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Rhodium Price Doubled, Quadrupled, And Octupled

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Summary

  • The rhodium price jumped 95 percent in one year and eightfold in two years.
  • The metal is exceptionally scarce and in heavy demand in the car industry.
  • The electric car boom may reduce demand, but it won't happen tomorrow.
  • Beware, rhodium may crash as fast as it ascended before.

Extraordinary Rare And Extremely Expensive

Rhodium price jumped 95 percent in the year to February 13 and was one of the best-performing commodities in this period. What could be the reason for this? This metal “with the symbol Rh and atomic number 45” is extraordinarily rare, silvery-white, hard, corrosion-resistant–wrote Wikipedia. But also extremely expensive. The price of Rhodium (XRH:COM) per troy ounce was $21,790 last time. This is 12x the price of gold, 17x of platinum, and 9x of palladium.

(The rhodium price underwent a deep correction in March, read an update on Ageless Finance.)

Xtrackers ETC for rhodium price (XRH0). (Tradingview.com)

As you see on the chart, rhodium prices exploded, grew exponentially. In only two years, it jumped eight times higher, to $21,790 from approximately $2,750.

Rhodium Price is Very Volatile

A big part of rhodium demand (approximately 70-80% of global production) comes from the car industry. Because it is used, together with palladium and platinum, as catalysts in the three-way catalytic converters of engines. “Much of the world supply of rhodium is obtained from recycled catalytic converters obtained from scrapped vehicles”–wrote Wikipedia.

5 Futures Prices Jumping More Than Rhodium in 12 Months:

(Rhodium: +95%)

  1. Bitcoin Futures: +356%
  2. US Midwest Steel: +119%
  3. UK Natural Gas (ICE): +117%
  4. US Lumber (LB): +117%
  5. UAN FOB NOLA (Fertilizer): +102%

The rhodium price is very volatile, even more than the silver price used to be. Since the market is not liquid enough, volumes are low. This is because much of the trades are conducted independently of any commodity exchange, between a few producers and the large manufacturers. Some companies also produce rhodium bullion and coins, jewelry. But this is only a small slice of the market, only reaches 1-3 percent of the production.

Investments Tracking Rhodium Price

The simplest method for average investors to invest in rhodium is buying the ETC (Exchange-traded commodity) of Deutsche Bank Group. This product is traded in some exchanges in Europe and on the OTC (over-the-counter) market in the USA. Another product is the AfricaRhodium ETF (ETFRHOJ) listed in Johannesburg (South Africa).

Rhodium investment products

Code

Name Exchange

XRH0.LN/ XRH0.UK

Xtrackers Physical Rhodium ETC

LSE (London)

XRH0.L.EB

Xtrackers Physical Rhodium ETC

BXE

DBSHF

DB Physical Rhodium

OTC US

XRH0.L.IX

Xtrackers Physical Rhodium ETC

CXE

ETFRHOJ/ 1INVESTRHODIUM

AfricaRhodium ETF

JSE (Johannesburg)

The Difficulty of Rhodium Miner Stocks

If you prefer miners over the commodity itself, you won’t find any pure “rhodium miner”. Because rhodium can be found mostly in platinum or nickel ores, together with other “platinum group metals” (PGMs). So, you can buy only the stocks of a complex mining or commodity producer company, which makes only a minor part of its income from rhodium.

Still, major exchange-listed PGM miners are Anglo American Platinum, Impala Platinum, Sibanye Stillwater in South Africa, and Norilsk Nickel in Russia.

The Big Rhodium Picture

The future of rhodium price depends on the car industry. Sure, electric cars will reduce demand for this uncommon metal gradually in the future. Although, not this year or next year. So, because of its extreme scarcity, the steep rise of rhodium can continue for other years.

But the risks are also high, someday the price explosion may suddenly stop and turn around. That happened already. Namely, the price fell very low, quickly to $1,700/oz in November 2011, from approximately $10,000 in June 2008.

Ageless Finance

Main sources: Wikipedia, Barchart.com, Miningmx.com, Stooq.com, ETF.com, ETFsa

Analyst's Disclosure: I am/we are long AAUKF, XPTUSD:CUR.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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