US ADP Employment Change Aug: 374K (Est 638K; prevR 326K; Prev 300K) - ADP Big Miss Again This Month
US ADP Employment Change Aug: 374K (est 638K; prevR 326K; prev 300K)
After July's big miss, another one this this month from APD, coming in a little better than June levels (which were revised up) but still 250k under estimates (which is not quite as bad as July which missed by more like 350k). Still, again, there was growth of over 300k jobs (almost 400k in fact), which in normal times is very good. Services jobs (+329k) again making up the vast majority of the job gains (full tables below).
With the exception of "professional management" every size and sector showed growth, but smaller companies lagged a bit this month. Leisure and hospitality made up the majority (201k) of job gains (it's been the leading sector for months). Goods producing jobs up 45k after increasing 12k in July. From the report:
“Our data, which represents all workers on a company’s payroll, has highlighted a downshift in the labor market recovery. We have seen a decline in new hires, following significant job growth from the first half of the year,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP.
“Despite the slowdown, job gains are approaching 4 million this year, yet still 7 million jobs short of pre-COVID-19 levels. Service providers continue to lead growth, although the Delta variant creates uncertainty for this sector. Job gains across company sizes grew in lockstep, with small businesses trailing a bit more than usual.” Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said, “The Delta variant of COVID-19 appears to have dented the job market recovery. Job growth remains strong, but well off the pace of recent months. Job growth remains inextricably tied to the path of the pandemic.”
Here were the details.
To see more content, including summaries of most major U.S. economic reports and my morning and nightly updates go to https://seekingalpha.com/user/15085872/instablogs for more recent or https://sethiassociates.blogspot.com for the full history.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.