Volumes and volatility levels are still down, both on a daily basis and also on an intraday hourly basis so we have to factor this into our trading. What does this mean? It translates into breakouts failing more often then not. It translates into trending moves not having enough steam and when they do carry, the pullbacks are more often than not. It also translates into smaller time frames failing to produce significant moves thus looking at larger time frames. It also means its a good time to fade ranges as the levels will likely hold more often then not so keep this in mind.
AUDUSD - Stuck Between a Rock and an EMA
After building a bullish price action structure over the last three months with a series of higher lows while the key resistance level is producing smaller fades, the pair is getting hemmed in between a key level and the daily 20ema. The last two pullbacks to the 20ema have held and supported price action nicely while the rejections off the 2-mos resistance level at 1.0400 have gotten more shallow communicating the bulls are winning the tug of war...for now.
For the bulls to complete this series of higher lows, they need a key price action breakout-retest setup to confirm the break above the 1.0400 level is for real. This will convince the market the tentative upside plays have more steam as they have taken out a key high and should look for higher altitudes so watch for price action clues at this level while monitoring closes below the 20ema for a more bearish scenario to play out.
XAGUSD (Spot Silver) - Can It Break Key Resistance Up Ahead?
After bouncing off the critical 6mos lows at $26, the precious metal bounced nicely and ran into the fibonacci level we mentioned at $29.82 just shy of the big figure at $30. Price Action has retreated but in a very tentative fashion and still has yet to take out the lows of the Jan. 3rd candle so until it does or gains more steam to the downside, bulls should still have confidence the key highs above will be broken with continued effort.
Watch for price action clues on the 4hr time frame should price hold above this level. If it does and provides a price action trigger, then look for longs to target $30.95 and $32 with the bulls having a small fight on their hands.Remember to leave us your comments which are always appreciated, and also to click the 'Like' and 'Tweet' buttons below to share it.