Long Lost Growth In China - By Jennifer Coombs

Jun. 08, 2015 1:18 PM ET
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Long/Short Equity, Portfolio Strategy

Contributor Since 2008

Wall Street Strategies has been providing independent stock market research since 1991 to individual, retail and institutional clients through a balanced approach to investing and trading. Charles Payne, our founder and chief analyst, is routinely sought after for his stock market, political, and general opinions by several prestigious news organizations. Currently, Mr. Payne is a contributor to the Fox News Network and Fox Business Network. He also hosts his own radio show on KFIAM 640 every Saturday from 2-4pm PST. Mr. Payne recently released his first book entitled Be Smart Act Fast Get Rich. Our all-star analytical team is called first when the media needs to know. We are regularly featured on several well respected finance-oriented radio and television programs such as Fox, CNBC, BNN, WSJ to name a few and widely recognized in the media as a leaders in the analyst community. In addition, Wall Street Strategies is part of Factset, Jaywalk, and Thomson-Reuters Consensus Estimates. Meet our analysts: Brian Sozzi is an equity research analyst specializing in the softline/hardline goods sectors of the retail industry for Wall Street Strategies Inc. Mr. Sozzi graduated Summa Cum Laude from Dowling College, receiving his Bachelors of Business Administration with a concentration in Finance and Accounting. Routinely sought after as a trusted point of reference for opinions and insight on the global economy and retail sector stock evaluation, Mr. Sozzi is a frequent on air contributor to CNBC, Fox Business Network, and Bloomberg, and is cited regularly by online/print publications that include Forbes, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, Thestreet.com, CBS Marketwatch, Reuters, Seekingalpha, Associated Press, Crain’s NY Business, Fortune, Barron’s, AOL Finance, and the Financial Times. In 2009, Mr. Sozzi became recognized by Starmine as a top-ranked equity research analyst for stocks under coverage in such categories as EPS Estimate Accuracy and Industry Excess Return. David Silver is a Research Analyst for Wall Street Strategies. He is a graduate of Tulane University’s A.B. Freeman School of Business where he received his Bachelor of Science in Management with a dual degree in Finance and Accounting. David actively covers companies in the Transports, Autos, and Beverage sectors. He is routinely invited to appear on business oriented television and radio shows including CNBC, Fox News, Fox Business News, the Business News Network of Canada, WCBS Radio, and the Wall Street Journal Radio. In addition, David has been quoted in major business publications such as the Wall Street Journal, Forbes, Marketwatch, CNN Money, and Autoweek. David Urani is a research analyst with concentrations on the homebuilding, staffing, medical devices, and logistical services industries. Along with providing institutional clients with up-to-date reports of individual stocks within his industry coverage, David assists the rest of the Wall Street Strategies research desk with timely analysis of vital economic data. A graduate of the A.B. Freeman School of Business at Tulane University, David earned a Bachelor of Science in Management while majoring in finance. With prior training experience running small businesses, he has an eye for key fundamentals that keep Companies running efficiently. David’s insight has been featured in several outside sources, including the Fox Business Network, MarketWatch, and SeekingAlpha. Carlos Guillen is an Equity Research Analyst providing coverage of the technology sector for Wall Street Strategies, Inc. Mr. Guillen has had experience working in both the sell side and the buy side. Prior to working as an analyst, he was a Design Engineer for Lambda Electronics. Mr. Guillen holds an M.B.A. from NYU’s Stern School of Business, and he has a B.S. in Electrical Engineering from Manhattan College. Conley Tuner is a Research Analyst with Wall Street Strategies Inc. He is a frequent contributor to a number of media outlets including MarketWatch, Bloomberg, BBC news and Xinhua news. Conley holds a Masters in Business Administration and a Masters in International Affairs from the George Washington University. Jennifer N. Coombs is an Equity Research Analyst at Wall Street Strategies. She previously worked on the buy side as an Associate Equity Research Analyst covering the transportation subsector of the industrials sector at AIG SunAmerica Asset Management Corporation. Jennifer also covered Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and has done broader research for the industrials, financials and consumer sectors. Prior to joining their research department, Jennifer worked as a Trading Assistant for SunAmerica’s index funds. She also worked briefly in the client portfolio management department at Dwight Asset Management Company – a fixed income subsidiary of Goldman Sachs. Jennifer graduated with distinction from Clarkson University where she earned a B.S. in Financial Information Analysis and Political Science, with minors in Economics and Law. Jennifer specialized in international markets, and briefly studied East Asian Economics at Sungkyunkwan University in Seoul, South Korea. Jennifer is currently a member of the New York Society of Security Analysts (NYSSA).

The major equity indices are in dire need of a catalyst in order to send stocks higher, but so far, to no avail. Markets began to slide lower following President Obama's speech at the G7 Summit where he noted that the US does not have a complete strategy for countering the Islamic State (ISIS) terror group. In recent weeks, ISIS has made territorial gains in Iraq and Syria, so this news was not very encouraging for the safety of the region. Additionally, Obama denies that he was complaining about the strong US dollar hurting the US economy at the summit meetings. Overall, the G7 summits never really help market optimism, and clearly, this time is no exception.

In the absence of any meaningful US economic data, we look to data out of China to move major world markets. In May, a bigger-than-expected slide in China's imports ended up strengthening expectations that more policy stimulus may be needed to avert a slowdown in the country's economy. While economists say that continued weakness in Chinese imports point to slacking in the economy, erratic global demand and a stronger yuan suggest that the government won't be able to hit its full-year growth target around 7.0%. For the month of May, exports fell by 2.5% in the country, which was much smaller than the 5.05 forecasted by economists, while imports declined by 17.6% versus an expected 10.7% decline. China posted a near record trade surplus of $59.5 billion in May, but weak imports ultimately are demonstrative of a slowdown in domestic consumption. So far, many of China's exporters have been struggling to cope with weaker overseas demand, increasing labor and currency costs, and large downward economic pressures. As such, many economists have lowered growth expectations for the second quarter well below 7.0%, which ultimately doesn't bode well for the likelihood of China achieving its full year growth target.

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