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CGTS DAILY FOR TUESDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2009

Clark's Gate Timing System
Tuesday 29
September 2009
 

 

There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crises should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.

 - Ludwig von Mises.

 

We're seeing the buyers trying to get back in control of the markets.  Indexes should try to work higher for the next day or two.  The Pharmaceutical Index (DRG) seems to be rallying above overhead resistance.

We are not bearish yet.  We need more trend deterioration before we call a top to this rally.
 

No charts today.


INDEX VIEW


KEY: COLUMN 1: SYMBOL OF INDEX/ETF; COLUMN 2: M2F ALT = short-term momentum: above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold; COLUMN 3: 'TRADE" = current position using M4 Sum Plus Trade System.  COLUMN 4: "TREND" = short-term trend DIRECTION: above 0 is positive; below 0 is negative.  COLUMN 5: "M4 SP+" = issues with at least 2 consecutive days of positive M4 Sum Plus will register a 1.  COLUMN 6: 'M4 SP -" = issues with at least 2 consecutive days of negative M4 Sum Plus will register a 1.   COLUMN 7: "INT MOM" = M5 Average Sum Plus, which is an intermediate-term momentum indicator: 1 is positive; -1 is negative.  COLUMN 8: "LTERM MOM" = MA 40 Sum Plus, which is a long-term momentum indicator: +1 is positive; -1 is negative.  COLUMN 9: Name of Index.
 


DAILY INDEXES              
28-Sep M2F Alt Trade Short Trend M4 SP+ M4 SP- Int Mom LT Mom Issue
^AORD_D 56.821 Long 19.99 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 All Ordinaries Australian Index
^BKX_D 22.393 Flat -0.28 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Banking Index
^BVSP_D 37.934 Long 230.45 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 BOLIVIAN INDEX
^DJI_D 30.191 Flat 29.87 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE
^DJT_D 12.085 Flat -17.58 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Dow Jones Transport Index
^DRG_D 40.092 Long 0.55 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 Pharmaceutical Index
^FCHI_D 36.474 Flat 15.03 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 CAC French Index
^FTSE_D 41.94 Flat 18.88 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 FTSE Daily Index
^GDAXI_D 40.022 Flat 20.06 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 DAX German Index Daily
^GSPC_D 27.861 Flat 3.34 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 S&P 500 Index
^HGX_D 3.708 Flat -1.32 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 1.00 Philadelphia Housing Sector Index Daily
^HSI_D 17.845 Flat -111.35 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 HANG SENG INDEX HONG KONG
^HUI_D 0.573 Flat -5.85 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 1.00 Gold Stock Index Daily
^JPN_D 19.34 Flat 0.18 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 Japan Index
^KS11_D 17.466 Long 4.48 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Kospi South Korean Index
^N225_D 6.05 Flat -17.76 0.00 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 Nikei Japan Index
^NDX_D 32.14 Flat 5.71 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Nasdaq Index Daily
^OEX_D 30.103 Flat 1.44 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 S&P 100 Index
^RUT_D 25.907 Flat 2.39 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Russell SMall Cap Index Daily
^SMSI_D 40.726 Flat 4.82 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Madrid General Index Daily
^SOXX_D 23.634 Long 1.49 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Phildelphia Semiconductor Index
^SSEC_D 0 Flat -51.23 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 Shanghai Composite
^SSMI_D 17.44 Flat 18.78 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Swiss Index Daily
^TWII_D 45.705 Long 29.82 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 TAIWAN WEIGHTED INDEX
^TYX_D 0 Flat -0.02 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 30 YEAR TREASURY YIELD
^UTY_D 35.274 Flat 0.71 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Utility Index
^VIX_D 88.804 Flat 0.45 0.00 0.00 1.00 -1.00 CRB Volatility Index Daily
^XAU_D 2.344 Flat -1.88 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 1.00 Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index Daily
^XCI_D 43.119 Flat 2.58 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Amex Computer Index Daily
^XOI_D 24.481 Flat 3.97 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Oil Stock Index
CUT_D 19.444 Flat 0.09 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 TIMBER ETF
DBO_D 7.36 Flat -0.26 0.00 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 OIL POWERSHARES DB
FIO_D 17.382 Flat -0.16 0.00 0.00 -1.00 1.00 Industrial/Office REIT ETF
GAZ_D 26.404 Long 0.231 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 Natural Gas ETF
IAU_D 0 Flat 0.137 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 1.00 Gold Daily
JJC_D 13.928 Flat -0.435 0.00 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 Copper ETF
JJM_D 25.216 Long -0.129 0.00 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 Industrial Metals ETN
UGA_D 4.615 Flat -0.53 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 US Gasoline ETF
UHN_D 4.852 Flat -0.286 0.00 0.00 -1.00 -1.00 Heating Oil ETF
UUP_D 91.667 Short -0.028 0 0 1 -1 US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH ETF

 

 

 

CURRENCY VIEW

A couple trades today: exit short AUDJPY and exit short EURJPY.  No trades today.



KEY: COLUMN 1: Currency Pair Symbol; COLUMN 2: Closing Price; COLUMN 3: New Short-Term Trade; COLUMN 4: Current Short-Term Position; COLUMN 5: New Long-Term Trade; COLUMN 6: Current Long-Term Positon; COLUMN 6: Currency Pair Name



CURRENCY              
9/29/09              
CUR PAIR CLOSE NEW ST TR ST POS NEW LT TR LT POS ISSUE  
               
AUDCAD=X 9/29/09 0.947   Flat   Long Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar
AUDCNY=X 9/29/09 5.978   Flat   Long Australian Dollar/Chinese Yuan
AUDJPY=X 9/29/09 78.821 Exit Short Flat   Long Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen
AUDNZD=X 9/29/09 1.215   Flat   Short Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar
AUDUSD=X 9/29/09 0.875   Flat   Long Australian Dollar/US Dollar
CADJPY=X 9/29/09 83.225   Flat   Short Canadian Dollar/Japanese Yen
CHFJPY=X 9/29/09 87.187   Flat   Short Swiss Franc/Japanese Yen
EURAUD=X 9/29/09 1.671   Short   Short Euro/Australian Dollar
EURCAD=X 9/29/09 1.583   Flat   Long Euro/Canadian Dollar
EURCHF=X 9/29/09 1.511   Flat   Long Euro/Swiss Franc
EURCNY=X 9/29/09 9.989   Flat   Long Euro/Chinese Yuan
EURGBP=X 9/29/09 0.918   Flat   Long Euro/British Pound
EURJPY=X 9/29/09 131.702 Exit Short Flat   Short Euro/Japanese Yen
GBPCHF=X 9/29/09 1.646   Flat   Short British Pound/Swiss Franc
GBPJPY=X 9/29/09 143.527   Flat   Short British Pound/Japanese Yen
JPYCNY=X 9/29/09 0.076   Flat   Long Japanese Yen/Chinese Yuan
NZDJPY=X 9/29/09 64.881   Flat   Short New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen
NZDUSD=X 9/29/09 0.721   Flat   Long New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar
USDCAD=X 9/29/09 1.082   Flat   Long US Dollar/Canadian Dollar
USDCHF=X 9/29/09 1.032   Flat   Short US Dollar/Swiss Franc
USDCNY=X 9/29/09 6.828   Short   Short US Dollar/China Yuan
USDEUR=X 9/29/09 0.684   Flat   Short US Dollar/Euro
USDGBP=X 9/29/09 0.627   Flat   Long US Dollar/British Pound
USDJPY=X 9/29/09 90.025   Flat   Short USDollar/Japanese Yen
USDVND=X 38,623.00 17,880.00   Flat   Long US Dollar/Vietnamese Dong
USDXAU=X 9/29/09 0.001   Flat   Long US DOLLAR/GOLD



TODAY'S NEW TRADES

It looks like the next attempt at a rally is beginning.  Look at the M5D Study Trading System and all the gold issues that are giving a buy signal today.  No charts today.



28-Sep          
Monday          
M2F Alt Trading System        
Symbol Issue Price Position Shares  
HOG_D HARLEY-DAVIDSON DAILY 23.04 Enter Long 434.03  
AMGN_D AMGEN 60.45 Enter Long 165.43  
BHI_D BAKER HUGHES DAILY 43.3 Enter Long 230.95  
BWLD_D BUFFALO WINGS 42.19 Enter Long 237.02  
RRGTX_D DWS GLOBAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES 7.09 Enter Long 1410.44  
SCPIX_D DWS SCUDDER S & P 500 INDEX 14.1 Enter Long 709.22  
XGCSX_D SCUDDER GLOBAL COMMODITES FUND 8.45 Enter Long 1183.43  
^KS11_D KOSPI SOUTH KOREAN INDEX 1,690.36 Enter Long 5.92  
EL_D ESTEE LAUDER 36.36 Enter Long 275.03  
PFE_D PHIZER DRUGS DAILY 16.57 Enter Long 603.50  
SKSRX_D DWS COMMODITY SECURITIES FUND 3.41 Enter Long 2932.55  
IYR_D REAL ESTATE ETF 43.7 Enter Long 228.83  
COP_D CONOCO PHILIPS DAILY 45.69 Enter Long 218.87  
^XOI_D OIL STOCK INDEX 1,037.93 Enter Long 9.63  
BBL_D BHP BILLITON 55.14 Enter Long 181.36  
SCGDX_D DWS SCUDDER GOLD FUND DAILY 17.85 Enter Long 560.22  
^XAU_D PHILADELPHIA GOLD AND SILVER INDEX DAILY 159.13 Enter Long 62.84  
BP_D BRITISH PETROLEUM DAILY 53.56 Enter Long 186.71  
GG_D GOLD CORP 38.44 Enter Long 260.15  
GLD_D SPDER GOLD SHARES 97.05 Enter Long 103.04  
IAU_D GOLD DAILY 97.13 Enter Long 102.95  
^HUI_D GOLD STOCK INDEX DAILY 398.09 Enter Long 25.12  
AA_D ALUMINUM COMPANY OF AMERICA 13.43 Enter Long 744.60  
ABX_D AMEERICAN BARRICKS GOLD 36.31 Enter Long 275.41  
EWC_D CANADA ETF 25.05 Enter Long 399.20  
GES_D GUESS? INC 36.78 Enter Long 271.89  
HAL_D HALIBURTON 27.29 Enter Long 366.43  
JPM_D JP MORGAN DAILY 44.81 Enter Long 223.16  
XME_D SPIDER MINING METALS ETF 45.97 Enter Long 217.53  
UUP_D US Dollar Bulll ETF 22.88 Enter Short -437.06  
Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
FXY_D 110.86 Exit Long 108.9 9/22/09 1.80%
SNE_D 30 Exit Long 26.28 9/3/09 14.16%
           
M5 10 TRADING SYSTEM        
Symbol Issue Price Position Shares  
^TWII_D TAIWAN WEIGHTED INDEX 7,429.98 Enter Long 1.35  
^FTSE_D FTSE DAILY INDEX 5,165.70 Enter Long 1.94  
CSCO_D CISCO SYSTEMS DAILY 23.61 Enter Long 423.55  
IBB_D BIOTECHNOLOGY ETF DAILY 82.03 Enter Long 121.91  
HD_D HOME DEPOT 27.26 Enter Long 366.84  
^UTY_D UTILITY INDEX 399.55 Enter Long 25.03  
UPS_D UNITED POSTAL SERVICE DAILY 57.63 Enter Long 173.52  
^GDAXI_D DAX GERMAN INDEX DAILY 5,736.31 Enter Long 1.74  
^SMSI_D MADRID GENERAL INDEX DAILY 1,242.49 Enter Long 8.05  
BLK_D BLACKROCK 213.92 Enter Long 46.75  
BRK-A_D BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY A DAILY 100,260.00 Enter Long 0.10  
EWP_D SPAIN INDEX 50.41 Enter Long 198.37  
GE_D GENERAL ELECTRIC DAILY 16.76 Enter Long 596.66  
GS_D GOLDMAN SACHS DAILY 182.5 Enter Long 54.79  
INTC_D INTEL DAILY 19.74 Enter Long 506.59  
CUT_D TIMBER ETF 17.32 Enter Long 577.37  
^SSMI_D SWISS INDEX DAILY 6,289.27 Enter Long 1.59  
^BVSP_D BOLIVIAN INDEX 61,316.62 Enter Long 0.16  
^DJI_D DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE 9,789.36 Enter Long 1.02  
^FCHI_D CAC FRENCH INDEX 3,825.00 Enter Long 2.61  
^GSPC_D S&P 500 INDEX 1,062.98 Enter Long 9.41  
^NDX_D NASDAQ INDEX DAILY 1,724.59 Enter Long 5.80  
^OEX_D S&P 100 INDEX 491.69 Enter Long 20.34  
^RUT_D RUSSELL SMALL CAP INDEX DAILY 613.22 Enter Long 16.31  
^XCI_D AMEX COMPUTER INDEX DAILY 799 Enter Long 12.52  
BA_D BOEING DAILY 53.07 Enter Long 188.43  
BBD_D BANCO BRANDESCO SA 18.81 Enter Long 531.63  
BEN_D BEN FRANKLIN 101.92 Enter Long 98.12  
COL_D ROCKWELL COLLINS DAILY 50.46 Enter Long 198.18  
EWG_D GERMANY ETF 22.23 Enter Long 449.84  
EWQ_D FRANCE ETF 25.94 Enter Long 385.51  
MMM_D 3-M DAILY 75.01 Enter Long 133.32  
PNC_D PNC FINANCIAL SVC DAILY 46.55 Enter Long 214.82  
QQQQ_D POWERSHARES QQQ 42.41 Enter Long 235.79  
UTX_D UNITED TECHNOLOGIES DAILY 61.64 Enter Long 162.23  
XES_D SPIDER OIL GAS EQUIPMENT ETF 27.57 Enter Long 362.71  
XOP_D SPIDER OIL GAS EXPLORATION ETF 38.48 Enter Long 259.88  
SCPIX_D DWS SCUDDER S & P 500 INDEX 14.1 Enter Long 709.22  
^KS11_D KOSPI SOUTH KOREAN INDEX 1,690.36 Enter Long 5.92  
^XOI_D OIL STOCK INDEX 1,037.93 Enter Long 9.63  
           
M2F ALT LT 2 Trading System        
^TWII_D TAIWAN WEIGHTED INDEX 7,429.98 Enter Long 1.35  
^FTSE_D FTSE DAILY INDEX 5,165.70 Enter Long 1.94  
CSCO_D CISCO SYSTEMS DAILY 23.61 Enter Long 423.55  
IBB_D BIOTECHNOLOGY ETF DAILY 82.03 Enter Long 121.91  
HD_D HOME DEPOT 27.26 Enter Long 366.84  
^UTY_D UTILITY INDEX 399.55 Enter Long 25.03  
UPS_D UNITED POSTAL SERVICE DAILY 57.63 Enter Long 173.52  
HLF_D HERBALIFE 32.09 Enter Long 311.62  
KSU_D KANSAS CITY SOUTHERN 26.56 Enter Long 376.51  
^HSI_D HANG SENG INDEX HONG KONG 21,051.87 Enter Long 0.48  
CA_D COMPUTER ASSOCIATES 22.30 Enter Long 448.43  
ORCL_D ORACLE DAILY 21.17 Enter Long 472.37  
SGP_D SCHERING PLOUGH DAILY 28.08 Enter Long 356.13  
Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
DGZ_D 22.68 Exit Long 23.53 8/13/09 3.75%
HUI_D 398.09 Exit Long 365.36 8/13/09 8.96%
MA_D 208.14 Exit Long 203.4 9/3/09 2.33%
XAU_D 159.13 Exit Long 148.99 9/3/09 6.81%
HGX__D 104.44 Exit Long 104.21 9/7/09 0.22%
IAU_D 97.13 Exit Long 93.75 8/13/09 3.61%
GLD_D 97.05 Exit Long 93.72 8/13/09 3.55%
UTX_D 61.64 Exit Long 59.65 9/3/09 3.34%
SAP_D 48.78 Exit Long 50.47 9/22/09 -3.35%
DE_D 41.57 Exit Long 42.18 9/4/09 -1.45%
NEM_D 42.67 Exit Long 41.47 8/13/09 2.89%
HON_D 37.34 Exit Long 36.26 9/3/09 2.98%
ABX_D 36.31 Exit Long 34.19 8/13/09 6.20%
HOG_D 23.04 Exit Long 21.81 8/21/09 5.64%
SKSRX_D 3.41 Exit Long 3.42 8/12/09 -0.29%
SCGDX_D 17.85 Exit Long 16.2 7/30/09 10.19%
           
  M5 D Study Trading System        
XME_D SPIDER MINING METALS ETF 45.97 Enter Long 217.53  
SCGDX_D DWS SCUDDER GOLD FUND DAILY 17.85 Enter Long 560.22  
^XAU_D PHILADELPHIA GOLD AND SILVER INDEX DAILY 159.13 Enter Long 62.84  
GG_D GOLD CORP 38.44 Enter Long 260.15  
GLD_D SPDER GOLD SHARES 97.05 Enter Long 103.04  
IAU_D GOLD DAILY 97.13 Enter Long 102.95  
^HUI_D GOLD STOCK INDEX DAILY 398.09 Enter Long 25.12  
ABX_D AMEERICAN BARRICKS GOLD 36.31 Enter Long 275.41  
^DJT_D DOW JONES TRANSPORT INDEX 3,856.96 Enter Long 2.59  
AA_D ALUMINUM COMPANY OF AMERICA 13.43 Enter Long 744.60  
EWC_D CANADA ETF 25.05 Enter Long 399.20  
GES_D GUESS? INC 36.78 Enter Long 271.89  
HAL_D HALIBURTON 27.29 Enter Long 366.43  
JPM_D JP MORGAN DAILY 44.81 Enter Long 223.16  
BNI_D BURLINGTON NORTHERN 81.54 Enter Long 122.64  
^HGX_D PHILADELPHIA HOUSING SECTOR INDEX DAILY 104.21 Enter Long 95.96  
BP_D BRITISH PETROLEUM DAILY 53.56 Enter Long 186.71  
^SSMI_D SWISS INDEX DAILY 6,289.27 Enter Long 1.59  
           
M4 SUM REVERSE TRADING SYSTEM      
Symbol Issue Price Position Shares  
NONE          
           
M5 Average Sum Plus Trading System      
Symbol Issue Price Position Shares  
None          
           
           


More information on this system can be found at

home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS09.htm

A draft of the book Turn Out the Lights can be found at the website below.  This book is a description of the metaphysical causes of the economic cycles of expansion (Day) and contraction (Night).

www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm

 

Michael J. Clark's Gate Timing System
Hanoi, Vietnam

84 4 221 92210