Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC) -- Bi-Monthly Update
Intel is looking rather "sad-sack" since early 2012 when it took a 25% dive. The recovery has not made it back to the highs and that is definitely ominous. The current rally is showing strength, but I have my longer-term doubts about holding. My previous articles on INTC ( just click) will provide you with the exact history of my Forecasting accuracy.
My weekly study of all my High Profile Technology / Semiconductors is complete and there is little support for notably higher prices in the making. This is a study that like because I have spent so many years in gaining experience in the study of Tech. Companies like (INTC). It is like visiting with an old friends, in my case for over 50 years.
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 3.73%
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This week's Commentary on - Intel Corp. (INTC) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
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The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Intel. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Intel Corp. and other Technology Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (INTC) is in a recovering Rally and not doing what most investor have expected. It is, however always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. The Company has supported my Forecasts for many years, so be prudent and careful at this time. My Forecast was to sell in early 2012 and I did. I did not come back in to Intel - the fundamentals just did not support ownership.
The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog.
Typically, "Pazazz Performance" definitely does not come from Companies like (INTC). Yet in good times this conservative giant does the job quite well along with paying a decent dividend.
Intel Corp. (INTC)
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"
My Forecast took Intel to Cash in June of 2012 with a profit of 92%.
At this time (INTC) remains in a rather new Bullish mode and has produced a profit for this short period of about +20%. (that's per year - not including dividends).
It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.
Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:
February, 2013 @ $20.00
Performance to Date: +20%
Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Intel - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.
Accurate and Profitable Forecasting when coupled with Appropriate Highly Selective Recommendations can be performed on any security on the planet, even the ones in your portfolio and giants like Intel Corp..
Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Semiconductor Companies, the securities are currently and definitely a mixed bag with more bad than good. However, many are doing very well. Intel Corp. is currently relatively strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore, I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits.
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (INTC) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are looking anemic again. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company for a long-term Hold.
Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is only currently off its highs of 2012 at $27, and its more near-term highs of $25. it is selling for $24. This current rally will tell a compelling story as to the future direction of the price of (INTC). That is a very long drought for being profitable with your investment dollars!
I am not impressed with Intel Corp. My Indicators started breaking down in early 2012 and the price has been un-impressive ever since. Until (INTC) gets something positive going both Fundamentally and Technically I will not consider it for my Clients portfolios.
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (INTC) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Intel Corp. (INTC)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to Invest Wisely. Intel Corp. (INTC) has taken some big hits over the years. Have a look.
URL for (20-years of -(INTC): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=INTC&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p09258817298&a=300758180
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Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Semiconductor Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: INTC, NVDA, TXN, LLTC, ISIL, STM, ASYS, AMD. And, many more . . .
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