ASSET VALUATION NODAL LOWS IN SATURATION MACROECONOMICS

These are notebook entries in attempt to validate the secience of saturatio macroeconomics.


There are five truisms about the science of nonstochastic saturation macroeconomics.

1. The summation of all macroeconomic money activity including the necessary month to month ex nihilo debt creation by the central banks  is represented exactly by the system's assets' valuation saturation curves. This is intutively self-evident. News does not make macroeconomic activity and does not move the weighted market. Macroeconomic expanding or contracting debt/money activity moves the market and the news is an epiphomenon. Nevertheless the news owned by the trading houses and Financial Industry is specifically used to unload overvalued assets near the end of a saturated cycle.

2. It is a self correcting system. Too much debt; too many entitlements, too great of malinvestment, too much leverage, too much production, too much supply, too great of overvaluation, and  too great of concentration of wealth in the hands of the elite will ultimately be corrected.

3 The macroeconomic system's asset  valuation fractals are time ordered, continuous, quantitative, and integrative with terminal decay areas often integrated into the follow-on growth period. They have fascinated observers, chartists, and wavists for hundreds of years. Lying below the patterns is a quantitative science that exactly represents the state and evolution of the  macroeconomic system.

4. Within this limited self correcting system ideal valuation growth and decay occurs within a time ordered 4 phase quantum fractal progression of x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x where x is any unit of time minutes, hours, days, weeks, months, or years. The first three phases are growth series and the last 4th phase is a decay series. A nonlinear devaluation occurs in the terminal 2x to 2,5x time period of the second growth fractal making the second fractal of the 4 fractals the most easily recognized sequence.

5. And most importantly and most frequently ignored by this observer  because of the distracting and confounding interpolated fractals: the asset valuation fractals ARE DETERMINED BY NODAL LOW VALUATIONS.

12 August 1982 and 11 October 1990 are significant nodal lows for the colossus Wilshire.  There are an intervening 99 months where empirical where the nodal lows are counted as the 13 15first and last month. 12 April is the beginning of the 247th month with a maximum of 247.5 months. There are only about 20 trading trading days left within the second fractal 247.5 month maximum 2.5x window.

A great nonlinear crash will occur within this 247.5 month window of about 20 additional trading days.

The 25 May 2010  Ecce perfect Nikkei fractal series of 8/20 days :: x/2.5x with a nonlinear collapse between the 16th and 17th day took the Nikkei and the Wilshire and the DAX to a low on 1 July 2010. THIS IS the second fractal  nodal low for the Wilshire.

The 6 March 2009 nodal low is preceded by a 3/7/5 decay fractal for 13+ days.  The follow on fractal base is 86-88 days in length and follows a 13+/34/34/20-22 x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x pattern. The total length of the base fractal is 98-100 days. 1July 2010 is  the 247th to 249th 2.5x day of this averaged 99/248 day first and second fractal series.  The expected x/2.5x/2x completion of the  99/248/2x day averaged fractal would occur on day 198.

On April 2 the fractal sequence is 98-100/247-249/191 of 198-200 days completed or 7 to 9 more days to an ideal x/2.5x/2-2.5x high.  The operative final sequence to the  very late April very early May 2011 low for the 247.5 month second fractal to the 99 month 12 August 1982 base is 9.5/24/13 of 20-22/15 days with the 15 day decay sequence counted from day 19 of the third fractal.

An interploated average ideal fractal sequence starting on 6 May, the flash crash day is observed as 12/29/24/18 days :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x representing a base of 80 days.  As of 2 April 2011 a first and second fractal series of 80/151 of 160 days is evident.  For this series a final operative reflexic growth  fractal of 9.5/24/13 of 22 days::  x/2.5x/2-2.5x is possible exacting matching the range of the 99-100/247-249/191 of 198-200 day cited earlier.

The final high or lower high using nodal lows is ideally in 7 to 9 trading days or 12 to 14 April 2011.  A 2/5/5 fractal was completed on 29 March. A final fractal pattern of 3/6/6 days would take the Wilshire to a final high on 14 April 2011.