years. Lot of failures during those years. I have been succesful investor for the last few years. I am a Graham & Dod style investor and avid reader of the stock Market. I am an Engineer working in the Auto Industry for the last 20 years.
Adam Stauffer joined Offshore Investment Advisor in July 2010 as Chief Investment Officer. Prior to OIA, Adam was a market-maker at Lehman Brothers and Barclays Capital in Manhattan where he was responsible for trading all US-listed ETFs, including US and foreign equity, fixed income, commodity and FX. His extensive expertise in ETFs makes him uniquely qualified to design client portfolios and avoid the pitfalls sometimes associated with investing in ETFs.
Earlier in his career, Adam was a Marketing Manager at Advent Software, a leading investment management software company, where he specialized in hedge fund, prime broker and fund administrator technology solutions.
Adam is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and earned his MBA from The Wharton School of Business, University of Pennsylvania and BA from Trinity College. He is proficient in Visual Basic and uses computer programming extensively in his research and model development.
Before moving to the British Virgin Islands, Adam enjoyed a yearlong sabbatical from Wall Street sailing the Windward and Leeward Islands of the Caribbean. Born and raised in San Francisco, Adam is a diehard 49ers football fan.
Going to school for a degree in Finance.
I enjoying learning about investing, and have a passion for knowledge and life, and literature and the collected thoughts and wisdom of others.
Helping people understand their financial choices in life and how it impacts their future is one of my main driving forces within my own life and a major goal to improve upon.
This is a pseudonym. Individual investor. Started my career in structured finance, moved into corporate debt, and now equities.
Former CFA charterholder. I'm too cheap to pay hundreds in fees every year - already paid too much for that fancy MBA degree. Plus I have no stable income.
But I have the dream job. I sit at home and philosophize about the world, play armchair CEO and make money.
I am a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) (prior FL; current NJ and NY license) and a Certified Financial Planner (CFP). I have also been a member of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA) for 18 years (CFF as well). My current title is partner at a national accounting firm. I have audit, tax, and consulting experience with entities in the following sectors: closed-end funds, energy, financials, healthcare, homebuilders, pharmaceuticals, private equity, REITs, and telecoms. I've also have experience with C-corps., estates, high net worth individuals, LLCs, LLPs, S-corps., and trusts. I am an active investor. My investing fundamentals are based on both qualitative and quantitative information. By using my financial / analytical skills, I create specific investing ideas / strategies based on valuations and total returns. The two main sectors I currently provide articles on are mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs) and business development companies (BDCs).
Winner of the Summer 2017 PRO Promotion
Previous Projection Articles' Performance vs. Actual Results:
# of Projections Stated Within All Articles: 257
# of Projections PENDING: 0
# of Projections 100% Accurate or Within Range: 239
# of Projections Inaccurate or Outside of Range: 18
Projection “Within Range” Success Rate: 239 / 257 = 93.0%
For a detailed list of every projection I've made at Seeking Alpha (vs. actual results), please send me a personal message ("pm") through the inbox feature (too long to list here).
Disclaimer: I cannot own and will not give an opinion on any investments my current employer has any direct or indirect professional services with (accounting, audit, tax, consulting, etc.). As such, most large-cap stocks are "off the table" regarding my articles. All accounting insight, analysis, and opinions stated within any articles I write (in regards to a specified stock) are entirely from my own personal research and analysis. I believe my articles are both informative and in some cases educational.
NOTE: A growing number of readers/investors, analysts, and representatives of firms have requested to be provided with my "spreadsheets/models" to help better understand certain companies/sectors. My researched data is several files of 100+ spreadsheets/models containing both stocks I write about on S.A. and stocks I choose to not write about on S.A. To reduce the repeated requests to provide such data, these spreadsheets/models are ALL linked together. As such, all current and future requests to "share" ALL my data/models will be politely declined. Thanks for your understanding regarding this matter.
I appreciate my loyal readers and I’ll continue to try to provide high quality, in-depth articles.
Below are the stocks I currently cover (as of May 2018):
Stocks Covered (21 mREITs; 14 BDCs; 8 Other Sectors): ACSF, AGNC, AINV, AI, ANH, ARCC, ARR, BMNM, BXMT (New), CHMI, CMO, CYS, DX, EFC, FSIC, GAIN (New), GBDC, GPMT (New), IVR, MAIN, MCC, MFA, MITT, MO, MTGE, NEWT, NLY, NRZ, NVS, NYMT, OCSI (formerly FSFR), OCSL (formerly FSC), ORC, PHM, PMT, PSEC, PM, SLRC, TCPC (New) TOL, TRP, TWO, and WMC.
Commonly Asked Questions:
Question 1): If you are only paid per article, why make your articles so long / detailed?
- I like to provide the “nuts and bolts” of a company. As such, I strive for my articles to have some sort of “hard to obtain” facts / figures. From this data, I like to fully discuss / analyze specific topics within a particular stock. This mainly consists of a quarterly projection article and a series of articles on a company’s dividend sustainability. In certain instances, I also write articles in regards to specific, material events that occur during a quarter.
- I believe a company’s quarterly results and upcoming dividend declarations are two of the most important topics readers are requesting information on. My analysis takes the “average” article several steps further to allow readers to have access to information that is rare to public viewership.
Question 2): How come you only write 1-2 articles a week (would like to see more)?
- As stated in my profile above, I have a full-time professional career. I write / analyze stocks in my free time. To provide these types of high quality / in-depth articles, I can’t see writing more than 2 articles a week. I believe “quality” should always be a higher priority versus “quantity”.
- As many readers should know by now (if you’ve followed me for a while), I not here for the monetary rewards. If that was the case, I’d write 5+ weekly articles and provide little to no engagement in each article’s comment section. I believe the comments section is as important as the article themselves b/c readers have a wide range of questions in relation to each article or the sector in general.
Question 3): What do you personally gain from writing these articles?
- I am not here trying to promote a company, book, or website. There’s nothing wrong with that. That’s just not what I’m about. I’m here for the “average Joe”.
- When I decided to write these articles, I based it on the notion I am filling a “special niche” per se. Using skills that have been built up over my professional career, my articles usually provide unique information that most writers either a) don’t have the technical expertise to provide or b) don’t bother providing due to the time it takes to compile such data. As such, I believe the S.A. community benefits from my articles. I solely do this b/c it’s a passion of mine and I like helping readers have accurate, reliable data that is not readily available. Yes, I understand this may seem “hard to believe” in this day and age.
Question 4): How come you do not write about more stocks?
- To give readers the level of detail that I provide in my articles, I amass large amounts of data every quarter (or even weekly). As a direct result, a large amount of time is consumed by obtaining / analyzing this data.
- If I expanded the stocks I research, it would most likely take away the quality of other articles I currently am writing about. Again, this gets back to the “quality vs. quantity” metric.
- There is a fairly large range of stocks / investment vehicles I cannot write about / provide an opinion on due to various conflicts of interests (regarding my professional career). This is a topic I take VERY seriously.
My name is Payman Winborn. Upon graduation from college in 1999 I founded a company that distributed computer hardware. Although this was a profitable business, I did not want to focus all my resources on one avenue of success, so I looked to diversify my interests. I explored real estate and finance as possible alternative businesses and discovered an interest and passion in futures trading. This is what I ultimately choose as a second source of income.
Initially, I imagined that day trading would be the ideal profession: no customers or staff, no inventory or rent and the possibility of unlimited income. And, more importantly, it presented me with the opportunity to work anywhere....from the privacy of my home or from the balcony of a hotel room overlooking the Pacific Ocean.
Unfortunately, I knew little about the pitfalls of day trading for a living. To begin with, I spent countless hours reading books, studying charts and conducting research in an effort to become a profitable trader. Six years later, and after the loss of several hundred thousand dollars, my efforts finally resulted in the development of a highly profitable strategy.
This strategy is primarily based on technical analysis and was developed for ES E-Mini S&P 500 Futures contracts from CME Group but it also works in many other financial instruments such as Stocks (NYSE), Bonds, Currencies(Forex Spot), Commodities (Gold and Crude Oil From CME GROUP,Globex,NYMEX, CBOT,Brent Crud Oil From ICE Global Markets), Options, Global Indices and CFD’s with similar high accuracy.
In retrospect, I understand that the biggest barrier to my success was the fact that I tried to learn everything by myself. An experienced mentor could have helped me avoid that painful learning experience....and saved me a significant amount of money as well as many years of frustration.
Today I am an active, and profitable, trader. As a token of appreciation for my success, I now share my tools and experience with other day traders. I believe that my knowledge and skill can help others become successful traders and, in the summer of 2010, I began to publish my realtime market signals and daily results online in order to demonstrate the accuracy of my trading strategy.
Work in the shipping industry. Markets are my passion and hobby.
Black swans are often considered bad, but they can be good as well. -Me
Tis better to be silent and be thought a fool, than to speak and remove all doubt. -Abraham Lincoln (1809-1865)
Markets are never wrong - opinions often are. -Jesse Livermore
The psychology of hope and earnings growth can stay irrational much longer than you or I can remain solvent.