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Regulation Credit Release For Tesla

Jul. 26, 2020 9:37 PM ETTesla, Inc. (TSLA)
Sunil Shah profile picture
Sunil Shah's Blog
3.21K Followers
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Summary

  • data for chart on article.
  • Tesla: Revelation of Regulatory Credits And 'Ludicrous Mode Accounting'
  • Note this info has rarely been compiled as the detail is within each quarterly financial statement. From each pdf, data was taken to excel.
  • Rather than match the regulatory credit with the sales of a given quarter, Tesla has afforded itself the discretion of booking it when it is sold!
  • This adds incredible discretion in managing quarterly earnings. For example, if in q2 2020 the average rate of reg/qtr had been constant, the profit boost would have been less than half the $428 booked! But voila, Tesla is eligible for inclusion in the S&P 500!

Quarter Reg Credit as a % of Sales Average
31/03/2016 0.38% 0.21%
30/06/2016 0.00% 0.21%
29/09/2016 0.56% 0.21%
29/12/2016 0.48% 0.21%
30/03/2017 0.00% 0.21%
29/06/2017 0.45% 0.21%
28/09/2017 0.00% 0.21%
28/12/2017 0.60% 0.21%
29/03/2018 0.17% 0.21%
28/06/2018 0.00% 0.21%
27/09/2018 0.06% 0.21%
27/12/2018 0.00% 0.21%
28/03/2019 0.34% 0.21%
27/06/2019 0.12% 0.21%
26/09/2019 0.14% 0.21%
26/12/2019 0.12% 0.21%
26/03/2020 0.40% 0.21%
25/06/2020 0.47% 0.21%
line 0.21%

The Regulatory Credit quantum if normalised to reflect sales, the basis on which ii is awarded.

What would Tesla's second quarter GAAP net income have been, if a normalised regualtory credit amount was booked? Using the average (orange line above) of 0.21% of sales, the quantum would have been $193m, versus the $428m actually posted. Hence the 'Ludicrous Mode Accounting for Regulatory Credits' is revealed. You read it here first.

Analyst's Disclosure: I am/we are short TSLA.

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