Dissecting The Dow 30 Industrials -- Forecast – Archive - - - An Integral Part Of My Methodology For Enjoying - - Consistent / Superior - Annual Profits

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Steven Bauer's Blog
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Long/Short Equity

Contributor Since 2007

My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula from Wharton School of Finance that required an advanced background in math – that was in 1957. I have kept those old books of Charts, and the basic formula still produces profits. I'm pleased to say that the formula / algorithm is now calculated by computer, but I still get to draw fancy lines. If you would like to have further information about my work / analytics or perhaps my Professional Services - - asset management, mentoring or consulting – services . . . just send me an Email, click here, ( senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com ) and I will respond promptly. Please understand that this offer is for serious investors. I expect you to share just a bit about yourself and your investment objectives - that is important to me. Furthermore, I never read or respond to the Seeking Alpha generated Messages or any Comments on my articles. Unfortunately, my experience has been very unsatisfactory. If you are seriously interested in learning more about what I do - - please Email me. senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com I write a bi-weekly personal blog you might like. click here. http://twitter.com/#!/Invest Rotation Education: I have several degrees, i.e. post graduate degrees and two doctorates. And a great deal of (too much) continued financial education. For seven years, I was a University Professor of Finance and Economics. No question, I learned more than I taught! Licenses: I had all that were needed / required and more. Designations: Over all those years, there were many initials after my name! Business Experience: I owned a privately held asset-management firm and managed individual investor and corporate accounts as a Registered Investment Advisor - for over 40 years. Published Articles: I have written and published over 400 papers / articles for both local and national circulation. Current Status: In late 2007 I came out of retirement and re-entered my writing financial commentaries in various financial blogs. I began a Weekly, Commentary / Update for the ex-patriot locals here in Mexico. In my first issue, October 2007 – I recommended - Holding 100% Cash and forecast that the Marketplace was at a Top that was meaningful. To date, within this Weekly – Commentary / Update I have accurately identified all Inflection Points, i.e. the 2009 February and subsequent Lows. The December and the recent April Highs were also forecasted and identified. I have resumed offering Asset Management and Consulting / Mentoring services as a Boutique Research Firm Financial Analyst. Email me if you might be interestes. click here. I am currently also Blogging with SafeHaven.com / Community.Nasdaq.com and of course here in SA. I also maintain a Private Blog, click here ( http://twitter.com/#!/InvestRotation ). For twelve years, I maintained an International Website - Called: "The MoneyDr." Something to Ponder for those of you that might choose to "Follow" - - or choose Not to "Follow": A little monolog to set myself apart from those who call themselves - "traders": Over all these, many years of managing assets, I have witnessed a large number of tragic situations as told to me by scores of Investors. It quickly became clear to me, early on in my career, that the financial industry is wrought with many divisive ways to separate you from your money. It takes advantage of words and emotion like: greed, fortune, comfortable retirement, etc. while at the same time restricting, if not preventing the you the Investor from understanding how to make money at a fair rate of return and to do so consistently. Over the recent years, "they" (Wall Street) has upped the requirements (complexity) for the average guy or gal to become a successful Investor. That's tragic! Perhaps the biggest lie and sales pitch and flow of miss-leading information is the “Buy and Hold” philosophy, "they" (Wall Street, Mutual Funds, the Media, and Financial Salespersons) continuously pro-pound. B & H has not been a path to successful investing and profits for several decades, and I am sure, never will! I have written many articles with the secondary title: “Why Most Investors and Nearly All Traders Lose Money." It hits hard, and the brokerage community has made life tough for me (retaliation wise) on many occasions over these years. My continuous debunking of their ways and personal goals to a lush financial lifestyle, using your money, is simple not on their agenda. The reality regarding Wall Street is that they want to make money off you, not With or For You! They are smarter (within their field) than the average Investor, in particularly by just knowing how things work, but never sharing the simple – How To - with YOU. I continue to believe that these truths and facts should be well understood by Investors, but unfortunately, and apparently it/they are not! For me, simple logic says that any professional is better trained, within their given field, then the lay or inexperienced person. Investors seeking only a fair and honest flow of profits as well as information and data are frequently disappointed. There is now a new and equally serious problem as is the Buy and Hold philosophy. It’s the Investor backlash to B & H, which is called Day Trading. DT is the new "" In "" answer, but once again people are not taking time to realize that "Investing" is much different than Day or Fast Trading. Since Day Trading began the statistics complied by Lipper Analytical Services and Yankelovich Partners clearly show that this too (Day Trading or Fast Trading) is a Big Loser for the average guy or gal. These two companies are highly regarded in the field of providing statistical information and data as well as offering excellent articles on and about the financial industry. See Google regarding these companies. "Investing Wisely" is kind of my handle and the methodology I have developed over the years is quite unique. I publish information about - how I go about making money, which is available upon request. I would like to ask you to ponder / think for a minute or so about the following question: Who and What is your current broker or financial advisor? Sure, many if not most have great credentials, and often a great deal of charisma, but it remains an undesirable fact that these people are simple “Salespersons." Is your medical Doctor or are your best friends – salespersons? In baseball talk, that’s (strike one through strike three all in a pitch - or did I mean sales-pitch?). You as an Investor have little choice or alternative but to deal with these highly motivated financial representatives. That's tragic. Understanding these facts and concepts is the first step to your positive financial future and peace of mine. Next on the list is finding an advisor / mentor, who will teach and share facts and truth with you, on a personalized basis, before you invest, not after you have lost a great deal of money. I'm sure that we all understand that the cyber world has been permanently injected into our lives and lifestyle. Financial Blogs abound with an over-flowing supply of information and opinions. Most of which is often incorrect and filled with very persuasive salesmanship! Therefore, I regret to say / agree that, it is clearly difficult to find such an experienced and trustworthy professional to mentor and assist in guiding you through a profitable process of "Investing Wisely." My advice is - keep digging until you find such a professional. Ask tough and direct questions to what appears to be an experienced and trustworthy advisor and, over time, see if his or her answers and communication have substance and give you a feeling that this professional honestly cares about YOU. Don't forget, the job description - it is to make money, and this is serious stuff. I think you will find that the time you give to the consideration and evaluation of my work / analytics will be very profitable for you. Thanks for taking the time to read my bio, I hope you can find the "right" professional "just for you" in all the important disciplines of life, and you can prosper financially with a smile. Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.

Dissecting the Dow 30 Industrials -- Forecast - Archive - - - An Integral Part of My Methodology for Enjoying - - Consistent / Superior - Annual Profits

My logo for Over 50 Years is: "Investing Wisely."

I am pleased that I am a frequent Contributor to Doug Short's - Advisor Perspectives blog.

Please scroll down to my archive of articles on the Dow 30 Industrials. Keeping current on these articles will surely be a profitable routine!

It is one of the very finest and elite financial blogs in cyber-space. You will find there are quite a number of excellent financial authors. I recommend you tune into Doug's Blog.



The above are all 30 Dow symbols and are all linked (hot) to the previous articles I have written here in SA. How good is my performance? These articles clearly confirm my track record history for your review.

My present contribution for Doug are to share my Forecasts and Opinions on select U. S. Industry Groups lately the Dow 30 Industrials. I will reply to your questions and thoughts via Email.

For me it is a simple and integral part of my Methodology for "Investing Wisely" that is focused on Identifying those Industry Groups within the General Market Sectors that are currently in one of two Groupings.

* Favorable - - ( Top 10% ) - Those Industry Groups that have or are about to turn meaningfully Bullish for Buying.

* Un-Favorable - - ( Bottom 10% ) - Those Industry Groups that have or are about to turn meaningfully Bearish for Shorting.

If you are following my work / analytics, you already know that I track very closely those Companies and ETFs that are currently in the Top 10% Favorable and the Bottom 5% Un-Favorable. The remaining current, eighty-five percent - I call them "Also-Rans" and are the 85% Neutral Securities that are definitely of no current interest for my on going Formal Recommendations to my Clients.

Simple stated: Always - - I maintain a Favorable List and an Un-Favorable List of Sectors, Industry Groups, Companies and ETFs that have the highest probability of making money with the lowest possible risk threshold. It is a matter being profitable in the coming time frame ( Bullish or Bearish ) and in the foreseeable future.

In a nut-shell my very profitable "Investing Wisely" approach to investing is to be in sync with the Bullish Cycles of the General Market, owing selective "Favorable" Companies / ETFs. And also in sync with the Bearish Cycles of the General Market, owing highly selective "Un-Favorable Companies / ETFs. These Companies / ETFs always come from my work with both Sectors and Industry Groups. Unfortunately, this requires long-hours of work / analytics and that is why my forte is Forecasting, and Forecasting and Forecasting. With this procedure, I get to know, well in advance, both the What to own and When to own and later when to sell it. I am one of the few financial analysts / asset managers that also can share with you the WHY!

As for My Performance and Your Annual Profitability

My Performance is published and updated Weekly in SeekingAlpha.com. Just Click and Scroll down. You will find some very positive performance support for my work / analytics.


My Long-Term Performance Record back to 1957 is written in a very unique manner. It focuses on the many Bear Markets I have navigated through in my profession asset management life. Few, financial analysts have such a perspective or this experience.


This is how I was able to Identify and then Accurately Forecast:

* The General Market -- Click Here for my record back to 1957

* The fall of Apple, Inc.

* The fall of Gold / Silver and Precious Metals

* The fall of Metals within the Basic Materials Sector.

* The on going strength of the Automobile Industry

* The on going strength of the Banking Industry

* The on going strength (which is waning) of the Oil - Equipment & Service Industry

* The on going strength of the Internet Industry

* The current weakness in the Mexican Stock Market

And MANY other Very Accurate Forecasts and subsequent Formal Recommendations to my Clients.

( ALL these and many more were my "Calls" and ALL were published in SeekingAlpha.com. I also regularly publish my Performance for the past five (5) years and also for the past fifty-six (56) years. )

Here is my - DOW 30 - Article Archive - at dshort.com - to Date

Just Click on the URL if you are interested in that specific time frame and article "Investing Wisely."

DS - Dow Jones 30 - Market Forecast Articles:

Jan. 02 / 14: http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/guest/Steven-Bauer-140102-Market-Forecast.php

Jan. 08 / 14: http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/guest/Steven-Bauer-Dow-Five-ABX-BA-CAT-CSCO-CVX.php

Jan. 15 / 14: http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/guest/Steven-Bauer-140115-Dow-Five.php

Jan. 22 / 14: http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/guest/Steven-Bauer-140122-Dow-Five.php

Jan. 29 / 14: http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/guest/Steven-Bauer-140129-Dow-30.php

(APX), (BA), (CAT), (CSCO), (CVX), (DD), (DIS), (GE), (GS), (IBM), (INTC), (HD), (JNJ), (JPM), (KO), (MCD), (MMM), (MRK), (MSFT), (NKE), (PFE), (PG), (T), (TRV), (UNH), (UTX), (V), (VZ), (WMT), (XOM).

( I am seeking new Clients / Consulting Relationships and would welcome the opportunity to answer your questions and thoughts to that end. )

My Email Address is: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com - and - themoneydr@gmail.com

I hope you will become a Follower in SeekingAlpha.com and want to also Follow my Personal Blog. URL: http://investingwisely-rotation.blogspot.mx/?spref=tw

Smile, Have Fun, Investing Wisely,

Dr. Steve


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