Update Board 2.5.21- Where's Inflation?
Growth, Long/Short Equity, Momentum, Macro
Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2014
I am Michael Kramer, the founder of Mott Capital Management and creator of Reading The Markets, an SA Marketplace service. I focus on long-only macro themes and trends, look for long-term thematic growth investments, and use options data to find unusual activity.
I use my over 25 years of experience as a buy-side trader, analyst, and portfolio manager, to explain the twists and turns of the stock market and where it may be heading next. Additionally, I use data from top vendors to formulate my analysis, including sell-side analyst estimates and research, newsfeeds, in-depth options data, and gamma levels.
Summary
- Update Board For 2.5.21.
- Charts showing no commodity inflation in more than decade.
Feb 5, 2021 10:01 AM
the futures hit the trend line
https://www.tradingview.com/x/9QvNOCN7/
and wah-la the vix is back to flat
well see if it sticks of course
Feb 5, 2021 10:12 AM
vix flat
vix up i meant
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Feb 5, 2021 12:02 PM
been working on a big VIX story. I should be back soon
Feb 5, 2021 12:56 PM
Feb 5, 2021 12:57 PM
Clipboard - February 5, 2021 12:57 PM
Feb 5, 2021 1:14 PM
kind of what we were talking about this morning, about high gamma. the note seems to suggest it is building.
"Crash Up Time" - S&P Caught In Reverse "Gamma Gravity" As Call Wall Spikes
"Crash Up Time" - S&P Caught In Reverse "Gamma Gravity" As Call Wall Spikes
The same dealer call/gamma exposure that helped GME soar in January, and which SoftBank used to spark a huge market meltup last August, is about to lift the S&P over 4,000.
but I don't know what the latest data is
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Feb 5, 2021 2:41 PM
House passes budget resolution which unlocks budget reconciliation process for stimulus bill; measure now heads to President Biden and he will sign it (387.78 +1.57)
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Feb 5, 2021 2:49 PM
zoom looks like a break out coming on solid volume, and RSI trending the right way, higher
https://www.tradingview.com/x/mxhk0O5N/
$445 likely next stop
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Feb 5, 2021 3:02 PM
$195 million to buy
from the fly - GOOG, GOOGL…15:01Senators propose bill to limit liability shield for social media, Reuters saysDemocratic U.S. Senators Amy Klobuchar, Mark Warner, and Mazie Hirono introduced legislation that would limit Section 230, a law that protects online companies from liability over content posted by users, and makes such firms more accountable when posts lead to harm, Reuters' Nandita Bose and Chris Sanders reports. The senators said the bill, known as the SAFE TECH Act, would mark the latest effort to hold social media firms like Google (GOOG), Twitter (TWTR), and Facebook (FB) more accountable for "enabling cyber-stalking, targeted harassment, and discrimination on their platforms," the authors note. Reference LinkGOOG GOOGL TWTR FB
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Feb 5, 2021 3:36 PM
now 170 million to sell
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Feb 5, 2021 3:47 PM
look at oil today versus last year
https://www.tradingview.com/x/ORb3WTA8/
what will these y/y reading look like as we hit March, April, May, June
https://www.tradingview.com/x/Rl85Ry6O/
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but this what I mean when I say there is no inflation
copper has gone nowhere since 2004
https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZmkA9qBj/
oil nowhere since 2006
https://www.tradingview.com/x/yzCnNlt1/
soybeans
https://www.tradingview.com/x/o49xlpso/
wheat
https://www.tradingview.com/x/EIqAcFGV/
lumber about the only thing I can find
https://www.tradingview.com/x/97zP4BVY/
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$400 million for sale
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natural gas
https://www.tradingview.com/x/JpvfHX8o/
uranium https://www.tradingview.com/x/3gxVUxHm/
hogs https://www.tradingview.com/x/qvuHNZwe/
I don't see inflation
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600 million for sale
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Feb 5, 2021 4:00 PM
Clipboard - February 5, 2021 4:00 PM
getting closer to a more reasonable valuation
ICE not bad either
Feb 5, 2021 4:06 PM
Clipboard - February 5, 2021 4:06 PM
Feb 5, 2021 4:06 PM
its all about the data and pricing power
they have it
see ya next week
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Feb 5, 2021 6:37 PM
this is amazing
bitcoin in green
most shorted in red
Feb 5, 2021 6:37 PM
Clipboard - February 5, 2021 6:37 PM
Feb 5, 2021 6:38 PM
both a parabolic curve
btc seem to be leading MS
with a 3 week lag
Feb 5, 2021 6:40 PM
Clipboard - February 5, 2021 6:39 PM
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