I am the founder of the Braeburn Group of independent AAPL analysts and author of the Posts At Eventide web presence. The objective of my work is to benefit readers seeking to understand Apple's financial performance and to provide a repository of information and analysis at my web presence for other independent AAPL analysts preparing quarterly estimates and share price forecasts. In addition to following Apple, I maintain a keen interest in the personal technology product markets and follow publicly traded enterprises offering technology products and services to consumers. Robert Paul Leitao
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Avid student of stock market since the Dow was 850. Current volatility makes it tough to bring gains to bottom line. 3D printing company Stratasys largest holding with APPL and AMZN entered at low points and holding. RAD is a worry right now in my portfolio. All trading done in IRA - majority of IRA's in large funds.
Like Private REIT's for Medical Buildings, Data Centers.
Retired English teacher, counselor for college admission, and administrator in independent secondary schools in the United States, Egypt, and Taiwan is especially interested in 1) corporations whose work and products have important impact in the United States and abroad; 2) dividend stocks of reasonably-valued companies, and 3) etfs and stocks that seem likely to benefit from improving international economic conditions.
I retired as CEO of an Automotive Parts supplier, and manage an investment portfolio for myself and family. I have a BA in History from Royal Military College of Canada and an MBA from the University of Western Ontario. My first career was as a fighter pilot in the RCAF, and, following my MBA I joined McKinsey & Company, Inc. leaving them for Canadian GE. I left CGE as a Vice President in 1984 and founded The Enfield Corporation Limited ("Enfield") which grew from 243 employees in 1984 to over 10,000 in 1989 when Enfield was taken over and I was replaced as CEO. In 1989, I acquired control of Algonquin Mercantile Corporation, renamed Automodular Corporation in the late 1990's when I turned it to focus exclusively on automotive parts sub-assembly. Along the way, Algonquin turned a few ageing drug stores into Pharmx Rexall Drug Stores Ltd., sold to Katz group in 1997 and today a major Canadian drug store chain. I have been a private investor since 1971 both directly and through a private company controlled by myself and members of my family.
Over 35 years of investing in individual stocks. Extensive business experience with small to mid-size companies, including as CEO. Many hundreds of blog posts on financial and economic matters since 2008. Focus on value with catalysts for upside price action; and biotech. Background as a physician and pharmaceutical inventor and entrepreneur.
Michael consults on debt finance, restructuring, leveraged deals and IPOs for a global client base. He is a senior advisor to KPMG Finland, a senior consultant to Grant Thornton UK and a senior advisor to DebtXplained, the leading provider of informtion on the high yield bond markets in Europe. He is involved in restructuring, debt advisory andECM. He has been the Programme Director of the Infrastructure Programme as the City Business School in London since 2005. he holds a BA, LLB, B Compt. (Hons)
I'm a Cornell chemical engineering graduate, and was a technology developer for the petrochemical and refining industries until I left the corporate world in 2000. I now spend my time trading stocks, bonds, and options for my own account. I am also an internet dealer of rare postage stamps and an amateur astronomer with an observatory in the mountains of West Texas.
The Investment Strategist was initially started to guide DIY investors on Seeking Alpha to take a more strategic approach to investing than purely individual stock selection. My philosophy is that portfolio management is similar to cooking a gourmet meal, where the combination of ingredients, in their respective proportions, is better than an abundance of any one ingredient (or stock).
After years of evaluating portfolios, it was evident that many investors put together a smorgasbord of ideas without regard to how they fit together or move together, creating very inefficient and risky portfolios. In addition, most US investors are guilty of familiarity bias, and their portfolios are primarily invested in well-known stocks of US companies, while international equities and more obscure asset classes, like emerging market debt, remain absent from portfolios. T
While the Investment Strategist does provide individual stock ideas to cater to the Seeking Alpha reader, I try to put the ideas into context so that readers can invest using a broader perspective on how an individual stock fits into their portfolio.
My RIA offers wealth advisory services to UHNW investors, Aspiring HNW investors, Small Business Owners, and PreRetirees. We also provide investment strategy and research services to small and mid-sized investment advisors, including portfolio advisory, equity and fund analysis, and due diligence on alternative assets such as hedge funds, private equity, and real estate.
Buck Andrews has 25 years experience in trading and investing in equity and options. He is an entrepreneur who has been involved in the start up and development of four financial software companies. He has a BA in Economics from Washington and Lee University and a Masters from Stanford University, GSB. He is currently a partner and V.P of business development at Deck5software.
FROM INSIDE SILICON VALLEY: Sorting the truth or likely truth from the noise is a key attribute of the successful investor. My commentary is a distillation of some of this effort relative to particular stocks and investment areas. My publishing at this point in time is limited to the blogsphere, Stocktwits as a Tweeter (@RobertinGatos), and Seeking Alpha posts as both an author (one article and trying to find time for more) and frequent commentator. I have no doubt that this truth seeking effort has been a great aid in my own efforts to be a successful high tech stock investor, which now goes back over 30 years.
Professionally, I was an Engineering Manager in two pioneering Silicon Valley high technology companies, Intel and Fairchild Semiconductor. Some will recall that Fairchild was formed by the group that William Shockley, co-inventor of the transistor of Bell Labs fame. had brought together at Shockley Labs to commercialize this device. I joined Fairchild Semiconductor R&D Labs in Palo Alto in 1973. It was at the time affectionately called "Fairchild Tech" due to its propensity to create spinoffs including National Semiconductor, AMD and Intel.
I joined Intel in in 1977 as Manager of their Analytical Lab start up and retired from Intel's senior management ranks in 1998. I joined a startup called Metara as a BOD member and ultimately as VP and Chief Technology Officer. I facilitated the generation of 17 automated mass spectrometry patents and became an expert on analytical technology patents as a result. I retired a second time in 2006 due to the fact that Metara ran out of capital before the first product was fully debugged. Venture caps can be fickle people.
Through out this time, I was surrounded by high tech business activity including management and ultimately startup financing. I stayed familiar with the high tech business press throughout this time and attended relevant Silicon Valley events including many Valley technology investment conferences and shareholder meetings beginning well before the Santa Clara Valley area was called Silicon Valley.
My start as a high tech investor occurred in 1981 when my first Intel stock options became exercisable. I used margin to exercise, buy and hold my Intel stock while I added margin to buy companies like MSFT, CSCO, ORCL, JDSU, SUNW and QCOM from the 80's forward. Needless to say the returns were outstanding. I had the luck of being exposed to long term LEAP call investing by a follow Intel manager and used this technique as additional leverage for most of my tech investments since the very beginning.
I used to love to bet against Merrill Lynch'sTom Kurlak who was known as THE Intel analyst of the time. He would make a negative call on Intel that I knew was way off the mark and use this opportunity for entry into my next set of Intel LEAP calls. That taught me to take advantage of Wall Street whenever possible rather than be their victim.
My original investment specialty was tech stocks however I have expanded my expertise in many key sectors. I follow high tech trends and business activity on a daily basis. I have added Financials to this tracking in particular since the bad behavior of the Investment Banks and now regular Banks (derivatives and lending practices) has led to multiple ugly stock market crashes. Notable examples include the crash of 2008 and the 2000 dot.com bubble with more yet to come, at least in the absence of better regulation.
I am a firm believer in understanding the business model, the business fundamentals and competitive environment for any company that I invest in. I look for competent management and high performance financials that demonstrate a strong possibility of on-going earnings and revenue growth. I read CEO pronouncements with my competence and BS detector on high (for example Ballmer pegs both needles - I'll let you guess which end of the scales). Drilling into a company’s financial fundamentals is a downstream step. Excessive debt is a red flag even if it is for so called good reason -- it limits company margins and business options, and can be representative a poofly performing business segment a company is in. I avoid those kinds of businesses in spite of what may be labeled as strong positive cash flow. Debt leads to sluggish earnings growth and limits company flexibility. It can also lead to ugly surprises, stock dilution for example. Technology company stock buybacks leave me cold. If they cannot make more money by growing their own business with the money, they will flatline or worse.
When the opportunity permits, I try to be ready to buy good companies that I believe have been beaten up inappropriately or are under appreciated (the Tom Kurlak example). I also try to buy companies that I know and understand inside and out or work on getting to there if I invest. Fewer companies,
Fuckwits like OneTimeTech and the various aliases he uses have destroyed this website.
This used to be a place for intelligent discussion, but with the number of clowns and trolls that now inhabit this site, and the precipitous decline in the quality of published articles, I am out of here.
The lunatics now run the asylum. There are better options elsewhere.
I am teaching and doing research in mathematics at University Paris 12. I have a PhD in Dynamical Systems from the University of Orsay.My main hobbies are investing, programming, playing pool, parenting and playing backgammon.I am co-founder of a startup which helps institutions digitize and organize paper documents. We hope to complete an OCR software developed in house that will allow indexing scanned books.
Retired US Air Force Lieutenant Colonel
Hold 3 degrees from MIT in mechanical engineering
Graduate of Defense Systems Management College, Air War College
Directed R&D and Test & Evaluation programs in aircraft, space and missile systems
Currently professional riding instructor & horse trainer
I have been trading max pain type data since 2007 after noting odd trading patterns centered around options expiry. I am a more conservative trader/investor and only take high probability trades. I prefer to know where stocks won’t be rather than guess where they will be. Trading with this mind set gives you 80% plus probability of being correct.
I have always been a stock market enthusiast. My formal training is that of informal. I am self taught, soaking up as much knowledge as can be absorbed. I love the financial industry and would work for free. I am a fundamental investor at heart and like crunching the numbers. I picked up on Max Pain theory and use option data as a main thesis in taking my positions.
In the beginning; when studying Max Pain I was truly amazed at the power it had in pulling or pushing AAPL around. I have seen the stock drop 5% out of nowhere with no news. The only news would be it was the 3rd Friday of the month. I then picked up on hitting the Max Pain strike was about 50/50 odds. Max Pain would give you a tell on what direction AAPL would start heading for expiry. I started to build a strategy from my studies. Using the Max Pain strike is not really tradable, good to know, but not tradable. So I started to study open interest (OI) and its affect on AAPL. Long story short, I have altered the original Max Pain theory and morphed it into what my own studies have concluded. I call this OI/Max Pain, it uses open interest and a range. This way it is tradable as I now have a high probability range. It doesn’t stop there, using OI will tell you so much more. How a stock reacts at each strike depending on the amount of OI is a major tell.
Conclusion: When using open interest you can accomplish multiple things. We can use it for OI/Max Pain when AAPL is stuck in a range and we can use it for catching breakouts, breakdowns, buy and sell points. Enjoy.
I want to give a special thanks to some of my early influences: Turley Muller, Andy Zaky and Jason Schwarz. I thank Philip Elmer-Dewitt for his coverage on AAPL and letting us have a voice, Horace Dediu for his tireless studies and anyone attached to the AAPL community.