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CGTS DAILY FOR MONDAY 14 SEPTEMBER 2009: HOW DO THE INDEXES LOOK?

Clark's Gate Timing System
Monday 14 September 2009
 

"This is deflation in action: falling prices that are, in effect, a transfer of wealth from landlords, goods producers and retailers to consumers."
Tom Petruno 


INDEX VIEW


Generally positive.  A bit of a mixed picture for a few indexes: Housing (HGX) and Nikkei (N225).

Almost all the indicators are overbought.  If you look at the charts below, you can tell quickly what we want to see in order for us to proclaim a trading top.  We want M2F Alt -- blue line -- to be overbought and declining (this portends to change of trend down, red line); and we want the trend line to either BE turned down and in a negative trend pattern-- lower lows and lower highs -- or be ready to turn negative, with a negative trend pattern imminent if the trend does turn negative.  So far, not many meet this criteria.  DJIA (Dow Industrials) and GSPC (S&P 500) and the Swiss Index (SSMI) don't qualify.  The Nikkei does qualify: if its trend (red line) turns down with this M2F overbought decline, then this is a very good sign for bears.


KEY: M2F ALT = short-term momentum: above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold; 'TRADE" = current position using M4 Sum Plus Trade System.  "TREND" = short-term trend DIRECTION: above 0 is positive; below 0 is negative.  "M4 +" = issues with at least 2 consecutive days of positive M4 Sum Plus will register a 1.  'M4 -" = issues with at least 2 consecutive days of negative M4 Sum Plus will register a 1M4 Sum Plus is a VERY short-term momentum indicator.  "INT MOM" = M5 Average Sum Plus, which is an intermediate-term momentum indicator: 1 is positive; -1 is negative.  "LTERM MOM" = MA 40 Sum Plus, which is a long-term momentum indicator: +1 is positive; -1 is negative.



DAILY INDEX REPORT            
11-Sep M2F ALT TRADE TREND M4 + M4 - INT MOM LTERM MOM
^AORD_D 99.728 Long 22 1 0 1 1
^BKX_D 81.139 Flat 0 0 0 -1 1
^BVSP_D 95.568 Long 221 1 0 1 1
^DJI_D 95.747 Long 33 1 0 1 1
^DJT_D 100 Long 22 1 0 1 1
^DRG_D 99.748 Long 1 1 0 -1 1
^FCHI_D 99.234 Long 17 1 0 1 1
^FTSE_D 4-Apr Long 20 1 0 1 1
^GDAXI_D 100 Long 22 1 0 1 1
^GSPC_D 98.16 Long 4 1 0 1 1
^HGX_D 89.388 Flat 1 0 0 1 1
^HSI_D 81.078 Long 229 1 0 1 1
^HUI_D 78.983 Long 5 1 0 1 1
^JPN_D 79.921 Flat 0 0 0 1 1
^KS11_D 86.568 Long 5 1 0 1 1
^N225_D 78.254 Flat 31 0 0 -1 1
^NDX_D 99.509 Long 6 1 0 1 1
^OEX_D 96.873 Long 2 1 0 1 1
^RUT_D 98.04 Long 3 1 0 1 1
^SMSI_D 72.624 Long 5 0 0 -1 1
^SOXX_D 89.51 Long 2 0 0 1 1
^SSEC_D 94.663 Flat 36 1 0 1 1
^SSMI_D 100 Long 22 1 0 -1 1
^TWII_D 78.776 Long 45 1 0 1 1
^TYX_D 36.634 Flat 0 0 0 -1 -1
^UTY_D 19.462 Flat 1 0 0 -1 -1
^VIX_D 8.671 Short -1 0 0 -1 -1
^XAU_D 72.925 Long 2 1 0 1 1
^XCI_D 98.721 Long 3 1 0 1 1
^XOI_D 97.129 Long 5 1 0 1 1
DBO_D 71.848 Long 0 0 0 -1 -1
IAU_D 85.124 Long 0 1 0 1 1
UUP_D 0 Short 0 0 -1 -1 -1


TODAY'S TRADES

9/11/09          
Daily          
Friday          
M2F Alternate System Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
EDU_D 74.22 Exit Long 72.12 8/14/09 2.83%
UTX_D 61.99 Exit Long 58.85 9/2/09 5.07%
ORCL_D 22.86 Exit Long 21.94 9/1/09 4.02%
           
M5 10 Trading System Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
FXP_D 9.23 Exit Short 9.78 8/5/09 5.62%
^SOXX_D 321.24 Exit Long 301.65 9/3/09 6.10%
BP_D 54.58 Exit Long 52.53 9/3/09 3.76%
SCGDX_D 18.88 Exit Long 17.41 9/2/09 7.79%
SCPIX_D 13.88 Exit Long 13.35 9/3/09 3.82%
           
M2F Alt LT 2 System        
No New Trades          
           
M4 Sum Plus Reverse System      
New Position price position shares    
VIX_C 24.15 Enter Short 414.08    
           
M5 Average Sum Plus System      
No New Trades          

More information on this system can be found at

 home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS09.htm

A draft of the book Turn Out the Lights can be found at the website below.  This book is a description of the metaphysical causes of the economic cycles of expansion (Day) and contraction (Night).

www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm

 

MJ Clark's Gate Timing System
Hanoi, Vietnam

84 4 221 92210