Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) -- Bi-Monthly Update
Amazon is, as expected and Forecast reaching new highs in each previous market rally. It's fundamentals tell me that it should continue to do well until there is a major break in the general market. You may want to review my articles on AMZN (just click) you will be provided with the exact history of the accuracy of my Forecasting / Formal Recommendations and much more.
Performance (my 5-Year Table) for Amazon.com, Inc. is available by clicking: (AMZN) I treat Amazon just like any other Company, and my performance is an excellent credential that I will not hesitate to move my Clients to Cash when my Forecast dictates.
My High Profile Cyclicals / Consumer Services / Internet Commerce Companies continue to be strong with few exceptions. Companies like (AMZN) have earned their strong position in the marketplace.
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
This week's Commentary on - Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum.
My Mission is to provide guidance and directions for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to Clients.
For my Support Article for my Bi-Monthly Updates - Just Click - - >
Please connect with "My Focus Article." Just Click: https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2057252-my-focus-article
Important: Please Click and Read the following URL - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2134782-supportive-information-for-my-bi-monthly-update-articles
- - -
Income Investors - - As you know Amazon pays no Dividend !
My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.
The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Amazon.com. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
- - -
Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Amazon.com, Inc. and other Internet Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (AMZN) is in a strong Rally it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. My Forecasts have been "on the button" even with the 20% Pull-Back of late 2011. Re-Buying after that was easy.
Forecasted Performance - - - Bullish Cycle - Still Performing Well:
The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog. Aggressive Investors only - Please.
Typically, "Pazazz Performance" does come from Companies like (AMZN). In good times this conservative Company will always out perform the Blue Chip and many of my Bellwether Companies. This is often with equal risk and obviously a superior reward.
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"
At this time (AMZN) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - over the past few years of about +97%. (there are no dividends).
It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.
Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:
March, 2009 @ $62.00
Performance to Date: +485%
Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Amazon.com, Inc. - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.
My Forecasting ALWAYS highlights Companies like (AMZN) and therefore Performance / Profits like the above can be more easily attained and sustained. It is not an exception it is just one of many low risk / high reward Companies. Try me and you will see. . .
Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .
My Current Forecast is even more bright as you may think - the only thing that can stop it is a General Market that turns Bearish!
If you own or are considering owning Internet Commerce Companies, the securities require "Selectivity" (see below). Amazon.com, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuations, therefore I have placed it on an Initial (very light) Bearish Forecast - "Warning." This is because I am a very cautious Asset Manager.
My Current Opinion is Hold with (modest) Caution !
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ), my Valuations remains very strong but are producing some declining projections. Even with greatly superior earnings when a decline begins the price of the Company most often follows.
Technically - ( weighting - - 35% ), my Indicators have not started to break down, but they will in time. A re-bound rally is in force - - the strength of which is very positive. I spend time looking back at the price movement and compare them with my Fundamental Valuation notes. (AMZN) is on recent highs of $383.
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (AMZN) !
- - -
A Twenty Year Perspective of Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to do their homework and "Invest Wisely." Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), like most all other quality Companies, has taken some big hits over the years.
URL for (20-years of) (AMZN): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AMZN&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p48666896104&a=311129746
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Internet - Commerce Industry Group that I focus on: AMZN, GRPN, EBAY, NFLX, OWW, IACI, PCLN, MELI, MCOX, PETS, OSTK.
- - -
A Word That Has Been Very Good to Both Me and My Clients
The Word is "Confirmations." I started using this word or better-said "procedure" many years ago when I became dissatisfied by the results of some of my Investments.
It has now become rather simple for me to be quite confident when Investing or making Formal Recommendations. Before taking any position I run through a "Check List" that has increased my percent of profitable investments from good to over 95%. It has also increased my profitability by over 5% (often much more) per transaction. It is very satisfying to me to share this when Investors ask about my professional fees for asset management services.
If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!
Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions). Just so you know you will have access to over 600 articles where I share my Analytics. In addition I have recently published all 500 of the S&P 500 Large-Cap component Companies. And, 200 of each of the S&P 400 Mid-Cap and S&P 600 Small-Cap component Companies. I stay quite busy doing my homework for my Clients.
I hope you will find my "stuff" very well worth your Time and very Accurate.
Thanks. . .
Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"