Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) -- Semi-Monthly Update
Hewlett-Packard still looks scary both fundamentally and technically - again! When I look at and compare this or any Company with its peers I get a huge advantage over most Investors - I call it perspective. There is always a best and a worst. (HPQ) is one of the worst Dow 30 component Companies. But, I concede it is back near its July highs. I also have profited over the past year, rather handsomely.
My previous articles on HPQ (just click) will provide you with the exact history of my Forecasting and its accuracy.
My Performance for Hewlett-Packard can be found below and is well over 75% for the past year of Holding.
My weekly study of all my High Profile Technology / Computer Hardware - - Indexes, Companies and ETFs. This is a study that is a pleasure for me to do because I get to update and explore Companies like (HPQ). Each time, it supports my Methodology of "Investing Wisely."
My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 2.06%
I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective. Peace of Mind for you is my mission. Let me know when I can offer you support. Perhaps reading my support article will be of interest. Just Click - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2101922-income-investing-seniors-retirees-and-conservative-investors-deserve-better-service-as-well-as-profitable-direction-and-guidance
This week's Commentary on - Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.
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My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.
Note: The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Hewlett-Packard. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.
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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:
Hewlett-Packard Company and other Technology / Computer Hardware Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (HPQ) is in a strong (recovery) Rally and even with the recent mini pull-backs, it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics.
I suggest it is beginning to tell a Bearish Story. . . Back in 2011, my Forecasts called the Down-Turn where-in the Companies Price was cut in half and then half again ($45 to $22 and then $28 to $12). This time around it is $12 to $25 so far. This is one of my perfect Dow 30 Stories in sharing -- why I spend so much time Forecasting. I hope you will become comfortable with this Methodology of "Investing Wisely."
The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog.
Typically, "Pazazz Performance" does not come from Companies like (HPQ). In good times this conservative - - not so exciting giant does the job quite well along with paying a decent dividend.
Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ)
Forecasted Bullish "Alerts"
Ascending - BUT - Nothing Supports Higher Prices from HERE!
At this time (HPQ) remains in a Bullish mode and has produced an annualized profit - for just this past year (less than 12 months) of about +79%. (that's - not including dividends).
It, however is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.
Forecast Bullish "Alert" -- Initiated:
December, 2012 @ $14.00
Performance to Date: +79%
Click on the Green Arrow to read my Archive of my most recent and past Articles, on Hewlett-Packard Company - - including my on going Forecasts and Opinions.
Accurate and Profitable Forecasting and Appropriate Highly Selective Recommendations can be performed on any security on the planet. My Forecasts for this Company has saved many Followers a lot of money!
Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .
My Current Forecast is not as bright as most investors may think! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Computer Hardware Companies, the securities are definitely a mixed bag of both good and not so good. Hewlett-Packard Company is currently strong Technically but I have reservations about my Fundamental Valuation, therefore I have placed it on a New Strong Bearish Forecast - "Warning." It does not get any worst than this in my public postings.
My Current Opinion is Strong Caution Again and to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits and then Holding-Cash.
Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ), my Valuations remains Un-impressive and are "Flat" to "Negative" producing future negative and declining projections.
Technically - ( weighting - - 35% ), my Indicators are clearly breaking down again. The pull-back since early 2011 at about $46, currently it is selling for $28. The technical picture is offering strong support for my Bearish "Warning." A re-bound rally was in the making and will eventually occur - - the strength of which will be very important as to when I will advise Clients to "Take Profits - and - move to Holding-Cash."
Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. I believe that is because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of this - have a look.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (HPQ) !
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A Twenty Year Perspective of Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ)
It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Invest Wisely." Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) has taken some big hits over the years. Recall my the word I used above - "Perspective."
URL for (20-years of -(HPQ): http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=HPQ&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p17808231167&a=313666669
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity." You might like to read my most-recent article on why I believe Selectivity is so critical for profiting in today's Marketplace. You might want to check out "Be Selective II - Just Click - - > https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2066602-flash-update-be-selective-ii
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Computer Hardware Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: HPQ, AAPL, EMC, DDD, DELL, NTAP, STX, WDC, FIO, RSYS, PAY, NCR, QTM. There are many more.
If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!
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Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"