Jobs Data Ugly But Spin Keeps Markets Flat

Feb. 04, 2011 12:03 PM ETSPY
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InTheMoneyStocks.Com is a research and consulting company focused on mathematical proprietary techniques along with a key understanding of price, pattern and time. Through understanding geometry and other technical analysis methods, InTheMoneyStocks.Com prides itself on avoiding Wall Street hype while calling major and minor moves in the DOW, NASDAQ and S&P, commodities, currencies and stocks. Mission Statement: Our goal is to provide accurate and precise market guidance without the Wall Street hype.

The Non Farm Payroll Report was down right ugly. 36,000 jobs were created in January, far lower than the 150,000 expected. While this was a poor number, the markets barely sold off. The spin came in when the Unemployment Report was released, coming in at 9.0%. This was a significant drop from the previous month. In addition, last months Non Farm Payrolls Report was revised higher.  The combination of these two, canceled out the negative new Non Farm Payrolls Report and kept the markets around the flat line.  The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY) is trading $130.72, -0.06.

The Unemployment Rate is one of the most hyped economic releases each month. However, it is one of the most false indicators of true unemployment.  When calculating the Unemployment Rate, if you worked one single day during the month you are counted as employed. If you work a part time job because that is all you can find but want to work full time, you are considered employed. If you could not find a job for months and stopped searching, you are not counted as unemployed. There are many more screwed factors that the average citizen has no idea about. The real Unemployment Rate is estimated to be about 18%.

The Dollar is advancing for the second day in a row. The PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (NYSE:UUP) is trading at $22.43, +0.08 (+0.36%). This is actually more a bounce on a short term oversold Dollar. 

Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks.com



Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.
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