I am a private investor focused on finding dividend paying, blue chip companies that are under-valued and have the potential to provide a solid return in the long term. My goal is to develop a portfolio that generates a large enough income stream that I will be able to enjoy an early retirement. I believe this is an achievable goal for everyone to aim for, once we know how to evaluate risk and identify value.
As I'm a long-term investor, I'll highlight some stockpicks which will have a 5-7 year investment horizon. As I strongly believe a portfolio should consist of a mixture of dividend-paying stocks and growth stocks, my articles will reflect my thoughts on this mixture.
Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
Founder and publisher of Mr. Free at 33. Founder of Dividend Mantra. Writer, investor, entrepreneur, introvert, pragmatist, fitness enthusiast, minimalist, humanist, philosopher, urbanist, frugalist, philanthropist.
Scott Shander, FRM is an enthusiast of value investing with a vision to engage a community of like-minded analysts to quantify and evaluate various investment opportunities. With specialties in financial risk management, time series analysis, econometric forecasting, scenario analysis, experimental design, and fundamental valuation, he is interested in utilizing quantitative rigor to drive objective analytic-based decisions.
Scott spent seven years in financial risk management the consumer packaged goods industry providing technical insight quantifying and managing commodity and foreign exchange market risks to protect profit margins. He is a certified Financial Risk Manager (GARP) and holds an M.S. in Applied Economics and a B.S. in Mathematics and Economics from Marquette University. Scott, originally from Milwaukee, now lives in Chicago but remains an avid Packer fan.
Institutional investment manager authoring on a variety of topics that pique my interest, and could further discourse in this online community. I hold an MBA from the University of Chicago, and have earned the CFA designation.
My articles may contain statements and projections that are forward-looking in nature, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and assumptions. While my articles focus on generating long-term risk-adjusted returns, investment decisions necessarily involve the risk of loss of principal. Individual investor circumstances vary significantly, and information gleaned from my articles should be applied to your own unique investment situation, objectives, risk tolerance, and investment horizon.
Please note that the article that you are reading here was originally written on my blog and is republished in Seeking Alpha and other forums. Consequently, I neither track nor respond to comments here. I am sorry! ================ Editors' Note: Seeking Alpha monitors Dr. Damodaran blog and posts relevant articles on his behalf.
My name is Nick Mackintosh, born in May of 1988 and I am currently residing in London, UK. I got involved in the financial markets during 2010 after my poker career ended due to online poker becoming illegal in the USA. The 2 things I most enjoy in my life are card games and the stock market, influenced by my grandfather. I had always enjoyed movies such as Wall Street / Boiler Room / Trading Places / Rogue Trader but what really piqued my interest was Million Dollar Traders featuring Anton Kreil and Lex Van Dam from Goldman Sachs. I read every book I could get my hands on for technical and fundamental analysis and traded a demo account for a while before making my first deposit. My first major setback was during the announcement of Greece and potentially Spain needing a bailout, I was heavily leveraged in the financial sector at the time which included a lot of bank stocks. This quickly wiped out my first account. Second setback was deciding I could be a day-trader by scalping the forex market such as the EUR/USD or GBP/USD pair for 5 pips per trade several times a day. Even though some technical strategies can and do work, the idea is ludicrous when you factor in the spread/commission charges and the general risk of it. I started to slowly wake up and become known as a Turtle, which is basically trend following several currency pairs (or stocks for that matter) on a weekly time frame. If your analysis is right, the bigger the time frame the more chance you have of being proven right due to not being whipsawed out of the trade during volatile news announcements such as Unemployment Figures of the Non-Farm Payroll. My true love for the financial markets had always been fundamental analysis in stocks. I have spent a lot of time researching companies I am interested in. Not only do I try to figure out their business model and project growth. We also have to factor in the company's competitors and how they can do during economic turmoil by looking at their balance sheets and cash flow. Long story short I am a long only investor who invests in Dividend Growth Stocks primarily within the FTSE. Putting 15-20% of my income aside every month to go through my stock screener to select the best value stock I can find.
We have over 60 years of investment analysis experience. We have published investment research from the perspective of the buy side and the sell side. Our work has been used by institutions managing over $1 trillion in aggregate. We have published reports from both the long and short perspective and have worked with the largest short selling mutual fund in the world. We are long term value investors. It is our belief that, contrary to popular opinion, most individual investors and patient professional investors have the best opportunity since the beginning of our investment career to beat institutional and mutual fund managers in terms of risk adjusted performance. The "Information Arbitrage" advantage institutional investors have had is mostly eliminated, while the individual investor still can maintain an edge with "Time Arbitrage". Our goal is to provide institutional quality buy side articles that educate and stimulate investors in the hope of improving their returns. We also are willing to mentor young analysis who wish to improve their analytical skills.
I am a medical professional, but I have been studying investing for many years so that I can control my own portfolio. DGI seems to be the best way for me to invest for my retirement while being able to sleep at night.
I have also been successfully trading cash secured puts for extra income. I share my experience on my websites, Tradingcsps.com and my blog Tradingputs.com.
I'm a self-directed investor who shares my experience in investing. I read, learn, and apply every day.
I write about value, dividend, and growth investing from the perspective of a Canadian. I invest in individual stocks on the US stock exchanges and the Toronto Stock Exchange.
As I write, I reflect on my own actions and results, which is an amazing exercise. I encourage individual investors who enjoy writing to try it.
I appreciate the work done by SA staff & authors and love the SA community that engages in meaningful discussions.
I am a real estate attorney from St. Louis.
I run the "The Conservative Investor Digest." That is where you can find my best work, and that is where I focus my research. You can become a subscriber here: https://gumroad.com/l/HmqJx
I also own the long-term investing website "The Conservative Income Investor" which can be found at: www.theconservativeincomeinvestor.com
Avi Gilburt is a lawyer and accountant by training. He formerly was a partner and National Director at a national firm.
Mr. Gilburt is also the Managing Member of Gilburt Financial Services, LLC, which provides:
- Financial market analysis to the public through ElliottWaveTrader.net;
- Elliott Wave market analysis to institutional clients;
- Specific stock analysis to retail clients; and
- Webinars and personal coaching on Elliott Wave analysis.
He is also the Managing Member of the of the consulting firm of Gilburt & Associates, LLC, which specializes in transaction structuring and tax services.
F.A.S.T. Graphs™ is a powerful research tool providing “essential fundamentals at a glance” on over 17,000 symbols. F.A.S.T. Graphs™ empowers the user to research stocks deeper and faster by allowing them to exploit the undeniable relationship and functional correlation between long-term earnings growth and market price. Warren Buffett, the greatest capital allocator of all time, said; “there are only two things that investor needs to know; how to value a company and how to think about stock prices.” With the F.A.S.T. Graphs™ at their disposal, users are able to perform both of these critical tasks… FAST. F.A.S.T. is an acronym for Fundamentals Analyzer Software Tool that takes all the hours of manual graphing of business fundamentals and reduces it to seconds, giving you critical information in an instant. With one glance you know a lot about the business you are graphing and its past, present and future value. F.A.S.T. Graphs™ should be the first step in every research project. Each graph is worth 1,000 words in describing a company’s growth, consistency and valuation.
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: he has been a partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm. Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics and Finance from the University of Tampa. Chuck is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a Veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.