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Real Estate: Significant Downside Potential

|Includes: iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR)

While the Market Vectors Daily Gold Miner ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX) taps the bottom of the trend line shown in this previous post, the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:IYR) appears to have completed a feeble upward correction and has now resumed its down-trend.

IYR Weekly Chart

Chart by TeleChart

This prior post showed the longer term perspective for Real Estate and it is not a good one for the bulls.

There is a possibility that the entire move from last summer-to-now was an indication of a long-term trend change.

If this assessment is correct, then there is the potential for a sustained move lower that may go as far as the support level at the 62 - area before a retracement.

Disclosure: The author is long SRS.