Global ( 30+ Country ) Markets - Ex U.S. - - Supporting Analytics W/ Table Of Guidance And Performance - - January 8th:

Long/Short Equity
Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2007
Global ( 30+ Country ) Markets - Ex U.S. - - Supporting Analytics w/ Table of Guidance and Performance - - January 8th:
My logo for Over 50 Years is: "Investing Wisely."
My Global Country Table below lists my Global (Country) Markets for an on going perspective of World Economies, Finance and their respective Stock Markets.
Please Scroll Down to my Table where-in I share my Current Forecast and Opinions - - Updated at least Weekly. There are about 30+ Countries or Area Indices represented. (please see Table below - scroll down).
My on going Analytics (research) with Global Markets is the same as for any U.S. Indices / Sectors / Industry Groups / Commodities / ETFs or Company. That is to identify - Just the Current - most Favorable investment securities, in Bullish Time Frames as well as - Just the Current - most Un-Favorable investment securities, in Bearish Time Frames for conservative and low-risk ownership.
During periods of uncertainty, that is in between (Favorable / Unfavorable), I Formally Recommend to my Clients to HOLD-CASH. Cash is a wise choice that many Investors seem to ignore when trying to "Invest Wisely." Holding Cash during these "uncertain time frames clearly improves my annual performance by at least ten percent or more, each and every year.
Global Markets is just one of the many Analytic (research) Categories that I maintain very detailed Asset Management Notes and Lists including, Forecasts and Opinions and for my Formal Recommendations to my Clients. Again, this is just part of my work in order to stay ahead of doing my job well - that is - - "Investing Wisely."
Clearly, this means that in Bullish Cycles I am going to focus on and primarily work with (investments in) the most Favorable securities. Conversely, in Bearish Cycles I am going to focus on and primarily work (investments in) with the most Un-Favorable securities.
Typically this Favorable / Un-Favorable research procedure can easily be separated into the Top 10% and the Bottom 10%. I always stretch this by just a bit so I can provide proper Asset Allocation for my Clients. For example: my Universe of quality Companies is well over 2,000 Companies. That means I have and maintain Asset Management Lists, for Buying in Bullish Cycles over 200 Candidates on my Favorable - Buy List and the same on my Un-Favorable - Short-Sell List. I seldom Buy (make Formal Buy or Short-Sell Recommendations) for more than 20 different securities in order to meet my Client's - Asset Allocation Model.
That means, I am "Cherry Picking" from what I believe are the most conservative, lowest risk Companies / Securities that have the highest probability and price appreciation projections from a wide number of very lucrative sources. (please re-read this last sentence a second or third time). With regard to Bearish Cycles in the Stock Market the above "example" works the same only with an opposite perspective.
Each Country, around the world, listed below in my Table has a number of quality component Companies that are often listed on the U.S. Exchanges such as the New York and the Nasdaq. (I only research and offer opinions on their ADRs.) There are also, most often, ETFs for each Country.
I realize there are other and many more Global "Indexes" and welcome your suggestions. My Methodology for Analytics is applicable to any Index / Indice / Sector / Industry Group / Commodity / Company or ETF.
To Keep-Up (view my Updates as they occur) with my Most Favorable and Most Un-Favorable - Please Consider Becoming Familiar with my Personal Blog.
URL: http://investingwisely-rotation.blogspot.mx/?spref=tw
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My Universe of Global Markets - Countries with a Symbol ID - - - Current Forecast and Current Opinion - - Hold - or - Hold Cash - - Performance. . .
Symbol |
Name of Country & Exchange |
Current Forecast / Current Opinion & Performance of Forecasts for Future Client - Formal Recommendations |
$MERV |
Argentina - MerVal Index |
I am on a: Strong Bullish "Alert" / HOLD . . . but prudence is warranted. It is rewarding big time, but has a history of hurting big time too! ADRs: PZE, TEFOF, TEO. Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - November 2012 2009 @ $205 - - Profit to Date: 134% |
$P2DOW |
Asia/Pacific - Ex Japan Index |
I am on a: Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING CASH - for now . . . Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - May 2012 @ $300 -- Moved to HOLDING-CASH - - October 2013 @ $366 - - Profit: 22% |
$AORD |
Australia - ASX All Ords Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Topping is getting Serious! Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - June 2009 @ $3750 - - Profit to Date: 42% |
$BEL |
Belgium - Brussels - Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Topping is getting Serious! Performance: Later |
$BVSP |
Brazil - Bovespa Index |
I am on a : Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-CASH - for now . . . ADRs: BMIX, BRZG, many others. Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - February 2009 @ $3750 - - Moved to Cash in October 2010 @ $7100 - - Profit: 89% |
$CADOW |
Canada - Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Profits for 2009 through 2010 were 50%. I went to Cash for 2011 and part of 2012. Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - March 2012 @ $380 - - Profit to Date: 19% |
$FTX |
China - FTSE/Xinhua 50 Index |
I am on a: Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING CASH - for now . . . I also have China on my Buy List |
$FXT |
China - FTSE/Xinhua 25 Index |
same |
$DJCHINA |
China - Broad Market Index |
same |
$MSEMF |
Emerging Markets - Index |
I am on a: Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-CASH - for now . . . I also have Emerging Markets on my Buy List |
$STOX5E |
EURO - STOXX 50 |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - May 2012 @ $2100 - - Profit to Date: 48% |
$E1DOW |
Europe - Index |
same |
$XEO |
European - S&P 100 Index |
same |
$EUR |
European - Top 100 |
same |
$FRDOW |
France - Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$CAC |
French - CAC 40 Index |
same |
$DAX |
Germany - DAX Composite |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$DEDOW |
Germany - Index |
same |
$FTSE |
Great Britain - London Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$HSI |
Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$BSE |
India - Bombay 30 Sensex Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$ITDOW |
Italy - Stock Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$NK300 |
Japan - Tokyo Nikkei 300 Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . - - This Warning is Getting Serious. Performance: Later - - |
$NIKK |
Japan - Tokyo Nikkei Average |
same |
$A3DOW |
Latin American - Index |
I am on a: Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-CASH - for now . . . Performance: No Positions Taken. |
$MYDOW |
Malaysia - Stock Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - November 2011 @ $272 - - Profit to Date: 27% |
$MXX |
Mexico - Bolsa IPC Stock Index |
I am on a: Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-CASH - for now . . . Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - November 2011 @ $51 -- Moved to CASH - - July 2013 @ $69 - - Profit: 35% |
$INW |
Mexico - iShares Index |
same |
$MXDOW |
Mexico - Stock Index |
same |
$AEX |
Netherlands - Amsterdam Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$P2DOW |
Philippines - PSE Composite Index |
I am on a: Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-CASH - for now . . . Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - July 2009 @ $2400 -- Moved to CASH - - July 2013 @ $6700 - - Profit: 179% |
$RTSI |
Russia - (RTS) Index |
I am on a: Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-CASH - for now . . . Performance: Initiated Bullish Forecast - - July 2009 @ $825 -- Moved to CASH - - July 2011 @ $1910 - - Profit: 132% |
$DJSH |
Shanghai - Index |
I am on a: Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-CASH - for now . . . |
$SSEC |
Shanghai - Composite Index |
Same |
$STI |
Singapore - Straits Index |
I am on a: Strong Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-CASH - for now . . . Singapore has gone - NO-WHERE - for several years! |
$KOSPI |
South Korea - Seoul Composite |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$IBEX |
Spain - Bolsa IBEX 35 Index |
I am on a: Strong Bullish "Alert" / HOLD . . . Topping is getting Serious. |
$ESDOW |
Spain - Stock Index |
same |
$SEDOW |
Sweden - Stock Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$SMI |
Swiss - Market Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
$TWII |
Taiwan - Weighted Index |
I am on an: Initial Bearish "Warning" / HOLDING-LONG - for now . . . Performance: Later |
Notes for Table: The Symbol and Country Name / Exchange Description is simple what Global Indices I use to keep my Analytics and Perspective both current and accurate. (Symbols are those necessary to use StockCharts.com) My Forecast and Opinion: For Public Publication I have four ( 4 ) designations. Each are Dynamic, meaning they are in transition and often illusive to the Public Investor. Forecast: In my Analytics - - I note if - "they" are: a) Going-Up perhaps further -Strong Bullish "Alert" b) Anticipating their Going-Up after "Bottoming" more - Initial Bullish "Alert" c) Coming-Down perhaps further - Strong Bearish "Warning" d) Anticipating their after Coming-Down after "Topping" more - Initial Bearish "Warning." * Initial Bullish "Alert" : This Opinion tells you that at this time, I am sufficiently convinced that the security will become a Buy or a Cover at some reasonable (in weeks) future date. * Strong Bullish "Alert" : This Opinion tells you that at this time, I either own - or - would consider owning this security, if at a future date it met my very stringent "Confirmation" criterion. * Initial Bearish "Warning" : This Opinion tells you that at this time, I am sufficiently convinced that the security will become a Sell or a Short at some reasonable (in weeks) future date. * Strong Bearish "Warning" : This Opinion tells you that at this time, I either HOLD-CASH - or - would consider shorting this security, if at a future date it met my very stringent "Confirmation" criterion. Opinion: ** HOLD : My Opinion is most often to Hold the security for Now. That means I believe that you will benefit for at least the Near-Term (1 - 20 trading days or more). It definitely does not mean I would relax, especially if my Forecast is Bearish. ** HOLD-CASH : I typically Hold-Cash after terminating a security from my or my Client's Portfolio. I strongly suggest that Holding-Cash is one of the most prudent strategies of "Investing Wisely." Remember CASH gives you Buying-Power for the next Bullish or Bearish Inflection Point or Cycle. What is my "Confirmation" Procedure and Why does it Work? It is a very precise way to do what I call a "Reality Check" during the time frames that I am Holding-Cash and just prior to Buying / Selling - or - Shorting / Covering. It is a Procedure that I have developed for running a multi-point check of many Fundamentals and Technicals that have consistently provided Profits for over 50 years. - - - At this point, my Methodology of "Investing Wisely" gets much more complex. Working with any of the above four Opinions a very clear and precise Forecast is then developed and noted on my Asset Management Lists. I have just two Lists one for Bull Market Buying and one for Bear Market Shorting. From my Forecast I can - - for any given security - - I project the probability of profit as well as an accurate percent profit projection - for each security. That is a big file of notes for possible future investments. In order to make a Formal Recommendation of a specific security to my Clients I must have a "probability of profit" of over 90% and a "percent profit projection" of over 20%. This criterion produces consistent and meaningful annual profits. Clearly, those "files" are whittled down to a Select and well honed group of Candidates for Buying (C4Bs) and Candidates for Shorting (C4Ss). It requires a great deal of "Know How" / Time / both Discipline and Patience. (Do you have those investing ingredients going for you?) At Bullish or Bearish Inflection Points there are always an ample number of securities that meet the above criterion. Yes, my old lists have become worthless because the Companies and ETFs - - Rotate or Cycle in an out of Favor - over time. That is why I work daily on my Asset Management Lists for future Buying and Shorting. My Buy List or my Shorting List may or may not come from the above Global (Country) Market Indexes. And, you should know that I primarily focus on the U.S. Market because there is typically much more "raw material" to work with. Concluding Note: More information and data available upon Email request. Please ask specific questions so I can meet you need for understanding my Methodology for "Investing Wisely." |
Forecasts for Consistent Annual Profits
For me and for over 50 years of managing other people's money - It all begins with Accurate Forecasting and supporting Analytic Procedures. Then it requires Well Honed Fundamental - Valuations, Technical (Unique) Analysis and Consensus Opinion Confirmations. It ends with three things: a) Bullish or Bearish Hold - or - Hold-Cash Recommendations; b) at appropriate and prudent time frames - Formal Recommendations to my Clients; c) Dedicated Asset Management with Profitable Results.
Forecasting the Market, then the Sectors, then the Industry Groups, then the Companies and then perhaps the ETFs in critical to the above and consistently enjoying an annual, extra-ordinarily profitable bottom line.
Forecasting is the essential first step of logging (making a list of) those Bullish and Favorable securities as well as those Bearish and Un-Favorable securities. The securities in-between Favorable and Un-Favorable will perhaps surface in a future time frame.
At Bullish Inflection Points (the beginning or continuance of a Bullish Cycle) - or - at Bearish Inflection Points ( the beginning or countenance of a Bearish Cycle) my Forecasting is always in place. Yes, I definitely "Cherry Pick."
Think about my so emphatically sharing the importance of Forecasting - Won't You?
Let's Focus on Investing in ETFs - Applicable for Some of these Global Markets
ETFs are a strange breed and an Investment security that you should understand very well before you invest your money. Some purportedly track or are in Sync with their Indice, Sector or Industry Group they are supposed to represent. Many do that job very well, but many do not! (Just a few words of Caution).
ETFs are similar to Mutual Funds in that they are managed by Securities Firms. My personal opinion is that - the skill, and expertise of the Asset Manager(s) is very often questionable, again from my perspective. Remember, they often diversify WAY beyond being reasonable boundaries because of three primary reasons. i) They often have WAY too much money to manage and cannot solely focus on the top tier or 10% of those Companies that are current "Favorable." This greatly mitigates their performance. ii) They totally impersonal and have no clue as to your investment/financial needs, goals and objectives. They just do their best and that is not good enough for me. iii) They NEVER take their portfolios to CASH. That is just plain Stupid!
Some ETFs are supposed to be one-on-one and others are leveraged. That too is a consideration before investing your money.
Suffice it to say: When Investing in ETFs" like any other security, Be Ware / Be Prepared / Be Patient and Disciplined with your Investment Decisions!
- - -
Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"
Dr. Steve
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.