Am. Express Company -- Another Sophisticated Financial Bandit to Profit By - Maybe Not for Long
Am. Express Company is (nearly always) one of the leading Dow 30 - Industrials composite Companies. It is on a Strong Hold but (internal fundamental and technical) Indicators are breaking down. All good things come to an end, but my forecasts suggest that is not in the short-term - - that is as of today.
At this writing it is recovering (rather poorly) off about a 10% pull-back which is more than a serious thing technically when my Indicators are not strong. The current mini-rally is very critical and so far not impressive.
My previously written articles on AXP (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.
My Performance for Am. Express can be found below and is about 59% per year for the last 5 years.
Look at the Profits for AXP - Over the Years
It is simple, all Companies Cycle from "Favorable" to "Un-Favorable" and in between, they are "Also Rans." This horse-racing metaphor is the best guidance I have to explain how to know the Good / Bad and the Ugly for all securities on the planet.
Am. Express - has: a) gone nowhere in 20 years gone UP in 20 years - - BUT - - (study the peak to peak and trough to trough); b) is UP over 100% in Favorable time-frames; is DOWN over 50% in Un-Favorable time-frames; and c) has spent years as an "Also-Ran." The Company - has: a) gone Up in 20 years (study the peak to peak and trough to trough); b) is UP over 100% in Favorable time-frames; is DOWN over 50% in Un-Favorable time-frames; and c) has spent years as an "Also-Ran." What a Waste of time and money during "Un-Favorable and Also-Ran time frames - don't you think?
The Company like so many others has taken some big hits over the years!
Have a long look at this Chart, it tells you a story about how to make and preserve your profits. Click on AXP. It is not hard to understand how Bear Markets can cause financial set-backs for years and in many cases those set-backs are never recovered. I have over 50 years of successfully doing what I call "preventative maintenance."
Make just a 5 - 10 minute Study of this chart and the others I provide in similar articles you will be convinced that "Being Selective" with the "What" and the "When" of investing your money you will become a very profitable Investor. It is my clear answer to being a Consistently Profitable for my Clients. If you are not "convinced" - - then - - stay with your mutual funds and remain an Investor willing to accept Up and Down performance similar to this Company over the coming years. I suggest that - You deserve Better . . .
( Please go-to my Wednesday - Thumb-Nail - for my articles on ""Sectors." )
You can do better / have it all and I can teach you how !
More Support for My Dow 30 Forecasting Accuracy
The following article supports my Methodology of "Investing Wisely" and with superior and consistent annual profits. Just Click.
My management objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.
A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 1.10%
I believe you folks deserve much better service and investment direction and guidance that either Wall Street or the Brokerage Community is / has been providing. Being a retired Asset Manager / Financial Analyst is a joy for me to assist you and meet your investment - needs, goals and objective.
Forecast w/ 5 Year Performance:
Am. Express Company and other Financial Sector Companies are tracking well. Although (NYSE:AXP) remains in a Strong Rally and is doing exactly what I have Forecast for many months. It is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics. The Company has supported my Forecasts for many years.
Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking to "Invest Wisely" in my "Growth - Asset Allocation Model" - - please Email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing super performance with a very low threshold of Risk.
My Current Forecast remains bright! (I will be more specific upon request).
If you own or are considering owning Consumer Finance Companies, the securities are currently and definitely a mixed bag with more bad than good. However, many are doing very well. Am. Express Company is currently relatively strong Technically but I have a few reservations about my Fundamental Valuation.
My Current Opinion is to HOLD in anticipation of taking profits.
* Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (AXP) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources.
* Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are breaking down. It is near its highs of $94 selling for $94.
* Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of Research is one that is ALWAYS distorted to the Positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being Bearish. I Am NOT! My articles on "Reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.
I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for (AXP) !
"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline and Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity."
Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Consumer Finance Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: (AXP), (NYSE:WU), (NYSE:COF), (NYSE:SLM), (NYSE:V), (NYSE:DFS), (NYSE:MA). And, many more . . .
Note: Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts: email@example.com.
For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my personal blog.
Please spend some time reading my articles for a perspective of their and also viewing my Bio before making inquiries. Sharing a bit about yourself and your financial and needs, goals and objectives would be appreciated.
A relationship between You and Your Asset Manager must be a "Win / Win" affair. You get the Performance and the Education and I get paid for my Analytics / Work and Experience.
Smile, Have Fun, "Investing Wisely,"
AXP, WU, COF, SLM, V, DFS, MA