Pan American Silver Corp. (NASDAQ:PAAS) -- Bi-Monthly Update
Pan American Silver is looking more sickly than Silver itself. I just completed my weekly study of all my High Profile Basic Materials / Silver Miners - - Indexes, Companies and ETFs. This is a study that is more than a treat for me to do because I get to update and explore Commodities and Companies like (PAAS). Over and over again, it supports my Methodology of "Investing Wisely."
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
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This week's Commentary on - Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Pan American Silver Corp. and other Silver Mining Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (PAAS) remains in a Strong Down Trend (with the recent rally - June thru August noted) it has always been an excellent contributor to my Analytics.
My Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Silver Mining Companies or ETFs, the securities are definitely a mixed bag and mostly not very compelling for me to own. Pan American Silver Corp. is currently weak Technically. I have analytics regarding my Fundamental Valuation, but I have kept it on my Strong Bearish Forecast - "Warning" List for over 2 years now.
My Opinion is to HOLD-CASH in anticipation of a future Buying Opportunity. Yes, I said "Buying" opportunity but don't get excited quite yet. Jumping the gun could be very costly.
Fundamentally: My Analytics (weighting 40%) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (PAAS) are not as bad as they were and are improving. They are definitely not as positive as perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are improving but currently Un-Impressive. That could change but not for the foreseeable future.
Technically: Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is only currently slightly off its highs in2011 of $24. selling for $9+. The next rally in Silver may be coming soon and that will tell a compelling story as to the future direction of the price of (PAAS). The current rally from $19 to $28 is impressive but the risk was and is much too great. Pan American Silver is currently a Company you do not want in your portfolio.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (PAAS) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Investing Wisely" and doing their homework well. Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) has taken some big hits over the years.
URL for (20-years of -(PAAS): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PAAS&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p21473785359&a=316931583
A Rather Unique Chart / Graphic on (PAAS):
URL for this representation of - (PAAS): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PAAS&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p53889817373&a=316665131
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Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Silver Mining Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: SLW, HL, PAAS, BVN, EXK, CDE, SSRI, AG, GPL, AXU, FSM, SVLC, MVG, ASM.
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