Saturday Update: Investing Wisely – Forecasts / Confirmations = Results ! - - May 26, 2012

Long/Short Equity
Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2007
Saturday Update: Investing Wisely - Forecasts / Confirmations = Results ! - - May 26, 2012It is Really Quite Simple
To support my articles that are published by SeekingAlpha.com, I write two weekly Instablog postings that you may wish to follow.
On Friday night or Saturday morning, I publish this Saturday format. entitled: Saturday Update: Investing Wisely - Forecasts / Confirmations = Results !
My Wednesday edition is simple entitled: Wednesday - Investing Wisely - Market Update and Commentary.
My Analytics begins with Accurate Forecasting Procedures then Requires Well Honed Fundamental and Technical Confirmations and ends with Very Positive / Profitable - Results. ( F / C = R )
Saturday Instablog postings are my way to share my market opinions and Hyperlink the articles that I write for SafeHaven.com and SeekingAlpha.com and Community Nasdaq.com.
I would like to share my purpose for writing these articles and providing this Saturday guidance. I do not believe today's - Investors can compete with the pros. The stock market is a whole new ball game with very different and changing rules and ethics. I hope you can understand these words and will consider retaining my asset management / consulting professional services.
Please scroll to the bottom of this Instablog and read my Communications and Theme.
General Market - Where are We & Where are we Going?
Two weeks ago the Bears took control of the marketplace.
I do see another near-term rally in the making that will likely fail.
My fundamentals are over- valued. My technicals are over-bought. My consensus opinions are much too bullish. The economy is in much more peril than is being reported by the media..
Therefore, I am bearish on the general market for the foreseeable future.
Understand from the above General Market opinion that my Guidance for the below securities is also bearish. In my articles I include the following statement: "My analytic focus is investing wisely, e.g. taking advantage of the bull / bear cycles as they occur within the overall marketplace. Integrating conservative fundamental analytics within these technical cycles means maintaining a process of the thorough and on-going analytics of many companies, sectors and industry groups."
You may want to read my bi-weekly blog - Update and Commentary in my Wednesday and Sunday blog. It is followed in over 54 countries around the world. Try it:
My Blog: http://twitter.com/InvestRotation
My Latest Postings of Published Articles and Guidance on Companies
Before you start to review the tables below, I would like to share a few basics about my research / analytics. First, the companies in these tables are a fraction of the securities in my universe. Of the 1,500 companies in my universe, seldom are any of the below companies the ones I identify with the current lowest risk and also have the highest profit profile. Second, if you do your own analytics and due diligence in the management of your portfolio, you must have the experience and know-how to be consistently profitable. I am seldom impressed with those investors whom I visit with (Email) as to their dedication to doing their homework (analytics) as well as is necessary to be consistently profitable. And last, if you are one percent (amount of professional fees) more experienced( 50+ years) and profitable (15+% or better), then I am, why do you spend time reading my postings? If your answer is - to get ideas and guidance, I guarantee you will never be a consistently profitable investor trying to use other people's brains within these financial blogs. This is a statistical and proven fact that must be considered before you have serious losses!
I suggest if you invest in any of these companies or ETFs without having a serious conversation with your "seasoned" financial advisor or having an Email dialog with me that you are definitely not very smart!
Symbol ( click on the Symbol to view my most recent Article - a double Symbol means a second article is available ) - - ( click on "chart" to view a simple chart for that symbol ) |
Alerts -- ( alerts are for anticipated Buys ) -- see Key below. |
Warnings -- ( warnings are for anticipate going to cash or Shorting ) -- see Key below. |
Report Card - Grade ( 0 -100 / A - F ) ( keeping track of my weekly movement in Grade will help you anticipate my bullish or bearish opinion ) |
AAPL / AAPL ( chart ) |
Warning # 2 |
87 / B+ |
|
( chart ) |
Warning # 3 |
74 / C |
|
( chart ) |
Warning # 2 |
78 / C |
|
( chart ) |
Warning # 2 |
87 / B+ |
|
GOOG coming soon |
87 / B+ |
||
( chart ) |
Warning # 1 |
87 / B+ |
|
( chart ) |
Warning # 3 |
76 / C |
|
AMZN coming soon |
|||
CAT coming soon |
|||
( chart ) |
Warning # 3 |
68 / D |
|
( chart ) |
Warning # 2 |
87 / B+ |
|
( chart ) |
Warning # 1 |
92 / A- |
|
( chart ) |
Warning # 3 |
64 / D |
|
( chart ) |
Warning # 1 |
87 / B+ |
|
( chart ) |
Warning # 2 |
85 / B |
Notes for above & below Tables: Symbol is interactive with my most recent article on that company - clicking on the symbols will take you to my article. And, clicking on ( chart ) will give you a very simple chart for that company. Alerts are when I believe the company is a possible future buy. Warnings are when I believe the company is a possible sell / short. Report Card is My weighted Fundamental, Technical and Consensus Opinion ratings range from Excellent to Very Poor. Grades below 90 / A are not current (never are) candidates for buying. Grades above 60 / F are not current (never are) candidates for short selling. Information and data are ever changing, so be alert. Every company's "Grade" can be from a neutral grade (60 to 90 / D to B) to a buy (greater than 90) or short sale (less than 60) in a very short time.
Further support for the above notes can be read in my Instablog article on "My Rotation Model."
Alert Key: Alert # 1: Possible Bullish Inflection Point in the making.
Alert # 2: Getting seriously Bullish.
Alert # 3: Recommended Buying. (These words are in the - past tense!)
Warning Key: Warning # 1: Possible Bearish Inflection Point in the making.
Warning # 2: Getting seriously Bearish.
Warning # 3: Recommended Selling / Shorting. (These words are in the - past tense!)
To view all the companies, I have published articles about you may want to click on StockCharts Public ChartLists.
My Latest Postings of Published Articles and Guidance on ETFs
Symbol ( click on the Symbol to view my most recent Article - a double Symbol means a second article is available ) - - ( click on "chart" to view a simple chart for that symbol ) |
Alerts -- ( alerts are for anticipated Buys ) -- see Key below. |
Warnings -- ( warnings are for anticipate going to cash or Shorting ) -- see Key below. |
Report Card - Grade ( 0 -100 / A - F ) ( keeping track of my weekly movement in Grade will help you anticipate my bullish or bearish opinion ) |
SPY (is referenced in most of my articles ) ( chart ) |
Warning # 2 |
85 / B |
|
GLD ( chart ) |
Alert # 1 |
87 / B+ |
|
( chart ) |
Alert # 1 |
87 / B+ |
|
XME coming soon |
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XLE / DIG / DUG coming soon |
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XLF / UYG / SKF coming soon |
I hope you take the time to get better acquainted with my work / analytics by reading these premium articles by clicking on the symbol.
You might want to consider becoming a follower here in SeekingAlpha.com
The URL for my Personal Blog is: ( Just Click )
http://twitter.com/InvestRotation
Communications
I do not communicate with readers or followers using SA's Comments or Message center. I also do not read or respond to any Comments. In the past doing so has presented problems that I now simple avoid.
If you would like to have a dialog with me, I will provide a prompt reply / response via Email.
My Email Address is: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com
Thanks for permitting me to share my "stuff."
I would of course appreciate your - Telling a Friend or Two about my Work / Analytics . . .
Symbols covered in the above articles:
AAPL,SPY,GE,C,BAC,FCX,INTC,SIRI,SBUX
If you would like to ask questions or share thoughts - Just Send Me An Email. No Cost, No Obligation / No Fool-in !
Smile, have Fun - "Investing Wisely",
Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.