Google, Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) -- Bi-Monthly Update
Google once again is hitting new highs. That is nothing to set off alarms but it suggests holding a tight reign. Profit taking is not Forecast for the foreseeable future. However, Caution is warranted.
My weekly study of all my High Profile Technology / Internet Companies says Caution is worth the effort. This is a study that I enjoy very much and is a treat for me because I have so much time and experience in the study of Companies like (GOOG).
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
This week's Commentary on - Google, Inc. (GOOG) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum.
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Income Investors - As you know Google does not pay a Dividend
My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.
The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Google. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Google, Inc. and other Internet Sector Companies are tracking well. Although Google, Inc. is in a strong Rally it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. My Forecast have been solid for almost 5 years now and that is a good feeling………
Forecasted Performance - - - Bullish Cycle - Still Performing Well
The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog. Aggressive Investors only - Please.
Typically, "Pazazz Performance" does come from Companies like (GOOG). In good times this conservative giant will always out perform the Blue Chip and many of my Bellwether Companies. This is often with equal risk and obviously a superior reward.
Google, Inc. (GOOG)
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"
At this time (GOOG) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - over the past few years of about +45%. (that's per year - not including dividends).
It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.
Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:
March, 2009 @ $312.00
Performance to Date: +225%
Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Google, Inc. - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.
Google has been easy to accurately Forecast for a very long time now. There are many Companies like (GOOG) that can and do produce superior profits. The risk of owning Companies are in a Top or Favorable category is no greater than owning the Big Blue / Conservative ones! I can prove this to you if you are interested.
Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think ! It is not all the bad either !
If you own or are considering owning Internet Companies, the securities are a mixed bag. Google, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuations, therefore I have placed it on an Initial (very weak) Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is Hold with Caution !
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ), my Valuations remain strong and positive with solid future upside projections. The problem is my Valuations are on the decline, first back up a bit and then back down or sideways. This translates into just one word I used above - "Caution."
Technically - ( weighting - - 35% ), my Indicators are clearly breaking down. A re-bound rally is in process - - the strength of which is excellent. Google did not move very well for almost three years (2010 thru mid 2012). Looking back helps in looking forward. Google is selling near its highs of $1,046.
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (GOOG) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Google, Inc. (GOOG)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to do their homework and "Invest Wisely." Google, Inc. (GOOG), like most all other quality Companies, has taken some big hits over the years.
URL for (20-years of) GOOG: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GOOG&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p25179194005&a=300758179
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Internet Industry Group that I focus on: GOOG, FB, BIDU, YHOO, LNKD, YNDX, TRIP, AKAM, GRPN, IACI, YOKU, AOL, AWAY, YELP, SOHU.
A Word That Has Been Very Good to Both Me and My Clients
The Word is "Confirmations." I started using this word or better-said "procedure" many years ago when I became dissatisfied by the results of some of my Investments.
It has now become rather simple for me to be quite confident when Investing or making Formal Recommendations. Before taking any position I run through a "Check List" that has increased my percent of profitable investments from good to over 95%. It has also increased my profitability by over 5% (often much more) per transaction. It is very satisfying to me to share this when Investors ask about my professional fees for asset management services.
If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!
Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions). Just so you know you will have access to over 600 articles where I share my Analytics. In addition I have recently published all 500 of the S&P 500 Large-Cap component Companies. And, 200 of each of the S&P 400 Mid-Cap and S&P 600 Small-Cap component Companies. I stay quite busy doing my homework for my Clients.
I hope you will find my "stuff" very well worth your Time and very Accurate.
Thanks. . .
Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"