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Another Day In REIT Paradise: Inflation, Inflation, Inflation

May 11, 2021 10:03 AM ETCLPR, CMCT, CMCTP, CORR, CRGYP, GOOD, GOODM, GOODN, MAR2 Comments
Please Note: Blog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors.

Summary

  • People are also understandably nervous about gas prices, considering the cyberattack on Colonial Pipeline.
  • People are much more ready to go out and about at this point, whether from emerging confidence or an “I’ve had enough of it already” attitude.
  • It’s high time you take a more steady navigational tack.

Quote of the Day –

“When future historians look back on our way of curing inflation… they’ll probably compare it to bloodletting in the Middle Ages.” – Lee Iacocca

(Source: Storyblock)

The Nasdaq fell 350 points yesterday, a 2.55% drop. The S&P did better at -1.04%, down 44 points. And the Dow lost the least at 34.94, or 0.10%, so barely anything at all.

It’s down a little bit more than “barely anything at all” as I type this, but still less than 1%. The Nasdaq, meanwhile, is showing a 236-point drop, or 1.7% (at about 8:30).

So what’s going on with the latter index?

While there are always a whole slew of explanations involved in such things, here’s the most prominent one: inflation. That oh-so-destructive word is at work again, with investors still worrying that high-growth names are going to take it on the chin.

That’s why they’re selling off certain stocks at much more significant rates than others.

They’re not doing so in a panic though, for the record. Yahoo Finance could only say the Nasdaq saw “its worst day since March” yesterday. And since March is less than two months old at this point, that’s not saying much at all.

Big whoop.

What is more disconcerting is the consistency of these drops. For the last two weeks now, confidence in these tech stocks’ ability to make investors money has seen small setback after small setback.

Those add up when applied so consistently.

Perhaps the reason why yesterday’s setback was larger than it has been was because of Bloomberg’s report that, “China’s factory-gate prices surged more than expected in April, fueled by rapid gains in commodity prices, adding to global inflation concerns.”

People are also understandably nervous about gas prices, considering the cyberattack on Colonial Pipeline. Like I said yesterday, long-term and even mid-term, I’m not worried about midstream stock prices. These companies are simply too valuable to our way of life for their valuations to dry up so easily.

But any disruption in their figurative and literal flow will affect other businesses – and lead to more inflation, temporary though that part of it might be.

For that reason and so many others, we need to be just as diligent as we were last year in building and maintaining our real estate investment trust (REIT) paradise.

The World According to REITs

Depending on how you spin it, here’s good news for hotel REITs: Marriott International (MAR) might have reported $0.10 per share in earnings in Q1-21 – a painful $0.39 down from Q1-20 – but occupancy did rise noticeably around the world in key areas.

People are much more ready to go out and about at this point, whether from emerging confidence or an “I’ve had enough of it already” attitude. Regardless, I’m cautiously happy to see any sign that things might be returning to normal for this hardest-hit subsector.

Then again, as you can see below with Extended Stay America (ESA), I don’t see a supportable reason for getting too excited just yet. That hospitality REIT was one of several to wind down this earnings season, along with Clipper Realty (CLPR) and these players:

  1. Gladstone Commercial (GOOD) saw Q1 funds from operations (FFO) of $0.42 per share, a $0.04 per-share surprise and a respectable $0.02 higher than Q1-20. Revenue, meanwhile, was $34.68 million compared to $33.62 million in Q1-20.
  2. CIM Commercial Trust (CMCT) reported a net loss of $8.2 million, or -$0.55 per diluted share, compared to a $6.8 million loss, or -$0.46 per diluted share, in Q1-20. And FFO was -$3.2 million, or -$0.21 per diluted share, versus the prior year’s -$1.5 million, or -$0.10 per diluted share.
  3. Extended Stay Americarecorded revenue of $259.6 million, a 2.5% decrease over Q1-20. Revenue per available room (RevPAR) fell 1.7% year-over-year thanks to a 5.7% drop in average daily rate (ADR), while net income was $12.4 million compared to $7.8 million.

Then there was this somewhat “oddball” report considering the numbers-skewing details:

  1. CorEnergy Infrastructure (OTC:CORR) acquired Crimson Midstream Holdings on February 1 for total consideration of $344 million and officially agreed to acquire Corridor, its external manager, as well. The former deal involved terminating a significant lease and dismissing past rent issues. As management said, “First quarter 2021 reflects the adverse impact” of the Crimson deal but “only two months” worth of benefits. That contributed to its net loss of $14.6 million with cash available for distribution of -$4.3 million.

I suppose those extenuating circumstances kept it off of the negative side of the graphic below.

A picture containing graphical user interface Description automatically generated

(Source: The Daily REITBeat)

Don’t Stay One Step Behind

If the markets make you overly fearful, leaving you left out of big profits… or overly greedy and therefore inevitably bloodied, bruised, and bewildered…

It’s high time you take a more steady navigational tack.

There are always going to be bull markets and bear markets around the next bend. And there’s no way to predict which one will happen when. History has shown a thoroughly appalling track record when it comes to trying to time such things.

So why bother trying at all?

Instead, try timing individual stocks, evaluating each one on its own merits and price potential. Is it a worthwhile company that can bolster your portfolio for months, years, or even decades on end? And can you get it for a good value, if not a bargain?

Those are the kinds of questions iREIT on Alpha asks every day, providing worthwhile answers to our members through:

  1. Insightful articles
  2. Profitable portfolios
  3. A whole host of proprietary tools.

Consider our iQ scoring model, where the “Q” stands for Quality and the “i" means we put you first. This exceptionally powerful system works so well because it allows data – not emotion – to determine the best REITs available at any given time.

We incorporate it into every recommendation we make, though members can also access it on their own time and at their own pace. Just like they can use our other offerings to do deep dives into individual opportunities from categories like:

  • Equity REITs
  • mREITs
  • Preferreds
  • Business development companies
  • Master limited partnerships
  • Exchange-traded funds
  • So much more!

Join this in-the-know, name-taking, money-making community today with a two-week FREE TRIAL that includes added bonuses designed to further incentivize you to stick around.

Don’t Stay One Step Behind

If the markets make you overly fearful, leaving you left out of big profits… or overly greedy and therefore inevitably bloodied, bruised, and bewildered…

It’s high time you take a more steady navigational tack.

There are always going to be bull markets and bear markets around the next bend. And there’s no way to predict which one will happen when. History has shown a thoroughly appalling track record when it comes to trying to time such things.

So why bother trying at all?

Instead, try timing individual stocks, evaluating each one on its own merits and price potential. Is it a worthwhile company that can bolster your portfolio for months, years, or even decades on end? And can you get it for a good value, if not a bargain?

Those are the kinds of questions iREIT on Alpha asks every day, providing worthwhile answers to our members through:

  1. Insightful articles
  2. Profitable portfolios
  3. A whole host of proprietary tools.

Take our iQ scoring model, where the “Q” stands for Quality and the “i" means we put you first. This exceptionally powerful system works so well because it allows data – not emotion – to determine the best REITs available at any given time.

We incorporate it into every recommendation we make, though members can also access it on their own time and at their own pace. Just like they can use our other offerings to do deep dives into individual opportunities from categories like:

  • Equity REITs
  • mREITs
  • Preferreds
  • Business development companies
  • Master limited partnerships
  • Exchange-traded funds
  • So much more!

Join this in-the-know, name-taking, money-making community today with a two-week FREE TRIAL that includes added bonuses designed to further incentivize you to stick around.

Analyst's Disclosure: I am/we are long CLPR.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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