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S&P 500 Forecast + Stock Selection By Using Deep Learning: Top 10 Stocks Under $5 For This Week+ Top 10 Aggressive Stocks + AMZN, MU, NFLX & WIX Stock Forecast

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I Know First Weekly NewsletterInvestment Selection Using AI Predictive AlgorithmJune 18, 2018

This Week's Top Article:Understanding Yield Curves: An Indicator Of Economic HealthRead More | Related News
This Week's Top Stock Prediction:Impressive AI Based ForecastBest Aggressive Stocks154.01% | 3 Months

This Week's Highlights

S&P 500 Forecast + Stock Selection By Using Deep Learning: Top 10 Stocks Under $5 For This Week+ Top 10 Aggressiv Stocks + AMZN, MU, NFLX & WIX Stock Forecast









GOOGL Stock Forecast: Is Chelsea Market Worth $2.4 Billion?

On April 23, Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), the parent company of Google, announced their Q1 2018 earnings. The revenue grew 26% year over year and EPS also jumped up 72% from $7.73 to $13.33. One of the main factors that contributed for the significant increase of EPS was Alphabet's investment in Uber. In 2013, Alphabet made $258 million investment in Uber at the market value of $3.8 billion. Uber is now worth more than $60 billion. Moreover, Alphabet also benefited from the lawsuit between Uber and Waymo, Alphabet’s self-driving car. As a result of the lawsuit, Uber has agreed to pay Waymo 0.34% of a late stock offering that is worth $245 million.

Google's capital expenditure tripled in Q1 2018 compared to Q1 2017, mainly due to the acquisition of Chelsea Market.In March 2018, Alphabet has confirmed its purchased for Chelsea Market in Manhattan for $2.4 billion. According to Ruth Porat, the CFO of Alphabet, and Google, the deal is a proof for the growth commitment of the company. Despite the potential Chelsea Market's location, this deal is still a huge question mark for Alphabet’s stockholders. Alphabet has not announced its plan on the Chelsea Market. Moreover, as there is increasing competitiveness in the technology world, there could be a huge need for hardware investment. As a result, it may not be a good timing to invest in Chelsea Market now.Not everything is going great for Apple though. Alphabet may have to face a third antitrust penalty from EU related to an Android case as history repeats itself. In June 2017, the European Commission announced a fine of €2.42 billion ($2.85 billion) on Google. Margrethe Vestager, the European commissioner, accused Google of abusing its market dominance by providing unfair advantage to its another product. The current penalty Alphabet is facing may cost the company up to $11 billion, more than 85% of the 2017 net income.To learn more about Google's core business and future revenue, our valuation of Alphabet based on a DCF mode, and the current I Know First GOOG forecast: Read More.Treasury Yield Curves: An Indicator Of Economic HealthFor a long time, yield curves have been a hot topic in the financial world. Many believe they are a good signal of a country's economic health. However, how each stock response to the changes in interest rate and the movement of the yield curve is still a big question that many human investors struggle with. I Know First has successfully built an Artificial Intelligence algorithm that factors yield curve and its relationship with other economic indicators to forecast the market movement. In this article, we discuss how to use yield curve as a market prediction indicator as well as how I Know First algorithms factor it.So what even is a yield curve? A yield curve is a graphical depiction showing different interest rates or yields for different time periods ranging from 1 month to 30 years. Yield curves reflect the relationship between the yield of the interest rate on bonds and its maturity. The US Treasury market is the largest bond market with high liquidity. Moreover, investors consider the market to be free of default risks. Yield curves play an important role in the economy as a benchmark for bond pricing and standard yield for other bond sectors such as bank loans or corporate debt. Yield curve can be used to calculate bond price by discounting the future cash flow of the bond at the yield of a particular time frame and more.As we understand more about the yield curve, the question now is how to interpret the shape and movement of yield curves to predict the health of the economy. Over the last 50 years, the yield curve has proved itself as a good prediction indicator of an incoming financial crisis. A financial crisis normally follows an inverted yield curve. The last two times we saw an inverted yield curve is in 2000, right before the dot-com bubble burst, and 2007, right before the global financial crisis. To learn about the 4 types of yield curve, the type of stocks most affected by yield curve changes, and how I Know First algorithm implements yield curves in its forecast: Read more.Valeant (VRX) Veers Away From Scandal, Rebrands Company + ForecastOver the past year, Valeant’s stock price has increased by a whopping 112.46% to a closing price of 26.6, a 52 week high, on June 12, 2018. Over the past year, the company has been working to decrease its debt while restoring its public image after a slew of scandals. For Q1 2018, Valeant outperformed expectations. The company had revenues of $1.995, billion which was a 5.4% decrease from Q1 2017, but still above analyst estimates of $1.949 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share (NYSEARCA:EPS) of $0.88. The company has consistently outperformed analyst expectations for earnings over the past four quarters.The company’s individual segments did well too; the Bausch + Lomb/ International segment’s revenues were down 3% to $1.103 billion while the branded Rx segment’s revenues were $593 million compared to $629 million in Q1 2017. While these numbers do not seem positive, it is important to acknowledge the impact of divestitures and discontinuations that the company has embarked in order to decrease debt. Excluding this, there was organic growth of 2% and 8% respectively for these segments. This is extremely significantly as this is the first time since 2015 that Valeant has delivered overall organic revenue growth. Since 2018 began, the company has achieved dismissals or positive outcomes in 20 legal matters. The most significant of these involved a former executive, Gary Tanner, who engaged in fraud and money laundering with a pharmaceutical company called Philidor. However, the company was able to clear up the debacle with no finding of admission or liability by Valeant, instead only the executive at fault was found responsible. In an attempt to distance themselves from these scandals, on May 8, the company announced it will change its name to Bausch Health Companies (NYSE:BHC) and introduce a new corporate brand identity in July. With Joseph Papa at the helm, Valeant is restoring its public image, growing key brands, stabilizing loss from older products, and focusing on products in the pipeline. Hopefully, the scandals the company has faced in the past are history as it changes its name to Bausch Health Companies which will be effective July 1. The current I Know First algorithm forecast for VRX is bullish: Read more.Beating the Japanese Benchmark: Updated Performance Report We've mentioned it in some of our past newsletters, but as a refresher: I Know First finished the implementation and the training period of its AI-based ranking and forecasting model for 1277 of the main equities listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (NYSEARCA:TYO) on December 28, 2017. On this date, I Know first published the first Japanese stock forecast for subscribers. Since then, we've been monitoring the results of portfolios using our forecasts and they have consistently beaten the benchmark we chose for the Japanese Stock Market, the Nikkei 225 index. Our algorithm provides added value to investors by identifying promising opportunities in the Japanese stock market and implementing custom screens as overlay to support the individual research and investment process. Over the period from 12/16/2017 – 06/04/2018 the forecasts for the Tokyo Stock Exchange (I Know First coverage: 1277 stocks) have been generated daily. To see the exact numbers and how we achieved gains consistently higher than the benchmark: Read moreThe 3 Driving Forces Behind AMD's Long Term Bullish Forecast

There are 3 main forces driving AMD's long term bullish forecast: Ryzen APU’s leading to high earnings in Q1 2018, Radeon GPU strong mining revenue, and a doubling in sales of AMD EPYCs. AMD achieved a staggering total revenue of $1.65 billion for Q1 2018, which is a 40% year-over-year increase from Q1 2017. The increase in total revenue was mainly attributable to the 95% year-over-year increase in revenue of the Computing and Graphics segment, made possible through the higher sales of Ryzen APU’s and Radeon GPU’s. Sales of Ryzen APU’s during Q1 2018 accounted for 60% of client processor revenue and was attributed for double-digit percentage growth in client revenue. The most influential event regarding Ryzen APU’s was the delay of Intel’s 10nm chips, a competitor for AMD's chips. Building on the strong sales of Ryzen APU’s through Acer, HP, and Lenovo platforms during Q1 2018, AMD has numerous newly introduced systems from OEM partners for its Ryzen APUs.The strong sales of Radeon GPU’s during Q1 2018 was mainly attributable to demand from the gaming and blockchain sector. Blockchain made up approximately 10% of AMD"s Q1 2018 revenue. On top of this, EPYC processor unit shipments almost doubled from the preceding quarter. The company expects this strong performance to continue throughout the rest of the fiscal year. To see I Know First's bullish outlook for AMD: Read More.

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Dear Readers,I Know First always strives to make our algorithm as accurate as possible by constantly updating and implementing new features for our algorithm. As we discussed in this week's article about Treasury Yield Curves, this important economic indicator can be extremely helpful to predict stocks in the banking & finance, capital goods, and automotive industries. While it remains difficult for humans to predict the impact of changes in the Treasury Yield Curve on various assets, the I Know First algorithm uses this value as one of the many inputs for the forecasts it produces which only improves the accuracy of the predictions. In its many simulations, the algorithm has identified yield curves as one of the many factors that affects stocks, particularly in the aforementioned sectors and factors this in while making predictions. On top of this, we are still working to further improve our algorithm. Currently in the pipeline is the ability for our algorithm to forecast liquidity. We believe that forecasting liquidity is the future of risk management and is especially important as many economists are becoming more and more concerned about the potential for a global liquidity crunch. Recently, Bridgewater Associates, the world’s biggest hedge fund has become concerned about an impending economic crisis in 2019 as economic drivers stop playing into financial results and they maintain bearish predictions on more and more stocks. Once the economy starts going down, the economy will enter a feedback loop and liquidity will decrease immensely. An example of this recently occurred in Italy as the country faced political turmoil and many investors sought to rid themselves of their Italian bonds. Once the I Know First algorithm can utilize liquidity forecasts in its predictions, it will be able to warn subscribers of impending crises relating to the liquidity market. If you're interested in understanding liquidity forecasts and their importance more, then you can read the full article which is our first article in a new series on the Future of Risk Management. Warmest Regards,Yaron Golgher, Co-Founder and CEO


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Industrial metals, especially copper, have been the big movers in the commodities market this month. On June 8, LME Copper soared to $7261.5 per ton, reaching its highest price since January 2014. The price of copper is essentially determined by the supply and demand relationship as well as broad economic factors, such as interest rate, economic and political environment. The recent copper market volatility was primarily created by the significantly increasing demand from Asian countries, worries about drop in supply due to workers’ wage talks in Chile and Peru, and the rally of the dollar which made the commodity more expensive for foreign buyers.As the world’s top copper consumer, China is always one of the biggest drivers of the commodity’s price. According to China’s custom data released for this May, the value of imported raw materials is surging and the import quantity of unwrought copper rose by about 22% from a year earlier. Moreover, based on Reuters statistics, the volume for refined copper and concentrate imports has reached a momentum since a decade ago. China’s shortage and hence boosting demand in copper pushed up its price in the first place.Escondida, the world’s largest copper mine, produces and supplies about 5% of the gross primary copper across the globe since 1990. As a result, its impact on the entire global copper supply chain is substantial. Labor issues have been a great problem for this copper mine and its part-owner BHP for a long time. Last year, the 44-day strike at Escondida, the longest in Chile, has directly led to a loss of 156,000 metric tons of copper production in the market. This year, the workers has started a new round of salary negotiations with BHP, requiring for a one-time bonus equivalent to 4% of BHP’s dividends paid out in 2017. While BHP would respond upon the end of this week, a quick resolution is not expected by the public. Therefore, market’s fears concerning the potential significant cut of copper supply amount further drove up the price to a historically high level.


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Recently, a new EU law called General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) was put in place to protect users and the data companies can keep on them without permission. Apple already had good tendencies about user privacy so it did not need to make major changes to comply with this law. However, this prompted apply to take the opportunity to rethink its privacy standards. For each Apple pay transaction, Apple doesn’t track who the customer is paying and what they are paying for. Moreover, FaceTime conversations, iMessages and so on are end-to-end encrypted. In Addition, every journey made on Apple Maps is also encrypted so that nobody is getting a hold of this integral information that could easily allow someone to track the user.Apple has made it easy to find out exactly what data of the customer is on its servers, from purchase history to photos on iCloud to emails and so on. It also has a recognizable page which warns the user when data is being collected. On June 12th, Apple updated its App Store policy to restrict all apps from harvesting the data of other apps and contacts that iPhone users have. This is direct attack on Facebook who collects data for marketing and acquisition opportunities through their VPN app, Onavo. This App Store update comes after Facebook was involved in the Cambridge Analytica scandal, where millions of users data was taken from Facebook unbeknownst to them. Apple’s response to GDPR is motivating and sets some standard which others must strive to meet.


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Read the full Newsletter> S&P 500 Forecast + Stock Selection By Using Deep Learning: Top 10 Stocks Under $5 For This Week+ Top 10 Aggressive Stocks + AMZN, MU, NFLX & WIX Stock Forecast