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Stock Picks: Retail Stocks With Falling Inventory Turnover Ratios

|Includes: BBW, BEBE, CACH, Christopher & Banks Corporation (CBK), CTRN, EXPR, GES, MCOX, QRTEA, RUE, TA, WACLY, WTSL

Screen Criteria:

All of these Retail stocks have seen inventory levels rise faster than revenue during the most recent quarter. (Link to original post)

Ranking of This List:

Based on performance data over the last month, this list is currently ranked 168 out of 284 lists tracked by Contextuall.com. In other words, the company characteristics described below have outperformed 40.85% of lists in Contextuall's coverage universe.

Average Weekly Returns:

Average 1-Week Return of All Stocks Mentioned Below: 0.37%

Average 1-Month Return of All Stocks Mentioned Below: 9.20%

Analysis of List Alpha:

Number of Stocks in This List Generating Excess Return vs. SP500 (Beta Adjusted Over Last Week): 6 out of 13 (46.15%)

Number of Stocks in This List Generating Excess Return vs. SP500 (Beta Adjusted Over Last Month): 5 out of 13 (38.46%)

(List sorted by monthly performance, from best to worst)

1. Christopher & Banks Corporation (NYSE:CBK): Operates as a retailer of women's apparel in the United States. Size of inventory grew by 0.03% during the most recent quarter ($58.19M vs. $58.17M y/y), while revenue only increased by -5.36% ($117.26M vs. $123.9M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 45.65% to 58.41% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 13 weeks ending 2012-10-27 to 13 weeks ending 2011-11-26).

2. Express Inc. (NYSE:EXPR): Operates specialty retail stores in the United States. Size of inventory grew by 2.99% during the most recent quarter ($286.88M vs. $278.54M y/y), while revenue only increased by -3.75% ($468.53M vs. $486.78M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 56.99% to 63.48% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 13 weeks ending 2012-10-27 to 13 weeks ending 2011-10-29).

3. Citi Trends (NASDAQ:CTRN): Operates as a retailer of urban fashion apparel and accessories in the United States. Size of inventory grew by 15.37% during the most recent quarter ($146.7M vs. $127.16M y/y), while revenue only increased by 4.14% ($148.99M vs. $143.07M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 67.06% to 70.17% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 13 weeks ending 2012-10-27 to 13 weeks ending 2011-10-29).

4. Guess' Inc. (NYSE:GES): Engages in the design, marketing, distribution, and licensing of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. Size of inventory grew by 9.57% during the most recent quarter ($422.3M vs. $385.4M y/y), while revenue only increased by -2.17% ($628.83M vs. $642.8M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 30.19% to 37.5% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 3 months ending 2012-10-27 to 3 months ending 2011-10-29).

5. Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (NYSE:BBW): Operates as a specialty retailer of plush animals and related products. Size of inventory grew by -2.45% during the most recent quarter ($54.88M vs. $56.26M y/y), while revenue only increased by -11.74% ($85.97M vs. $97.41M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 49.13% to 57.28% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 13 weeks ending 2012-09-29 to 13 weeks ending 2011-10-01).

6. Bebe Stores (NASDAQ:BEBE): Engages in the design, development, and production of women's apparel and accessories. Size of inventory grew by 11.11% during the most recent quarter ($41.49M vs. $37.34M y/y), while revenue only increased by -7.27% ($117.09M vs. $126.27M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 14.85% to 17.51% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 3 months ending 2012-09-29 to 3 months ending 2011-10-01).

7. HSN (HSNI): HSN, Inc. markets and sells a range of third party and private label merchandise primarily in the United States. Size of inventory grew by 12.51% during the most recent quarter ($391.32M vs. $347.8M y/y), while revenue only increased by 7.10% ($778.77M vs. $727.11M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 37.92% to 50.42% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 3 months ending 2012-09-30 to 3 months ending 2011-09-30).

8. Wacoal Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:WACLY): Designs, manufactures, and markets women's intimate apparel primarily in Japan, Asia, the Americas, and Europe. Size of inventory grew by 12.25% during the most recent quarter ($35,742M vs. $31,842M y/y), while revenue only increased by 3.54% ($47,514M vs. $45,891M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 33.71% to 38.23% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 3 months ending 2012-09-30 to 3 months ending 2011-09-30).

9. rue21 (NASDAQ:RUE): Operates as a specialty apparel retailer in the United States. Size of inventory grew by 26.42% during the most recent quarter ($180.61M vs. $142.87M y/y), while revenue only increased by 15.61% ($225.16M vs. $194.76M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 67.89% to 70.74% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 13 weeks ending 2012-10-27 to 13 weeks ending 2011-10-29).

10. TravelCenters of America LLC (NYSEMKT:TA): Operates and franchises travel centers primarily along the United States interstate highway system. Size of inventory grew by 19.53% during the most recent quarter ($187.18M vs. $156.6M y/y), while revenue only increased by -2.55% ($2,034.15M vs. $2,087.28M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 31.06% to 35.49% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 3 months ending 2012-09-30 to 3 months ending 2011-09-30).

11. Wet Seal Inc. (WTSLA): Operates stores that sell fashionable and contemporary apparel and accessory items designed for female customers. Size of inventory grew by 7.05% during the most recent quarter ($46.19M vs. $43.15M y/y), while revenue only increased by -10.91% ($135.54M vs. $152.13M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 20.33% to 23.04% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 13 weeks ending 2012-10-27 to 13 weeks ending 2011-10-29).

12. Mecox Lane Limited (NASDAQ:MCOX): Engages in the design and sale of apparel, accessories, home, and healthcare products through its online platform and stores. Size of inventory grew by -11.55% during the most recent quarter ($29.47M vs. $33.32M y/y), while revenue only increased by -32.28% ($35.98M vs. $53.13M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 28.58% to 36.67% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 3 months ending 2012-09-30 to 3 months ending 2011-09-30).

13. Cache Inc. (NASDAQ:CACH): Operates as a mall-based specialty retailer of women's lifestyle sportswear and dresses in the United States. Size of inventory grew by 7.11% during the most recent quarter ($23.81M vs. $22.23M y/y), while revenue only increased by -5.90% ($45.79M vs. $48.66M y/y). Inventory, as a percentage of current assets, increased from 40.98% to 53.15% during the most recent quarter (time interval comparison 13 weeks ending 2012-09-29 to 13 weeks ending 2011-10-01).