Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) -- Bi-Monthly Update
Apple, Inc. is doing what it likes to do, suck in investors prior to a pull-back. The next Forecast Pull-Back won't be for awhile so my advice to Investors is to do what you want to do but be Warned.
My weekly study of all my High Profile Technology / Hardware - says that this Apple is not as juicy as in the past. My weekly studies are fun for me and Apple, Inc. is or was the "Darling of Wall Street" and will be said to have been one of the leaders of the coming Bear Market. I am please to have called the high in late summer of 2012. I have spent so much time and experience in the study of Companies like (AAPL).
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
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This week's Commentary on - Apple, Inc. (AAPL) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Apple, Inc. and quite a number of other Technology Sector Companies are still not tracking well with the General Market. Although (AAPL) remains in a meaningful Pull-Back, (current rally accepted) however it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics.
My Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Technology Companies, the securities are (as always) both strong and weak. Apple, Inc. is currently weak with nothing from my approach to Forecasting to support Buying or Owning it for the foreseeable future. My Fundamental Valuation is less than positive compared to years past. There I have placed it on a Strong Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (AAPL) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are improving from being negative but are not impressive.
My Opinion is to HOLD-CASH and not participate in all the hoop-law that is presented so freely, these days. If it is to regain prominence in the coming months, believe me I will be ready to turn bullish again. Until then . . .
Fundamentally: My Analytics (weighting 40%) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in my being profitable in managing money "wisely." At this time my Valuations of (AAPL) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are Improving and then Descending again. I also expect Revenue Growth to start on a Decline. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company.
Technically: Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are continuing to down. It is seriously off its highs of $684. selling for $491. The current rally is well in place but I do not expect it to move a lot higher before turning Down again. This rally and the impending pull-back will tell a compelling story as to the future direction of the price of (AAPL).
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (AAPL) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Apple, Inc. (AAPL)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Investing Wisely" and doing their homework well. Apple, Inc. (AAPL) has taken some big hits over the years. Have a look.
URL for (20-years of -(AAPL): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AAPL&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p91377749790&a=300758175
A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (AAPL):
URL for this representation of - (AAPL): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AAPL&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p33885918181&a=293685191
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Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Technology Hardware Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: AAPL, EMC, NTAP, DELL, HPQ, DDD, FIO, WDC, SGI, SSYS, STX, SMT, AUO, NCR.
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