Value, Special Situations, Deep Value, Long Only
Contributor Since 2011
As further background to our previously published long thesis on Zenabis Global Ltd. (OTCPK:ZBISF) (TSXV:ZENA), here we present a brief history of its predecessor company, Bevo Agro Inc. ("Bevo", previously TSXV:BVO). Bevo's solid track record on a few fronts explored herein may give Zenabis investors confidence that its management is competent, innovative and trustworthy:
In this report we:
Recall: Zenabis, a Canadian licensed producer ("LP") of cannabis, was formed via a Reverse-Take-Over ("RTO") of Bevo in January 2019. Although RTOs have been commonplace in the cannabis industry, this transaction was unique in that it was an RTO of well-established public operating company with valuable production assets and management talent, rather than of an empty shell company.
Based in Langley, BC, Bevo is North America’s largest plant propagator. Bevo was founded in 1987 by Jack Benne and son Leo who are lifelong, expert Dutch horticulturalists that immigrated to Canada from Holland in 1981. Bevo grew from 109,000 square feet (2.5 acres) of greenhouses on 26 acres of land in 1987 to 2.3m square feet (53 acres) of greenhouses on 110 acres of land today. It propagates vegetable plants such as tomatoes, peppers, cucumbers, as well as bedding plants, flowers and poinsettias sold to established greenhouse growers, nurseries and retailers throughout North America.
Plant propagation is a niche agricultural business supplying greenhouse growers with young, well rooted, healthy and pest free plants grown under stringent, controlled conditions. Traditional greenhouse growers purchase propagated plants typically when they are less than one month old, grow the plants to full maturity, and subsequently market/distribute them. The "upstream" business of propagation is an attractive one as it requires specific growing expertise, and benefits from inherent economies of scale and barriers to entry that limit competition.
Harnessing these factors, Bevo generated consistent operating results over time as it supported and grew in lock-step with the BC and Alberta greenhouse industry, which itself grew from a combined ~450 acres in 1986 to 1,600 acres in 2016 (Statistics Canada data).
An informative video, produced by Bevo, explaining the business of propagation in more detail and its business more generally can be seen here:
Pictured above: seedling tomatoes at the Bevo facility (source: Bevo website)
Throughout its history, Bevo generated consistent revenue growth and was EBITDA and EBIT positive every year as a public company (click to enlarge):
The above chart illustrates the stability of revenue growth over time, with the exception of 2007 to 2010 during the great recession, a period of stagnation in the greenhouse industry likely due to capital constraints at the time. However, during that difficult economic period, the company remained EBIT profitable.
The following charts compare Bevo's greenhouse acreage growth versus various operating metrics since 2000:
Despite exogenous factors impacting the company during the great recession, revenue and EBITDA grew over its history, while operating metrics like gross profit margin and SG&A per acre were consistent and stable. We think Bevo's ability to grow while sustaining healthy operating metrics over the long-run (and especially a decreasing SG&A per acre) is a testament to the operating capabilities of its management.
Lastly, these operational achievements drove attractive long-term shareholder returns. The following chart is a long-term share price history for Bevo, from March 2011 (beginning of period for which share price data was readily available) to October 4th, 2018, the last trading day prior to its announcement to conversion to cannabis. Its ~7.5 year total shareholder return was an impressive 38.4% per annum.
While we acknowledge that cannabis is much different from the plants grown at the Bevo facility in the past, the operational consistency and excellence achieved prior by Leo Benne (now Zenabis' Chief Growing Officer) and his team at Bevo give us confidence that Zenabis can be successful in cannabis production as well.
Village Farms International Inc. ("VFI") (VFF) is a producer and marketer of greenhouse grown produce such as tomatoes, peppers and cucumbers and operates over 240 acres of greenhouses in the US and Canada. In 2017 it contributed 25 of those acres to a 50/50 joint venture with Emerald Health Therapeutics, Inc. (EMHTF) called Pure Sunfarms, a Canadian licensed cannabis producer. The following is a summary VFI's operating history as a public company since 2007:
Although VFI's financial performance was solid in the early years shown above, its performance for the most recent past has stagnated, and is characterized by generally inconsistent revenue growth and margins.
The following charts compare Bevo and VFI on a few of the metrics offered above (click to enlarge):
These charts indicate that Bevo compares favorably to VFI's on some key metrics like gross profit margins, EBITDA margins, and per acre profitability/efficiency. Additionally, as Bevo grew its acreage over time, it was able to consistently reduce its overhead (SG&A) per acre.
Lastly, the following chart compares percentage share price returns for Bevo and VFI from March 2011 (starting point at which data was readily available) to June 4th, 2017, the last day of trading prior to VFI's announcement of conversion to cannabis (i.e. last directly comparable period of trading history).
For the 6.2 year period above, Bevo's share price outperformed VFI's by a reasonable margin, with the companies achieving annualized shareholder returns for the period of ~33.2% and ~9.9%, respectively.
While we acknowledge that upstream propagation (Bevo) and downstream produce growing (VFI) are different businesses with different economic drivers, we think cannabis investors may find these comparisons instructive.
We think Cubic's development and commercialization is an excellent example of Bevo and the Benne family’s ability to innovate in agriculture. As well, the spin out of Cubic is an example of Bevo's past willingness to unlock shareholder value in a fair way, and the spin out has so far proven to be a material windfall for prior Bevo shareholders.
Cubic (cubicfarms.com) is a developer and marketer of its proprietary indoor vertical farming system contained within a forty-foot shipping container designed for commercial scale food production anywhere in the world. The patented technology was pioneered and developed over almost a decade by Jack and Leo Benne and commercialization is now underway by Cubic. Its technology is deployed/purchased on a commercial scale by independent farmer-partners and jurisdictions around the world. The following is an excellent video illustrating the CubicFarm technology and its business model:
Concurrent with the RTO, Bevo spun out to existing shareholders its ~41% interest Cubic (Cubic is currently private but it is anticipated that Cubic will be listed for trading on the TSX Venture Exchange in Q2 of 2019). As a private company, Cubic recently raised $10m of capital at a $100m valuation, which values the prior Bevo interest in Cubic at ~$25m, a windfall for prior Bevo shareholders. Cubic recently provided its shareholders with an operational update that indicates the company is making significant progress deploying its systems globally.
Pictured above: A 12-machine CubicFarm located at Bevo's Pitt Meadows, BC, facility (company website).
With what we believe is leading technology, Cubic is well-positioned to take advantage of the rapid growth of the vertical farming industry. The future potential, driven by favourable shifts in macro-economic, consumer preference, and technological trends, has fueled considerable interest and investment; major players in the vertical farming industry have received ~$400 in funding from high-profile investors such as (AMZN), (GOOG) and Softbank:
(source: Cubic Investor Presentation)
A key aspect of the investment thesis for Cubic is that it appears to be one of the best business models in the indoor vertical farming industry; the level of automation inside its growing machines significantly reduces the required land footprint and capital and labour costs relative to the more common warehouse "rack-and-stack" model of is competitors. Curious readers are encouraged to view the above content for Cubic, and the websites of its three main competitors, Plenty, AeroFarms and Bowery Farming, and draw their own conclusions as to the potential of each business model relative to Cubic's.
We think the historical achievements and success at Bevo are instructive and should give Zenabis investors some confidence that its management is competent, innovative and trustworthy. And lastly, we are hopeful that the Bevo management and the original founders of Zenabis will work together to create a world-class cannabis company with proud employees respected by consumers and shareholders alike.
Disclosure: I am/we are long zbisf / TSXV:ZENA.
Additional disclosure: THE ANALYSES AND CONCLUSIONS DEVELOPED BY THE AUTHOR CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE BASED ON PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION.
THE VIEWS AND CONCLUSIONS IN THIS REPORT ARE THOSE AND ONLY THOSE OF THE AUTHOR.
THE WORDS ‘US’, ‘OUR’ OR ‘WE’ REFERS SIMPLY TO THE AUTHOR.
THIS PRESENTATION AND THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION OR SOLICITATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITIES.
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