I have about 10 years experience in the markets and I've witnessed some amazing moments in financial history. I have a M.S. in Finance and a B.A. in Social Science, and I was formerly Series 3 licensed (expired) to trade futures... In my experience, the most important element of trading is managing risk. Trading isn't about winning, it is about not losing.
I am currently a retired Aerospace Engineer. I am married with three children and eight grandchildren. I was born in San Francisco, CA in 1949 and moved to Newport News, VA in 1951 where I lived until I went to college. By God's grace, I received a B.S. degree from Virginia Tech (1972), a M.S. degree from Caltech (1973), and a M.A. - Biblical Studies degree from Birmingham Theological Seminary (2013). I worked at Pratt & Whitney (1973-1986) and CFD Research Corporation (1987-2008).
Now in retirement and trying to preserve my life savings, I currently have a strong interest in tactical asset allocation strategies, and have studied them extensively. I have developed a number of tactical strategies involving the periodic trading of ETFs and, more recently, mutual funds. These strategies have been backtested mainly using Portfolio Visualizer and ETFreplay software. The goal is to earn 10-15% annually with no negative years, and to have maximum drawdowns of less than 10%, preferably less than 5%. The strategies include purchasing a limited number of funds with the highest growth and lowest volatility, and minimizing risk using moving average, dual momentum, and risk parity methods. I have developed strategies for equity as well as bond assets.
Harry Long is the inventor of Hedged Contango Capture and Hedged Convexity Capture and is the Managing Partner of ZOMMA, the world's most innovative strategy index creator.
Mr. Long is a globally recognized expert on the research and development of quantitative investment strategies. The ZOMMA IP portfolio of strategy indices is sought after by asset management firms, investment banks, hedge funds, principal trading organizations, index providers, ETP sponsors, and private equity firms to help them develop and deploy active manager-crushing quantitative investment strategies.
ZOMMA helps investors create long term value by replacing reckless emotional decision making with cutting-edge technology based upon objective evidence.
Mr. Long is a graduate of Rice University with a B.A. in Economics.
Note: Due to the sheer number of requests for bespoke quant strategies, research projects, and quant consulting services, we have instituted the following pricing for the non-exclusive licensing of our algorithms to institutions:
I. Exclusive commercial licenses for unique bespoke algorithms run six figures and up.
II. Non-exclusive AUM licensing fees for our strategy indices have negotiable fee schedules.
Please realize that we often get more than 3,000 e-mails per week. This means that we read everything that comes in, but we cannot respond to any email or message that does not include the sender's full name, phone number, request, and budget. Thank you for your understanding.
This Dubai-like pricing is necessary, because we can't freely give answers to tough problems which we have dedicated massive R&D capital to solving. World-class statistical talent is hugely expensive, valuable, and rare. Our clients recognize that outsourcing quant work to our firm and paying our fees represent a huge cost savings over hiring full time employees, and usually results in a far more profitable, turn-key solution.
I am a graduate student in biostatistics at Emory University in Atlanta, GA, and an individual investor. While my investments are mostly in low-cost index funds, I enjoy analyzing stock market trends and trying to find ways to beat the market.
Right now I'm convinced that the best way to beat the market is to pair a leveraged S&P 500 ETF (e.g. UPRO) with a total bond fund (e.g. BND). With one-third allocated to UPRO and two-thirds to BND, you get a portfolio with beta approximately 1 (depending on the current correlation between stocks and bonds) and alpha two-thirds that of BND's alpha. The result is a portfolio that sort of mimics SPY, but with an extra couple percentage points added on each year.
I favor computational investment methods over traditional fundamental or technical analysis, which require subjective analysis of earnings reports and visual assessments of price charts, respectively.
I have an understanding of international economic analysis, focusing on indicators and the impact on global markets. I bring 18 years of extensive statistical and empirical research relating to currency exchange rates, interest rate parity theories, and asset class correlation principles. My practice involves, on a monthly basis, closely monitoring major international economic indicators. This has contributed to my comprehensive understanding of the developing monetary and fiscal policies in the major economies, mostly United States, Australia, United Kingdom, Eurozone, Canada, Japan, China, and Switzerland. I published a report for over 11 years which included daily commentary and analysis on the financial markets. I directed cross functional teams and managed the flow of information in the creating and developing of the first automated execution software for retail FX traders. With it, I developed and implemented a semi-automated algorithm to successfully find and exploit inefficiencies in the forex and futures markets, which remains the highlight of my trading career. My knowledge in algorithmic strategy development along with my success as a fund manager in the foreign exchange and futures markets presents a rare insight into the current global trading environment.
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I work for an insurance company as the director of underwriting. I am focused on creating and maximizing long term value. Analysis of BDC's, REIT's, Oil refineries, and Financials have been my primary focus. Strong management teams that align with their shareholders best interests have a much greater likelihood for success than those with conflicts of interest and little skin in the game.
Economist based in the UK. Earlier career in founding businesses and start-ups before a brief spell in academia (Warwick Business School); moved to high end economic consulting for leading firm of economists, before returning to help new businesses grow. Net estimated gain to client worth around $200m over the last decade.
I have actively traded stocks since 2010 based on fundamental analysis and my own quantitative forecasting methods.
Joe is CEO of Stanford Wealth Management and a retired SVP of Charles Schwab. He served 36 year in active and reserve military service in special operations and the intelligence community. He brings that geopolitical experience and rational systematic perspective to his research and analysis. He is the author of the investment primer "Bringing Home the Gold" and a member of the SA Marketplace.
If you have a $500,000 portfolio ($250,000 for solely mutual funds & ETFs) you may contact Joe for a no-obligation "second opinion" on your current portfolio: firstname.lastname@example.org.
Joseph has been an analyst, investor, and student of economic theory; money and banking; and statistical methods for evaluating and implementing risk/reward trading algorithms since 1972. Joseph is also an occasional contributor to financial publications and his essays are frequently cited by other financial websites and publications.
Since the end of the Great Recession, Joseph came to recognize that traditional methodologies for forecasting economic growth and investment asset pricing are no longer of value, and a broader understanding of the post Glass Steagall, financially engineered world that has driven markets and economies since the turn of the century is required today.
He has a good grasp of Shadow Banking, High Frequency Trading, and Dark Pools, and their impact on today’s markets. He has also spent considerable time understanding the new global paradigm of central bank involvement in experimental policy designed to better control economies.
Joseph doesn’t subscribe to a specific school of theory on economics. Rather, his thinking is based on a combination of the Classical School, the Austrian School, and the Keynesian School. He even sees the writings of Karl Marx as particularly instructive.
Joseph is particularly fond of the following quote from Albert Einstein and sees his own work as driven by that same passionate curiosity that Einstein refers to:
“I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious.”
Coming in a close second in terms of favorite quotes that express his views, Joseph embraces Lord Acton’s views expressed here:
“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern.
Every class is unfit to govern."
Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners.
Publisher of The Universal marketplace service on Seeking Alpha.
Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics.
Faculty Advisor to the Ursinus College Finance Scholars.
24 years of financial industry experience:
Neosho Capital (2004 to Present)
Brandes Investment Partners (1996-2003)
Director of Mutual Fund Portfolio Management
Cooley Godward Huddleson and Tatum (1993-1996)
Associate, Securities Law
Union Bank of Switzerland (1989-1990)
Credit Officer, Leveraged Buy-outs
Marine Midland Bank (1986 - 1989)
Credit Officer, Leveraged Buy-outs
Stanford University Law School - Juris Doctor (1993)
Oxford University – Master of Philosophy, Management Studies (1986)
Southern Methodist University Bachelor Business Administration (1983)
Member, State Bar of California
CFA Charterholder (2000)
Michael Pettis is a professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets. He has also taught, from 2002 to 2004, at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management and, from 1992 to 2001, at Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business.
Pettis has worked on Wall Street in trading, capital markets, and corporate finance since 1987, when he joined the Sovereign Debt trading team at Manufacturers Hanover (now JP Morgan). Most recently, from 1996 to 2001, Pettis worked at Bear Stearns, where he was Managing Director-Principal heading the Latin American Capital Markets and the Liability Management groups.
Visit: China Financial Markets (http://www.mpettis.com)
I'm a well-informed retail investor and post on SA in order to expose my thought process to critical examination and comment from readers. It makes me a better investor. I'm particularly proud of bullish macro articles posted in 2009 and later, in which I presented ideas that encouraged me to invest very profitably in a rising market. I also did articles on individual stocks, many of which contained insights not available elsewhere. Finally, I wrote a number of thoughtful articles critical of financialism and the lack of ethics on Wall Street. I do not post for compensation, as I am concerned that editorial policy encourages and pays a premium for articles that invite the reader to speculate on the short term movements of microcaps, penny stocks, and controversial issues. The best way for me to monetize my insights is to invest accordingly. As a retail investor, I don't give investment advice. I write about what I'm investing in, and the thought process involved in decision making and stock selection. Hopefully some of what I write is of benefit to others, by sharing my experience as I interpret it and helping them improve their investment thinking and process.