Contributor Since 2007
Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) -- Semi-Monthly Update
Pfizer has been topping since April and few investors realize just how much risk they have borne for these months. The October / November rally has returned it to a new high - - but I still have fundamental concerns. The Fundamentals do not support the current prices.
My previous articles on PFE (just click) will provide you with the exact history of my Forecasting accuracy and much more.
Performance (my 5-Year Table) for Income Allocation Model Portfolios is available by clicking: Income Performance. I believe it accurately shares the rather positive results by first Forecasting and then making Investment Decisions. I hope you will agree.
I have completed my weekly study of all my High Profile Health Care / Pharmaceuticals. This study week by week has been tough because Health Care Analytics has been so strong. I like the adventure but this time my patience has been strained to the max. Companies like (PFE) have just been held up in price by what I call "Big Money" but that will soon stop.
My objective is, as always, to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
This week's Commentary on - Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield for (PFE): 3.17%
I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission. Let me know when I can offer you support. Perhaps reading my support article will be of interest. Just Click - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2101922-income-investing-seniors-retirees-and-conservative-investors-deserve-better-service-as-well-as-profitable-direction-and-guidance
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My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.
The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Pfizer, Inc. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Pfizer, Inc. and other Health Care / Pharma. Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (PFE) is currently in a strong Rally it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. My Forecasting has remained positive for about four years.
Forecasted Performance - - - Bullish Cycle - Weakening Fundamentally:
The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog.
Typically, "Pazazz Performance" does not come from Companies like (PFE). In good times this conservative giant does the job quite well along with paying a decent dividend.
Pfizer, Inc. (PFE)
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"
At this time (PFE) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - over the past few years of about +31%. (that's per year - not including dividends).
It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.
Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:
July, 2009 @ $12.25
Performance to Date: +153%
Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Pfizer, Inc. - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.
Accurate and Profitable Forecasting and Appropriate Highly Selective Recommendations can be performed on any security on the planet. Including ALL Health Care Companies and ETFs.
Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .
My Current Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Pharmaceutical Companies, the securities have definitely become a mixed bag most remain positive, but look out. Pfizer, Inc. is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, there I have placed it on an Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."
My Current Opinion is to HOLD with Caution in anticipation of taking profits.
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics (weighting - - 40%) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (PFE) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are Improving and then Descending again. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company.
Technically - ( weighting - - 35% ): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are notably breaking down. It is currently just off of its highs of $32.50 and selling at $30. This current rally is telling a compelling story as to the future direction of the price of (PFE). My problem is that both fundamentally and technically there is little to support higher prices. I will just do the same old thing and monitor all my criterion very closely.
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. I believe that is because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of this - have a look.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (PFE) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Pfizer, Inc. (PFE)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Invest Wisely." Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) has taken some big hits over the years. Have a look. . .
URL for (20-years of -(PFE): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PFE&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p54194614032&a=312039538
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity." You might like to read my most-recent article on why I believe Selectivity is so critical for profiting in today's Marketplace. You might want to check out "Be Selective II - Just Click - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2066602-flash-update-be-selective-ii
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Large Cap Phama. Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: PFE, JNJ, MRK, BMY, ABT, LLY, ABBV, AGN, GSK, AZN, NVS, SNY, NVO.
If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!
Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions). Just so you know you will have access to over 600 articles where I share my Analytics. In addition I have recently published all 500 of the S&P 500 Large-Cap component Companies. And, 200 of each of the S&P 400 Mid-Cap and S&P 600 Small-Cap component Companies. I stay quite busy doing my homework for my Clients.
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Thanks. . .
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