Please Note: Blog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors.

CGTS DAILY FOR WEDNESDAY 6 JANUARY 2010

CLARK'S GATE TIMING SYSTEM
Wednesday 6 January 2010
 

“By a continuing process of inflation, government can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens.”

    -- John Maynard Keynes



One of our favorite Portfolio Systems is what we call 'M5D (Differential) Study Simple 2009.  It measures the differential between our M5 indicator and the day earlier M5 reading, twists it, shreds it, complicates it, simplifies it...and gives us a number.  We began trading this system 6/29/09 -- and it is up 21.51% so far -- we have closed 97 trades so far, 87 trades being winners, for a 92% accuracy rate.

The portfolio is copied below.  There are some small gains but average gain is about 6% per trade.  Also, three charts of M5D sell signals today, gains of 8%, 2%, and 7% on the trades, right about the average gain.  Each of the positions was held for about 3 months.

Nothing seems to be able to slow this pretty slow light-volume rally up.  Where we should find sellers we do not.  I was once a pretty optimistic man, generally speaking; but after the last two years I think my cheerleading days are over.  I'll watch the markets (and Wall Street) skeptically for the rest of my life, I'm sure -- but I'll follow my system, because it excludes all emotional response to even and simply analyzes numbers.

  DAILY PORTFOLIO   Active Active First Short % Long Closed Trades (Updated weekly)
% Gain 12/31/10   Profit Trades Cost Trade Trades Trades Total Winning % Winning
26.88% M2F alt Trading System   $266,092 99 990000 7/27/09 14 86% 530 437 82.45%
8.93% M2F ALT LT 2 Tr Syst   $148,279 166 1660000 7/8/09 11 93% 296 254 85.81%
22.51% M5 10 Trading System   $132,815 59 590000 6/29/09 9 85% 399 319 79.95%
21.51% M5 D Study Simple  09   $66,690 31 310000 6/29/09 5 84% 97 89 91.75%
17.18% M5/M5Avg Sum Plus New   $37,800 22 220000 9/5/09 2 91% 13 12 92.31%
                       
17.29% Total   $651,676 377 $3,770,000       1335 1111 83.22%
  *Based on $10,000 per trade                




Symbol Close M5D  Shares Enter At Date Entered Gain/Loss Return Sell Date  
    Position              
                   
UUP_D 22.91 Short -348 $22.83 11/6/09 ($55.84) -0.71%   US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH ETF
EUM_D 37.4 Short -232.45 $43.02 11/2/09 $1,278.39 12.82%   Short Emerging Markets
SCC_D 36.93 Short -220.22 $45.51 10/5/09 $1,861.49 18.63%   Short Consumer Services ETF Daily
SH_D 51.53 Short -175 $57.13 10/5/09 $952.00 9.55%   Short SP 500 ETF
^XOI_D 1,106.98 Long 9.14 $1,094.61 10/27/09 $85.06 0.85%   Oil Stock Index
BLK_D 239.61 Long 45.12 $221.62 10/28/09 $783.71 7.82%   BLACKROCK
GS_D 176.14 Long 55.68 $179.61 10/5/09 ($221.21) -2.21%   Goldman Sachs Daily
FXA_D 91.2 Long 110.64 $90.39 11/2/09 $61.62 0.61%   Australian Dollar ETF
NKE_D 65.61 Long 153.4 $65.19 10/22/09 $36.43 0.36%   Nike Daily
PEP_D 61.98 Long 164.47 $60.80 11/2/09 $166.07 1.66%   Pepsi Daily
UTX_D 70.56 Long 165.48 $60.43 10/5/09 $1,648.31 16.44%   United Technologies Daily
COP_D 52.63 Long 194.55 $51.40 10/27/09 $211.30 2.11%   Conoco Philips Daily
JPM_D 43.68 Long 223 $44.81 9/28/09 ($279.99) -2.79%   JP Morgan Daily
BHI_D 43.66 Long 226.86 $44.08 10/27/09 ($123.28) -1.23%   Baker Hughes Daily
EPP_D 42.98 Long 253.68 $39.42 10/5/09 $875.10 8.73%   Asia (No Japan) ETF
TWX_D 29.09 Long 332 $30.15 11/2/09 ($379.92) -3.78%   Time Warner Daily
PDE_D 32.83 Long 337 $29.72 10/5/09 $1,020.07 10.16%   PRIDE INTERNATIONAL
UDN_D 27.71 Long 355.62 $28.12 11/2/09 ($173.80) -1.73%   US DOLLAR INDEX BEARISH
HAL_D 31.65 Long 366 $27.29 9/28/09 $1,567.76 15.65%   Haliburton
XES_D 30.21 Long 369 $27.13 10/5/09 $1,108.52 11.04%   SPIDER Oil Gas Equipment ETF
EWG_D 22.79 Long 463.18 $21.59 10/5/09 $527.82 5.26%   Germany ETF
BBD_D 21.86 Long 478 $20.92 10/21/09 $421.32 4.20%   Banco Brandesco SA
MTL_D 21.36 Long 494 $20.24 1/4/10 $525.28 5.24%   Mechel Open Joint Stock Company
BJS_D 19.95 Long 524.93 $19.05 10/5/09 $444.44 4.43%   BJ Services
MTL_D 21.36 Long 575.37 $17.38 10/5/09 $2,261.97 22.56%   Mechel Open Joint Stock Company
BAC_D 16.2 Long 612 $16.34 10/5/09 ($113.68) -1.13%   Bank of America Daily
STD_D 17.14 Long 615.38 $16.25 11/2/09 $519.69 5.18%   Banco Santander
GE_D 15.53 Long 631.71 $15.83 10/5/09 ($217.51) -2.17%   General Electric Daily
SGINX_D 15.17 Long 655.74 $15.25 9/22/09 ($80.46) -0.80%   DWS GNMA Fund
DRYS_D 6.43 Long 1,575 $6.35 11/25/09 $98.00 0.98%   Dry Ships Daily
EFZ_D 56.72 Flat -161.21 $62.03 10/5/09 $800.03 8.02% 1/5/10 Short MSCI EAPE Index ETF Daily
EWQ_D 26.7 Flat 385 $25.97 9/30/09 $225.05 2.24% 1/5/10 France ETF
CSCO_D 24.58 Flat 435.92 $22.94 10/5/09 $658.91 6.57% 1/5/10 Cisco Systems Daily
^FTSE_D 5,522.50 Flat 1.99 $5,024.33 10/5/09 $687.32 6.86% 12/30/09 FTSE Daily Index
^AORD_D 4,947.20 Flat 2.15 $4,646.90 10/30/09 $374.22 3.74% 12/29/09 All Ordinaries Australian Index
AAPL_D 214.38 Flat 52.82 $189.31 11/2/09 $989.31 9.87% 12/29/09 Apple Daily
SAP_D 46.82 Flat 199 $50.38 9/18/09 ($680.86) -6.77% 12/29/09 SAP
SKSRX_D 3.83 Flat 2,747.25 $3.64 10/27/09 $136.31 1.36% 12/29/09 DWS Commodity Securities Fund
^GSPC_D 1,136.52 Flat 9.6 $1,040.46 10/5/09 $782.27 7.81% 12/28/09 S&P 500 Index
^HGX_D 106.08 Flat 96 $104.21 9/28/09 ($60.80) -0.61% 12/28/09 Philadelphia Housing Sector Index Daily
ENP_D 21.72 Flat 555.56 $18.00 11/3/09 $1,360.68 13.57% 12/28/09 Encore Energy Partners
^TWII_D 8,327.62 Flat 1.36 $7,340.08 10/30/09 $813.60 8.13% 12/24/09 TAIWAN WEIGHTED INDEX
^FCHI_D 4,012.91 Flat 2.72 $3,675.01 10/5/09 $590.60 5.89% 12/24/09 CAC French Index
XOP_D 43.5 Flat 242.84 $41.18 10/27/09 ($19.57) -0.20% 12/22/09 Spider Oil Gas Exploration ETF
RHT_D 30.97 Flat 360.36 $27.75 10/22/09 $707.96 7.06% 12/22/09 Red Hat
ELY_D 7.79 Flat 1,264 $7.91 10/20/09 ($283.52) -2.83% 12/22/09 Calahan Golf
^SSMI_D 6,579.26 Flat 1.59 $6,289.27 9/28/09 $261.94 2.61% 12/17/09 Swiss Index Daily
^SSMI_D 6,579.26 Flat 1.59 $6,289.27 9/28/09 $261.94 2.61% 12/17/09 Swiss Index Daily
FST_D 23.95 Flat 470 $21.28 12/14/09 $371.70 3.71% 12/17/09 FOREST OIL
HMA_D 7.4 Flat 1,522 $6.57 12/4/09 $674.56 6.73% 12/17/09 Health-Management Assoc
HK_D 25.92 Flat 380.66 $26.27 10/27/09 ($855.39) -8.53% 12/16/09 PETROHAWK ENERGY
HK_D 25.92 Flat 420 $23.85 12/14/09 $78.40 0.78% 12/16/09 PETROHAWK ENERGY
GAZ_D 14.55 Flat 668 $14.97 10/27/09 ($323.20) -3.22% 12/16/09 Natural Gas ETF
SBB_D 38.5 Flat -234.36 $42.67 10/5/09 $471.31 4.73% 12/15/09 Short Small Cap 600 S&P ETF Daily
MYY_D 43.52 Flat -207 $48.28 10/5/09 $602.26 6.04% 12/15/09 Short Midcap Index Short
^KS11_D 1,706.79 Flat 6 $1,644.63 10/5/09 $52.42 0.53% 12/15/09 Kospi South Korean Index
SNE_D 29.88 Flat 368 $27.17 10/5/09 $613.76 6.12% 12/15/09 Sony Daily
AA_D 16.13 Flat 744.6 $13.43 9/28/09 $874.75 8.72% 12/15/09 Aluminum Company of America
FMCN_D 17.3 Long 690 $14.50 12/2/09 $1,165.30 11.61% 12/11/09 Focus Media Holding Ltd.
RWM_D 43.25 Flat -209.38 $47.76 10/5/09 $235.04 2.36% 12/8/09 Short Russell 200 Index ETF Daily
^DJT_D 4,172.64 Flat 2.59 $3,856.96 9/28/09 $457.21 4.56% 12/8/09 Dow Jones Transport Index
^RUT_D 638.49 Flat 17 $591.11 10/5/09 $56.03 0.56% 12/8/09 Russell SMall Cap Index Daily
^SOX_D 366.42 Flat 30.7 $325.75 9/30/09 $288.15 2.87% 12/8/09 Phildelphia Semiconductor Index
^JPN_D 112.78 Flat 94 $106.31 10/30/09 $17.32 0.17% 12/8/09 Japan Index
ROK_D 47.35 Flat 205 $48.81 10/5/09 ($771.45) -7.69% 12/8/09 Rockwell Automation Daily
AMAT_D 14.19 Flat 805 $12.43 11/25/09 $660.45 6.58% 12/8/09 Applied Materials
JO_D 40.17 Long 260.55 $38.38 11/13/09 $678.75 6.77% 12/3/09 Coffee ETF
GES_D 43.79 Flat 271.89 $36.78 9/28/09 $1,501.93 14.98% 12/3/09 Guess? Inc
IYR_D 45.92 Flat 273 $42.06 9/25/09 $541.87 4.71% 12/3/09 Real Estate ETF
MKL_D 345.15 Flat 30.24 $330.70 10/22/09 $22.69 0.23% 12/2/09 Merkel Daily
BA_D 58.02 Flat 191.28 $52.28 10/5/09 $230.92 2.30% 12/2/09 Boeing Daily
CUT_D 18.67 Flat 582 $17.18 9/30/09 $427.06 4.26% 12/2/09 TIMBER ETF
FXY_D 108.24 Long 92 $109.60 10/19/09 $427.00 4.22% 11/30/09 Japanese Yen ETF Daily
DGZ_D 19.51 Short -463.18 $21.59 10/27/09 $1,389.12 13.93% 11/25/09 Short Gold ETF Daily
^GDAXI_D 6,031.86 Flat 1.82 $5,508.85 10/5/09 $285.14 2.84% 11/25/09 DAX German Index Daily
IAU_D 109.769 Long 96 $103.80 10/21/09 $1,189.12 11.90% 11/25/09 Gold Daily
GLD_D 109.7 Long 97 $103.75 10/21/09 $1,192.88 11.82% 11/25/09 SPDER Gold Shares
XOM_D 69.42 Long 138.6 $72.15 11/2/09 $542.75 5.41% 11/25/09 Exxon Mobil Daily
UPS_D 58.28 Flat 180 $55.61 10/5/09 $410.20 4.09% 11/25/09 United Postal Service Daily
KO_D 56.35 Long 184.67 $54.15 10/22/09 $675.29 6.73% 11/25/09 Coca Cola Daily
XME_D 55 Flat 218 $45.97 9/28/09 $894.48 8.90% 11/25/09 Spider Mining Metals ETF
BAL_D 35.855 Long 286.06 $34.96 11/13/09 $533.86 5.32% 11/25/09 Cotton ETF
PFE_D 18.66 Flat 591 $16.93 11/4/09 $925.06 9.22% 11/25/09 Phizer Drugs Daily
ACH_D 30.6 Long 363 $27.54 9/25/09 $100.09 1.00% 11/23/09 Aluminum Corp of China
PCLN_D 226.56 Flat 62 $162.07 9/25/09 $2,097.26 20.81% 11/11/09 Priceline.com
IBM_D 130.85 Flat 83.26 $120.11 10/26/09 $533.48 5.32% 11/11/09 IBM Daily
HON_D 40.43 Flat 268.46 $37.25 9/29/09 $341.32 3.40% 11/11/09 Honeywell Daily
AXP_D 40.83 Flat 294.38 $33.97 9/22/09 $1,733.83 17.29% 11/11/09 American Express
DXD_D 28.64 Flat -278.78 $35.87 10/5/09 $1,326.75 13.30% 11/10/09 Short Dow Industrial ETF
PSQ_D 43.03 Flat -204 $49.04 10/5/09 $551.51 5.53% 11/10/09 Short QQQ Index ETF
DOG_D 51.61 Flat -173.4 $57.67 10/5/09 $653.21 6.55% 11/10/09 Short Dow 30 ETF
^DJI_D 10,572.02 Flat 1 $9,599.75 10/5/09 $591.22 6.14% 11/10/09 DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE
^NDX_D 1,888.43 Flat 5.97 $1,675.64 10/5/09 $526.25 5.25% 11/10/09 Nasdaq Index Daily
^OEX_D 524.6 Flat 21 $481.75 10/5/09 $479.92 4.73% 11/10/09 S&P 100 Index
^HUI_D 449.42 Long 22.42 $446.01 10/16/09 $268.19 2.67% 11/10/09 Gold Stock Index Daily
^DRG_D 309.65 Flat 34.83 $287.10 11/2/09 $311.80 3.11% 11/10/09 Pharmaceutical Index
^XAU_D 176.02 Long 63 $159.13 9/28/09 $1,333.15 13.26% 11/10/09 Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index Daily
PG_D 61.14 Long 176 $56.75 10/5/09 $842.66 8.41% 11/10/09 Proctor and Gamble Daily
QQQQ_D 46.42 Flat 242.66 $41.21 10/5/09 $528.81 5.27% 11/10/09 Powershares QQQ
ABX_D 40.89 Long 263 $38.10 10/21/09 $1,266.89 12.61% 11/10/09 American Barricks Gold
EWC_D 27.07 Flat 399 $25.05 9/28/09 $283.15 2.83% 11/10/09 Canada ETF
EWS_D 11.84 Long 957 $10.45 10/5/09 $594.76 5.93% 11/10/09 Singapore Index
ECH_D 56.33 Long 206.44 $48.44 11/2/09 $375.46 3.74% 11/6/09 ENCANA CORP
NEM_D 48.58 Long 231 $43.28 10/27/09 $861.07 8.59% 11/5/09 Newmont Mining Daily
BNI_D 98.81 Long 126.79 $78.87 10/26/09 $2,255.38 22.49% 11/4/09 Burlington Northern
MGM_D 10.5 Flat 789 $12.66 9/25/09 ($2,367.77) -23.64% 10/30/09 MGM Mirage
BP_D 59.57 Long 186.71 $53.56 9/28/09 $433.18 4.32% 10/20/09 British Petroleum Daily
DE_D 55.85 Long 231.48 $43.20 9/29/09 $594.46 5.93% 10/20/09 John Deere
ORCL_D 24.82 Flat 462.53 $21.62 9/18/09 $207.64 2.07% 10/20/09 Oracle Daily
^XOI_D 1,106.98 Long 10 $1,018.66 9/25/09 $805.30 7.88% 10/16/09 Oil Stock Index
BBL_D 66.86 Flat 185 $54.00 9/25/09 $952.25 9.51% 10/16/09 BHP Billiton
XOM_D 69.42 Long 295.42 $68.93 9/24/09 $1,181.81 5.80% 10/16/09 Exxon Mobil Daily
MSFT_D 30.96 Long 401 $24.96 10/5/09 $561.54 5.59% 10/16/09 Microsoft Daily
HOG_D 25.65 Long 404.53 $24.72 9/22/09 $1,214.22 12.11% 10/16/09 Harley-Davidson Daily
XGCSX_D 9.37 Long 1,206 $8.29 10/5/09 $848.50 8.46% 10/16/09 Scudder GLobal Commodites Fund
FXE_D 143.46 Long 69 $145.59 10/5/09 $193.78 1.92% 10/15/09 Euro vs Dollar ETC
BNI_D 98.81 Long 123 $81.54 9/28/09 $525.79 5.23% 10/15/09 Burlington Northern
DWSN_D 24.34 Short 386.85 $25.85 10/5/09 $911.12 9.09% 10/12/09 Dawson Geophysical
COP_D 52.63 Long 225 $45.01 9/25/09 $1,243.15 12.24% 10/9/09 Conoco Philips Daily
NEM_D 48.58 Long 231.48 $43.20 10/5/09 $707.88 7.06% 10/9/09 Newmont Mining Daily
SCGDX_D 20.13 Long 560 $17.85 9/28/09 $991.20 9.89% 10/9/09 DWS Scudder Gold Fund Daily
SKSRX_D 3.83 Flat 2,967 $3.37 9/25/09 $418.72 4.18% 10/9/09 DWS Commodity Securities Fund
GG_D 41.22 Long 260 $38.44 9/28/09 $971.00 9.69% 10/8/09 Gold Corp
ABX_D 40.89 Long 275 $36.31 9/28/09 $824.00 8.23% 10/8/09 American Barricks Gold
^HUI_D 449.42 Long 25.12 $398.09 9/28/09 $1,078.67 10.76% 10/7/09 Gold Stock Index Daily
IAU_D 109.769 Long 103 $97.13 9/28/09 $487.84 4.86% 10/7/09 Gold Daily
GLD_D 109.7 Long 103 $97.05 9/28/09 $491.03 4.90% 10/7/09 SPDER Gold Shares




TODAY'S SIGNALS

A lot more buy signals today.  We have charts of EDU, HD, and SLG that look pretty good.  We have charts of sell signals for CSCO, EWQ and EFZ.  See all our signals for today below.





5-Jan          
TUESDAY          
M2F Alt Trading System      
New Trades        
M2F ALT Trade Closed Trades      
Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
Hang Seng 22465.75 Exit Long $21,902.11 12/11/10 2.57%
BRK-A 99710 Exit Long $98,895.00 12/24/10 0.82%
FXP 7.74 Exit Short $8.05 12/9/10 4.01%
M2F alt Trading System New Open Trades    
Issue Price Position Shares    
NILE 62.98 Enter Long 158.78    
SLG 48.02 Enter Long 208.25    
UTY 413.22 Enter Long 24.20    
HD 28.88 Enter Long 346.26    
O 26.54 Enter Long 376.79    
           
M2F ALT Lterm 2 Trade Closed Trades    
Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
None          
M2F alt Lterm 2 Trading System New Open Trades    
Issue Price Position Shares    
UBET 2.95 Enter Long 3389.83    
CPA 56.68 Enter Long 176.43    
SBUX 23.59 Enter Long 423.91    
           
M5 (10) Trade Closed Trades      
Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
FXA 91.2 Exit Long $93.42 11/25/10 -2.38%
SLAFX 53.13 Exit Long $52.33 12/9/10 1.53%
GSK 41.83 Exit Long $41.83 12/21/10 0.00%
BAL 35.855 Exit Long $36.07 12/24/10 -0.60%
TXN 25.86 Exit Long $25.94 12/10/10 -0.31%
CSCO 24.58 Exit Long $23.94 12/10/10 2.67%
EWS 11.84 Exit Long $11.48 12/18/10 3.14%
RGR 10.59 Exit Long $10.16 12/23/10 4.23%
GS 176.14 Exit Long $185.55 10/19/10 -5.07%
M5 (10) Trading System New Open Trades    
Issue Price Position Shares    
EDU 76.66 Enter Long 130.45    
           
M5D Simple Trade Closed Trades      
Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
EFZ 56.72 Exit Short $62.03 10/5/10 9.36%
EWQ 26.7 Exit Long $25.97 9/30/10 2.81%
CSCO 24.58 Exit Long $22.94 10/5/10 7.15%
M5D Simple Trading System New Open Trades    
Issue Price Position Shares    
None          
           
M5/M5 Average Sum Plus New Trade Closed Trades  
Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
None          
M5/M5 Average Sum Plus New  Trading System New Open Trades
Issue Price Position Shares    
None          



More information on this system can be found at

home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS09.htm

A draft of the book Turn Out the Lights can be found at the website below.  This book is a description of the metaphysical causes of the economic cycles of expansion (Day) and contraction (Night).

www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm
 

Michael J. Clark's Gate Timing System
Hanoi, Vietnam

84 4 221 92210





Disclosure: The author does not own issues mentioned in this article.