No surprise: The Hedged Economist is an economist. I’ve been at it for more years than I like to admit. If one leaves graduate school with a degree in economics, there are really only three options short of abandoning the degree and starting over. The options are: “doing” economics, telling people about economics, and applying it to your own affairs. I’ve done all three. Currently, my focus is on applying economics to my own affairs especially financial management. That isn’t new, but my blog (hedgedeconomist.com) represents a departure. Traditionally I have avoided giving other than the broadest advice regarding personal finance, especially investing. It doesn’t take behavioral economics research or financial neurology to know people believe that they are responsible for their own financial success but fail because of bad advice. I also kept my opinions on policy to myself. People prefer confirming information, another startling discovery of behavioral economics; imagine that; people prefer “yes” men. So, given little upside and all the downside, a perversely asymmetric set of returns (that’s economist speak for a bad bet), I’ve stuck to my own affairs. But, increasingly, I get asked for my opinion, thus the blog.
My analysis focuses on the cyclical nature of individual companies and of markets in general. I've developed a unique approach to estimating the fair value of cyclical stocks, and that approach allows me to more accurately buy near the bottom of the cycle.
My academic background is in political science and I hold Bachelor's Degree and a Master's Degree in political theory from Iowa State University. I was awarded a Graduate Research Excellence Award in 2015 for my research on conservatism.
Institutional investment manager authoring on a variety of topics that pique my interest, and could further discourse in this online community. I hold an MBA from the University of Chicago, and have earned the CFA designation.
My articles may contain statements and projections that are forward-looking in nature, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and assumptions. While my articles focus on generating long-term risk-adjusted returns, investment decisions necessarily involve the risk of loss of principal. Individual investor circumstances vary significantly, and information gleaned from my articles should be applied to your own unique investment situation, objectives, risk tolerance, and investment horizon.
Donald E. L. Johnson, retired, is a value investor who sells covered calls and puts to increase his cash flow. He began his financial writing career as a commodities reporter on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade for The Wall Street Journal. He has reported for the Chicago Sun-Times, New York Journal of Commerce, American Metal Market-Metalworking News and Modern Healthcare, where he was editor for 10 years. He wrote about the futures, money and capital markets and the banking, agribusiness, transportation, auto, metals, health care, health insurance and other industries as a reporter, editor, publisher and owner of a small periodical and book publisher. Johnson has an MBA in finance.
I have a degree in Math and Science from the University of Toronto, as well as a degree in education, also from U of T.
I have traded private equity for 40 years and have developed a proprietary Price Modelling System which has provided me with consistent profitable trading success.
In partnership with my computer scientist son, Aidan Gomez (Phd candidate at Oxford), we search for and analyze repetitive patterns in the stock market's price history, and offer a Trade Alert service that lets subscribers replicate the trades we are involved in.
Seeking Alpha's product team is responsible for the development of all of our product-related projects from start to finish. These projects include the Seeking Alpha Portfolio apps on the App Store and Google Play, our Real Time email alert product, and optimization across the Seeking Alpha website.
The purpose of this profile is to allow us to share with our readers all new product developments. Please follow us on Seeking Alpha to receive updates. We look forward to your input and feedback!
SA Product Team
Gold Finder has a BSc in Chemistry from the University of Amsterdam and is currently studying at the Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms Universität for his MSc Chemistry. He is fascinated by the financial markets and plans to grow his wealth through investments in long-term well performing equity. In addition, he manages a family equity portfolio.
For my long term positions, see my most recent blog or articles.
I am an individual investor and have been investing part-time for the better part of the past 20 years. I am primarily interested in fundamental analysis, focus on the long term and my portfolio is composed primarily of dividend paying equities. I have a moderate risk profile and I look for growth and value. My passion for finance and the markets have let me to my MBA and writing for Seeking Alpha, Stocktrades and Motley Fool.
Dale Roberts is an Investment Funds Advisor with Tangerine Investment Funds Limited, a subsidiary of Tangerine Bank wholly owned by Scotiabank. My articles are for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. These articles are my personal opinion and are not those of Tangerine Bank or its subsidiaries. Remember past performance is not guaranteed and may not be repeated. Investment strategies are not suitable for everyone and you should always conduct your own research or speak to a financial advisor.
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: he has been a partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm. Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics and Finance from the University of Tampa. Chuck is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a Veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.
I am working as a Business Analyst and Data Engineer in Germany and have started to build up a portfolio focused on Dividend Growth, both on the high and low-end yield spectrum. Primary focus is on Blue Chips with long-reaching dividend track records. I have been investing for 2 years and have been standing on the sidelines for way too long before.
I love developing spreadsheets in Google and Excel to analyze financial performance and integrate these two sources with each other!
Retired Pharmacist. Call me RoseKnows enough to know I need to keep learning and keeping a great dividend paying nest egg growing upwards. I also enjoy total return, but it is not my primary goal, it just happens to follow when buying great quality companies.
My 93 stock portfolio is listed here by sector, largest holding by value is listed first. Updated 5/20/2018.
Consumer Defensive (16): PM, KMB, KO, GIS, MO, DEO, PG, SJM, TGT, HSY, PEP, MDLZ, CVS, BUD, CL, KHC. -
Consumer Cyclical (4): HD, MCD, GPC, NKE,
Healthcare (8): JNJ, ABBV, PFE, CAH, AMGN, BDX , MDT, - a bit of CELG- the only non-dividend payer.
Energy (9): XOM, OXY, RDS/B , VLO, AMZA, CVX, NGL-b, TGP-b, AMLP
Tech (4): CSCO, INTC, ADP, IBM, --
Industrial (6): BA, LMT, CMI, MMM, UNP, CVA.
Financial (12): MA, V, NRZ , AJX, CHMI, RA, SLD, BXMT, CIMpB. PMTpB, MET, ABR.
also financial BDCs (5): NEWT, MRCC, TPVG, GAIN, ARCC
REAL ESTATE or Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) = Equity REITs:
Healthcare (4) : OHI, VTR, SBRA -- MPW -
Misc (11): WPC, SPG, DLR, STAG, SKT, KIM, CORR, IRM, EPR, KRG, UNIT- a nibble
(2) Reit Preferred : WPG-H. - CBL-d
Telecom (3): VZ and T - BCE (Canadian).
Utility (9): D, SO, XEL, MGEE, WEC, DNP, LNT, a nibble of SCG hoping to get more shares of D from it. some DCUD which is limited and will also give me shares of D.
DNP is a CEF which predominately holds Utilities.
I belong to the paid subscriber service of The Fortune Teller and Trapping Value- called " The Wheel of Fortune"
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"The Single Best Investment"
Retired electrical engineer. Now a writer, investor, and consultant. I have written financial articles for SA, Motley Fool, Benzinga, Investor Place. Now I write for fun on my personal blog "The Mathematical Investor": https://mathman6577.wordpress.com. You can follow me on Twitter at @mathman6577. If you're an "early retiree" like me check out the Facebook page https://www.facebook.com/earlyretirees/.
My portfolio consists of the following:
(A) 401k: Large and mid/small cap index funds (US and International), UTX, stable value (fixed income) fund
(B) Taxable brokerage account: KO , AAPL, PG, JNJ, T, CVX, MMP, AFL, CVS, NWE, WMT, FTBFX, TROW , EMR, PINCX, RTN, WEC
(C) IRA: NHI, ES, MCD, CB
I use the "Bucket Approach" for asset allocation:
Bucket A: Emergency fund + planned expenses within the next 2 years = cash account
Bucket B: Next eight years of expenses = fixed income accounts (used to replenish Bucket A when empty)
Bucket C: Expenses ten to thirty years down the road = dividend stocks + index funds (used to replenish Bucket B when empty.
Hello friends! I am a former wealth manager with over 25 years of experience working for a major investment banking firm. I retired in 2013. My eyes have witnessed the good, the bad, and the ugly of the financial world. These days, I spend my days watching the markets, managing my retirement portfolios, and focus on increasing the income of my accounts. I am on Seeking Alpha with the purpose of using my former career experience plus my day-to-day portfolio management to educate others. Specifically, INCOME investing for and while in retirement. For me, it is all about collecting INCOME now. I try to ignore the "what ifs" and the "waiting until it goes to..." because retirees want and many times need INCOME now. Stocks go up and down and all around, but the income you collect is yours. It is yours to keep, to spend, to pay bills , to save, to gift, etc. It is about the INCOME and I use my double income strategy to collect as much income as I can.
My hope on here is to inform others and possibly make a few friends during my time on here. Ive read some wonderful articles on here and hope I can meet and exceed the high standard of content that other contributors have provided on Seeking Alpha. I do not give investment advice anymore. I will share my thoughts and my opinions in a "straight talk way" about stocks I own or want to own or want to sell and the covered call options.
Aside from the financial world, spending time my best friend and longtime spouse and my young chocolate lab, are the best things in my life.
Early 30s investor looking to secure financial security for my family and future generations through sound investments. My approach to investing is to take a conservative viewpoint and focus primarily on dividend growth stocks. My goal is to generate consistent returns by mitigating risk through thorough, in-depth research. Maintaining patience is key to attaining wealth in the future, though difficult at times, can lead to higher returns, but also means I may miss several opportunities when looking back. I am not a professional portfolio manager, and just want to use what I do know and have learned over the years to enlighten my readers with my easy to read articles.
My goal on this site is to provide you with my views and in-depth research of Companies I invest in (skin in the game) and those currently on my watch list and put that into layman's terms for investors of all types to read. I take primarily a fundamental approach when performing my due diligence on a particular Company. I have been reading articles on SA for sometime now and really enjoy the conversations and education, which is why I wanted to get more involved in writing articles of my own, which hopefully help other investors gain an edge or just another viewpoint.
I'm an Army veteran and former energy dividend writer for The Motley Fool. My goal is to help all people learn how to harness the awesome power of dividend growth investing to achieve their financial dreams, and enrich their lives. With 22 years of investing experience, I've learned what works and more importantly, what doesn't, when it comes to building long-term wealth and income streams. I'm currently on an epic quest to build a broadly diversified, high-quality, high-yield dividend growth portfolio that:
1. Pays 5% to 6% yield
2. Offers 6% to 7% annual dividend growth
3. Pays dividends AT LEAST on a weekly, but preferably, daily basis
An undergraduate student from University of Toronto with passion in value investing. My focus is primary on micro to small cap value oriented stocks. I spend a lot of time on SA writing, reading other people's articles and learning about companies. When I am not online, I like to read about investing, play poker and golf with my friends.
My email is firstname.lastname@example.org. Feel free message me with anything that you want to talk about. And if there is any company that you need help research with I will do my best to help.
Time management is important, and requires I limit hours spent here. For the convenience of others, I conclude my 1st comment with “uncheck:Xhrs”, and extend it if/when I post additional comments. This avoids time wasted on nonsense, off-topic discussions, and some arguments with zounderkites. I also reply to private messages.
I update my Profile following each quarter's end--below is my Q1-2018 update.
My journey as a self-directed investor (SDI) began 45 years ago (1973), and resulted in financial independence at age 52. I retired early the following year (Feb 1995). This year marks 23 years retired, and age 76. Thus actuarially, my retired years should exceed my working years.
Generally, the younger one retires, the greater the risk (and embarrassment) they might have miscalculated, and outlive their money. Fortunately, that is not among our concerns. Even including 2 major recessions, and now 7 years of significantly increasing annual RMDs, my IRA's market value increased by over 400%, whereas inflation increased 64%--this not braggadocio--only an illustration others can do at least as well IF they are willing to defer immediate gratification (spend less to invest more), to ensure future financial independence. Joyce and I long ago met our wealth accumulation goal, and moved to preservation. Our primary financial metric is now net worth.
At SA, my comments are limited to my IRA, which is 1 of our 5 portfolios, and the most actively managed. Dividends paid to my IRA equals twice our basic annual living expenses for food, clothing, shelter, taxes, transportation, entertainment, and insurances (but excluding our variable expenses for travel and generous gifting).
For 45 years, I’ve invested for total return. As a retiree, I invest more conservatively for growth & income. I now limit myself to dividend-paying companies, REITs, EFTs and recently a few CEFs having "level distribution plans". My IRA is tilted defensively compared to the allocations of most in wealth accumulation. OTOH, I’ve recommended our 20-something grandchildren tilt their allocations heavily toward greater growth until they actually need retirement income--there is little advantage to younger investors who settle for reduced total return so as to obtain income they don’t yet need (and for taxable accounts dividends are a significant drag on relative performance).
As I now invest for the benefit of our 2 children, 3 grandchildren, and soon great-grandchildren, I need more exposure to pure growth for greater total return, and thus the ETFs/CEFs holding pure growth companies offer greater total returns and diversification, and will become the dividend-payers of future decades.
2018 OBJECTIVE: PREPARE FOR ‘AUTOPILOT’
Recent hospitalizations are a reminder my body is aging faster in my 70s than in my 60s and 50s. Although I'll continue to enjoy active portfolio management for at least a few more years, prudence requires I proactively prepare for the eventuality of a more passive management either because I lack interest or capacity, or I'm no longer looking down on sod. Thus by mid-2018, I'll have completed actions that can be tweaked a few times before ‘autopilot’ is required.
I SEPARATE MY IRA INTO 2 SUB-PORTFOLIOS
My CORE PORTFOLIO constitutes about 70% of my IRA by market value. It focuses most of its allocation to lower beta companies in defensive sectors, and having economic moats--Consumer Staples, Utilities, Healthcare, and Telecoms). They tend to be 'slow-growth', and are often referred to as 'bond-substitutes'. Generally, I exit these positions only if I lose confidence in the BoD and management. Dividends and share buybacks compete as means for companies to deliver excess capital to shareholders, and the defensive sectors tend to favor dividends, which over longer periods, tend to produce generous total returns (even when the share price return is periodically mediocre).
My OPPORTUNISTIC PORTFOLIO (with a few exceptions listed below), contains my cyclicals. By definition, the earnings of (most) cyclicals are heavily influenced by the economy. In periods of economic expansion, they generally outperform my Core positions, and the opposite during economic contraction. Therefore, over time, I expect some of these positions are likely to move to my Core portfolio, and some growth companies in ETFs/CEFs to exhibit Core portfolio attributes (for example, I don't expect Amazon, Google, and Home Depot to under-perform Consumer Staples in future recessions).
For ETFs and CEFs, I've listed the top 5 holdings.
Consumer Staples (4):
UTG (Charter Comm.; Next Era; DTE Energy; Comcast; American Water)
Consumer Cyclical (2): These cyclicals not economically sensitive
XLY (Amazon; Home Depot; Comcast; Disney; Netflex)
ITA (Boeing; United Tech; Lockheed; Raython; General Dynamics)
XLI (Boeing; General Electric; 3M; Honeywell; Union Pacific
Real Estate (3):
Multi-Sector ETFs (1):
SPHD (Iron Mountain; Welltower; Phillip Morris; Ventas; PPL)
Total CORE Portfolio Positions = 31
Resorts & Casinos (1)
AMLP (Energy Transfer; Enterprise Products; Magellan Midstream; MPLX; Williams)
Information Technology (5):
BST (Apple; Alphabet; Microsoft; Amazon; Facebook)
XLK (Apple; Microsoft; Facebook; Alphabet; AT&T)
Financial Services (6):
XLF (Berk Hathaway; JP Morgan; Bank America; Wells Fargo; Citigroup)
Multi-Sector ETFs (2):
CII (Apple; Alphabet; JP Morgan; Microsoft; Bank of America)
EEMV (Taiwan Semi; Tencent; PT Bank; Public Bank; Bank of Chile)
Total OPPORTUNISTIC Portfolio Positions = 17
Ben Graham said: “Investing isn’t about beating others at their game [beating the market]. It’s about controlling yourself at your own game".
There are hundreds of voices competing for our attention. Often those shouting loudest have the poorest records. The 4 primary voices I listen to are data-driven, and publish weekly (or thereabouts):
Jeff Miller's Weighing The Week Ahead;
Fear & Greed Trader's S&P500 Update;
Chris Ciovacco's CCM Market Model videos; and
Patrick J. O'Hare's The Big Picture (at Briefing.com).
(That doesn't mean not reading contrary opinions.)
Thank you. I hope you found enough worthy your time expended.
IT'S A GREAT LIFE (and far more about family than investments). I've had a truly unbelievably awesome ride, including riches truly beyond my dreams!
I retired in November 2016 at age 60.
My personal investing goal is to own a portfolio of dividend growth companies such that:
1) The overall portfolio dividend income is sufficient to pay for all of my routine retirement expenses. I do not ever want to be forced to sell something to produce cash, especially when my asset prices are down. [I have no objection to occasionally choosing to sell something to pay for a one-time expense such as a vacation or a gift.]
2) The overall portfolio dividend income rises each year by more than the rate of inflation, so that my purchasing power does not erode over time.
I invest primarily in David Fish's lists of Dividend Champions, Dividend Contenders, and Dividend Challengers. See http://www.dripinvesting.org/tools for those lists.
I do not invest in MLP's or BDC's or CEF's or preferreds.
I maintain a free web site that contains dividend histories for all of David Fish's Dividend Champions, Contenders and Challengers: http://www.tessellation.com/dividends
I am an individual investor and the author of seven eBooks on dividend growth investing. I try to help self-directed individual investors profit from stock investing. I contribute articles and studies to both Seeking Alpha and Daily Trade Alert. I hold an undergraduate degree in physics from Holy Cross College and a JD from Georgetown University. My wife Sue and I live in beautiful Canandaigua, NY.
Dave Fish is the author of the U.S. Dividend Champions spreadsheet (and PDF), which is updated at the end of each month...and lists companies that have increased their dividend payout for at least 25 consecutive years. (Separate tabs list "Contenders" that have increased their payouts for 10-24 years and "Challengers" that have increased their payouts for 5-9 years.) http://dripinvesting.org/Tools/Tools.asp