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Why I Don't Think The FED Will Raise The FED Funds Rate Tomorrow

|Includes: FXE, GSG, HYG, IEF, IWM, JNK, QQQ, SPY, TBT, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), XLF

My opinions follow......use your own judgement

1) Recent auto, retail, and home sales have all been weakish.....weakening from here will be recessionary

2) Inflation indicators (industrial commodities, crude oil, Tips breakeven spreads) are pointing to lower inflation

3) Treasury/Junk bond spreads are turning negative for the economy

4) Tech stock break on Friday may be just the begining, with tens of $Trillions of over valued assets, worldwide

5) Flattening yield curve is predicting a recession within the next year

5) Credit is tightening for low quality borrowwers

6) Stronger $USD will hurt exporters

7) Political gridlock.......no tax, health care, or infrastructure bill this year

Disclosure: I am/we are short SPY, XLF.

Additional disclosure: Long Gold and Silver stocks