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Biogen's Hot Streak Of Beating Earnings Estimates



Biogen's Hot Streak of Beating Earnings Estimates

Why Biogen Idec (NASDAQ:BIIB) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates by Zacks Investment Research

Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB), a firm in the biotechnology industry, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, BIIB has beaten estimates by at least 15% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

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08/28/13 - Buy Biogen Idec - BIIB

Buy Entry: 203.54 to 210.99

Stop-Loss: 194.65

Take Profit Areas: 233.76 to 237.47, 241.27 to 245.56, 264.58 to 268.98, 309.48 to 314.76

Biogen Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, BIIB expected to earn $2.80 per share, while it actually produced earnings of $3.49 per share, a beat of 24.6%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of $3.22 per share, when it actually saw earnings of $3.79 per share instead, representing a 17.7% positive surprise.

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Biogen Idec. In fact, the Earnings ESP for BIIB is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This is the case for BIIB, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 1.34%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that BIIB has a great Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. And when you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that BIIB could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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Disclosure: The author is long BIIB.