Since 1978 have experienced and studied many market cycles in bonds, stocks, options, etc. Tend to question herd thinking, some might call me a contrarian. A big mistake made when young (1970’s) by avoiding bonds and investing in risky stocks. It was a great lesson in risk management. Seek long-term strategic trends while keeping an eye open for short-term tactical opportunities. Pay close attention to cash-flow statement, balance sheet and the allocation of capital. Warning flags go up when board of directors allocate owners money to departing owners via share repurchase programs. Very few share repurchase programs have been found that add value, but many that hurt fixed income investors.
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2016 returns: 22.40%
2017 returns: 22.05%
The REIT Forum is in the top 1% on TipRanks: http://bit.ly/cwmftip
The REIT Forum focuses on risk-adjusted returns with a defensive strategy. With a strong background in accounting and finance, fundamentals are a top priority. Buying a strong company with great fundamentals at an attractive price is a good long-term strategy. The subscription platform allows me to do a few things very well. It allows me to share the research I’m doing for my own investment decision making. It allows me to communicate rapidly with investors that are willing to pay for my best work.
The REIT Forum includes:
Subscriber only – Extensive research (thousands of articles) on 50+ companies, buy targets, and forward looking analysis.
Subscriber only - Weekly articles comparing 50+ preferred shares and finding the best opportunities. Preferred shares offer investors high yields with relatively lower risk.
Subscriber only - Analysis and updates on the REIT sectors. This includes finding the best investments within a subsector.
Subscriber only – Risk ratings and dividend sustainability research.
What is my view on risk?
The traditional view is to see earning excess returns as compensation for taking on high levels of risk. I believe it is far better to focus on earning returns from catching market failures. These failures happen due to poor liquidity and investors (including analysts) working with incomplete information. I believe that by knowing the individual companies well, the investor can step in when the “risk” is heavily skewed in favor of “returns”.
I do not try to generate higher returns, I try to generate more consistent returns by reducing the downwards risk. Occasionally that results in exceptionally high returns when something corrects, but it also means I am willing to pass on several decent opportunities because I want the risk/return profile skewed heavily in my favor.