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ALTHOUGH COLDER WINTER WEATHER IS HERE NOW: "THE "GLOBE HAD THE 3rd WARMEST YEAR TO DATE & 5th WARMEST NOVEMBER ON RECORD!" HOWEVER NATURAL GAS USAGE WILL SEE STRONG DEMAND FOR REMAINDER OF WINTER 2017-2018

Summary

HEAT: AS 'GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURES" IS NOT A "LINEAR PHENOMENON. [http://www.noaa.gov/news/globe-had-3rd-warmest-year-to-date-and-5th-warmest-november-on-record].

DESPITE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES "INCREASING VARIABILITY" IS ILLUSTRATED BY THE CONTRASTING ''EXTREME WEATHER" PATTERNS WHEN COMPARING NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER!

"EXTREME WEATHER" WILL WRECK HAVOC WITH NATURAL GAS FUTURE'S MARKETS AS DEMAND SWINGS FROM HIGH TO LOW BACK TO HIGH AGAIN FROM MONTH TO MONTH -- LIKE NOW!

NATURAL GAS PRICES ARE RISING AROUND THE GLOBE THOUGH LESS IN THE U.S. - COAL HAS BEEN RECENTLY USED IN HIGHER PROPORTIONS AS THE "CONUS" OVERALL ELECTRIC DEMAND HAS RISEN!

COAL PRICES HAVE INCREASED BY 20% SINCE MAY WHILE NATURAL GAS PRICES SOFTENED - PROBLEM & QUESTION: WHAT IS THE DISPOSITION OF THE U.S. COAL INVENTORY IN VOLUME & LOCATION?


BELOW IS REPRINTED FROM "NOAA" [my editorial additions are notated and NOAA is a source material] 

[http://www.noaa.gov/news/globe-had-3rd-warmest-year-to-date-and-5th-warmest-november-on-record].

"Globe had 3rd warmest year to date and 5th warmest November on record"

"Arctic and Antarctic sea ice coverage remain at near-record low"

"December 18, 2017 With a warm start to the year and only one month remaining, the globe remains on track to go down as the third warmest year in the 138-year climate record."

 NOAA- below - HAS ILLUSTRATED THE SCOPE & DIRECTION OF CLIMATIC CHANGE - it is getting warmer but NOT all at once and all the time and everywhere. That is where the public's confusion comes from - IF IT'S GETTING HOTTER WHY ARE THERE SO MANY RECORD COLD - WET - DRY EVENTS MIXED IN? lwpcolonel 12/20/2017

So, let's get straight to the data and dive deeper into NOAA’s monthly analysis to see how the planet fared for November, the season and the year to date:

Climate by the numbers

November 2017

The average global temperature in November 2017 was 1.35 degrees F above the 20th-century average of 55.2 degrees, according to scientists from NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information. This average temperature tied 2016 as the fifth highest for November in the 1880-2017 record. This marked the 41st consecutive November and the 395rd consecutive month with temperatures above the 20th-century average.

[Nevertheless we have seen many record low temperatures. However, they represent "INCREASING SHORT-TERM EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS - NOT A RETURN TO NORMAL COOLER AVERAGE GLOBAL TEMPERATURES- THESE EVENTS UNLIKE GLOBAL WARMING ARE MUCH HARDER TO PRECISELY FORECAST: LWPCOLONEL 12/20/2017]

Seasonal | September through November 2017

The end of November marks the end of the fall season for the Northern Hemisphere and spring for the Southern Hemisphere. The average seasonal temperature for the globe was 1.35 degrees F above the 20th century average of 57.1 degrees F. This was the fourth highest for September-November in the 1880-2017 record.

Year to date | January through November 2017

The year-to-date average temperature was 1.51 degrees F above the 20th-century average of 57.2 degrees. This was the third warmest for this period on record.

Disclosure: I am/we are long XOM SO CVX DUK PPL D BKH AES COP MRO PSX MDU EPD BPL ENBL MMM.

Additional disclosure: Extreme weather is NOT the dominant weather pattern. It does, however, make planning and logistical accuracy for the supply of vital commodities nearly impossible to forecast in anticipation of future needs. The demand for fuels, such as, Natural Gas become problematic especially from a short-term perspective. A heat wave a cold snap or a major weather event, all ephemeral and short in duration seem to have the effect of changing the expectations of the marketplace regarding the viability of the quantity and location of supplies and commodities. These Extreme Weather events, although Short-Lived can have the unpleasant effect of affecting an entire seasons harvest, due to an early frost or disrupt an economy due to a major hurricane that strikes both the Energy sector and the lucrative Florida tourism trade. Again, short duration "Extreme Events", often contrary to the prevailing changes in the global weather pattern, but with effects that are both longer lasting and effecting a broader economic sector than what is apparently involved or altered as a result.