Long/Short Equity, Special Situations, Currencies
Contributor Since 2009
CGTS: THE NEW SCIENCE OF INVESTING
May 31, 2018 8:33 PM ET•GPRO, TWTR, BIIB•Comment!
CLARK'S GATE TIMING SYSTEM
31 May 2018
Stocks took a step back on Thursday, as TRADE WAR animosities dominated the news. PRESIDENT TRUMP pressed for trade tariffs against the EU, Canada and Mexico -- steel and aluminum -- and also suggested a ban on (all?) German luxury cars. Canada pushed for its own 25% tariffs against the US -- on items as large as steel slabs to as small as ink pens and chocolate. Europe responded with threats against the US as well.
DER SPIEGEL, Germany's TIME MAGAZINE, replied with its own poster of the troubles of the era.
Very dramatic. Why would Trump threaten Germany this way? Is he just mean? Or is he responding to 'unfair' trade issues. Looking a little deeper than the headlines we find:
There's a 10% import tariff for U.S. cars going into Europe and just a 2.5% import tariff for European cars coming into the U.S. The White House could level those tariffs, matching Europe's 10% or possibly going even higher. A similar relationship previously existed between China and the U.S. However, China recently lowered its automotive import tariff from 25% to 15%.
Ok; let's all squirm on the count of 3.
I was participating in a post on IPO's last night, which focussed on GPRO and TWTR. I wrote that TWTR was bullish; GPRO was a continuing BEAR. A reader asked how I KNEW that TWTR was bullish. I told them I would post charts of both for reference today.
GPRO first. I was SHORT for most of last year. I am out now. GPRO is basing, trying to BOTTOM -- but still BEARISH.
And TWTR? A beautiful ascent. Look how TRIANGLE (RED DIGIT BUY) and SUM360 both called the BOTTOM back in MAY 2016. Sure, Sell in May and Go Away. (I will take a closer look at that notion some other time.). It was followed by a BLACK DIGIT -- one can think of this as a middle finger -- that became a TRADING SELL SIGNAL (as SUM360 did not decline, but flatlined) from October 2016 to April 2017 -- then, again, a TRIANGLE BUY that is still in place. If we look only at TWTR, we see that the AXION "Sell in May and Go Away" would have been horrible advice for the last two years.
I read another SA post last night concerning BIOGEN, BIIB. So I looked at the chart. Very nice chart. So I'm posting that also. A nice spot to get back in. Remember, HYBRID ALT requires that SUM360 be rising or stationary at +360 max; and that EITHER COUNT1 SPIN =1 or PROP2.5 SPIN = 1.
NDX is back in M2F ALT OVERBOUGHT territory. What does this mean? PROP2 Spin still positive. COUNTPoint6 still positive. THERE IS A LOT OF PANIC IN THE AIR. FEAR. CHAOS.
We have a few SUM360 changes -- not many yet. VIX is on the list, with ZERO DIFF. It bumped up yesterday; flattened today. But look what the TRIANGLE indicator says about VIX.
Another stock shows up on the SUM360 RISERS list, TWLO, TWILIO.
We're a bit listless today. We have a TRIANGLE2 list. All of these (LONG issues) have switched states (from SHORT or FLAT) in the last month. They are all TRIANGLE LONG and SUM360 LONG.
Ticker |
Close |
TRIANGLE TRADE 2 TODAY |
TRIANGLE TRADE 2 ONE MONTH AGO |
Name |
BBOX |
2.400 |
Long |
Flat |
Black Box Cp |
BSPM |
2.573 |
Long |
Short |
Biostar Pharmaceutic |
CHKE |
0.780 |
Long |
Flat |
Cherokee Inc |
CLR |
67.340 |
Long |
Flat |
Continental Resources |
DUST |
24.110 |
Long |
Flat |
Gold Miners Bear 3X Direxion ETF |
ERX |
38.170 |
Long |
Flat |
Energy Bull 3X Direxion |
EYES |
2.040 |
Long |
Short |
Second Sight Cmn |
FINL |
13.610 |
Long |
Flat |
Finish Line Cl A |
FL |
53.980 |
Long |
Flat |
Footlocker Inc |
HES |
60.420 |
Long |
Flat |
Hess Corp |
HP |
66.380 |
Long |
Flat |
Helmerich & Payne |
IIIN |
31.280 |
Long |
Flat |
Insteel Industries |
IMMR |
15.170 |
Long |
Flat |
Immersion Corp |
JWN |
49.040 |
Long |
Flat |
Nordstrom |
M |
34.905 |
Long |
Flat |
Macy's Inc |
MNK |
16.850 |
Long |
Short |
Mallinckrodt Plc Ordinary Share |
MRO |
21.430 |
Long |
Flat |
Marathon Oil Corp |
NBL |
35.700 |
Long |
Flat |
Noble Energy Inc |
PERY |
27.500 |
Long |
Flat |
Perry Ellis Int |
RETL |
36.670 |
Long |
Flat |
Retail Bull 3X Direxion |
SCHN |
31.150 |
Long |
Flat |
Schnitzer Steel A |
SMCI |
24.100 |
Long |
Flat |
Super Micro Computer |
TG |
23.850 |
Long |
Flat |
Tredegar Corp |
VIVE |
2.660 |
Long |
Short |
Viveve Medical |
VVUS |
0.755 |
Long |
Flat |
Vivus Inc |
No new signals so no charts.
I was going to make this a PORTFOLIO REVIEW day -- and then stocks tanked, taking some shine off the project. But here is out NEW HYBRID SYSTEM PORTFOLIO. Note, TWO SYSTEMS here, HYBRID and HYBRID ALT. Issues with MJC in the column are issues in my TRADING PORTFOLIO also. The portfolio is up 4.5% since 5/14/28, and annualized 124.56% -- a nice feature of the NEW PROT-TA GOLD software (Macintosh only).
Ticker |
Close |
P&L |
ROI |
Annualized ROI |
Comment |
COUNT1 EMV PROP2.5 HYBRID |
HYBRID ALT |
Sales Date |
Name |
TSRO |
45.770 |
$665.00 |
6.84% |
138.68% |
Flat |
Short |
5/31/18 |
Tesaro Inc |
|
DPW |
0.640 |
$2,210.00 |
20.99% |
510.70% |
Short |
Flat |
Digital Power Corp |
||
CGIX |
0.960 |
($275.00) |
-2.67% |
-54.22% |
Short |
Short |
Cancer Genetics Inc |
||
VRML |
1.030 |
($307.00) |
-3.00% |
-547.50% |
Short |
Short |
Vermillion Inc |
||
LPCN |
1.180 |
$720.00 |
7.09% |
143.70% |
Short |
Short |
Lipocine Inc |
||
IZEA |
1.510 |
$2,550.00 |
25.25% |
542.08% |
Short |
Flat |
Izea Inc |
||
FRTA |
8.670 |
$12.00 |
0.12% |
2.34% |
Short |
Flat |
Forterra Inc |
||
ZOES |
9.080 |
$235.00 |
2.37% |
431.72% |
Short |
Flat |
Zoe's Kitchen Inc |
||
HTZ |
15.095 |
$1,143.00 |
11.21% |
227.23% |
Short |
Flat |
Hertz Global Holdings Inc |
||
GASX |
19.200 |
$181.50 |
1.69% |
34.26% |
Short |
Short |
Direxion Natural Gas Bear 3X |
||
TECS |
23.770 |
($36.00) |
-0.34% |
-6.85% |
MJC |
Short |
Flat |
Technology Bear 3X Direxion |
|
BRZU |
24.340 |
($83.50) |
-0.75% |
-135.97% |
Short |
Short |
Direxion Brazil Bull 3X |
||
NUGT |
25.230 |
$73.00 |
0.79% |
143.53% |
H ALT |
Flat |
Short |
Gold Miners Bull 3X Direxion ETF |
|
WAGE |
46.650 |
($950.00) |
-8.87% |
-190.40% |
Short |
Short |
Wageworks Inc |
||
XTNT |
5.740 |
$143.75 |
10.45% |
346.83% |
Short |
Short |
Xtant Medical Holdings Inc |
||
INCY |
68.270 |
($157.50) |
-1.56% |
-31.67% |
Short |
Short |
Incyte Corporation |
||
INDL |
76.990 |
$264.00 |
2.23% |
50.98% |
Short |
Short |
India Bull 3X Direxion |
||
AGN |
150.800 |
$208.00 |
2.08% |
42.14% |
Short |
Short |
Allergan Plc |
||
BLUE |
179.050 |
($101.75) |
-1.02% |
-20.74% |
Long |
Long |
Bluebird Bio Cmn |
||
TECL |
135.950 |
($44.80) |
-0.47% |
-9.50% |
Long |
Long |
Technology Bull 3X Direxion |
||
TTWO |
112.080 |
($208.80) |
-2.03% |
-41.12% |
MJC H ALT |
Flat |
Long |
Take-Two Interacti |
|
W |
92.350 |
$821.75 |
7.73% |
201.65% |
Long |
Flat |
Wayfair Inc |
||
FAS |
64.170 |
($708.00) |
-6.85% |
-138.93% |
Long |
Long |
Financial Bull 3X Direxion |
||
MU |
57.590 |
$207.10 |
1.93% |
44.01% |
2 MJC |
Long |
Long |
Micron Technology |
|
ARNA |
45.720 |
$20.00 |
0.22% |
4.44% |
MJC |
Long |
Long |
Arena Pharmaceutical |
|
COUP |
53.380 |
$463.00 |
4.61% |
152.81% |
Long |
Long |
Coupa Software Inc |
||
TRHC |
54.550 |
$863.00 |
8.67% |
287.53% |
Long |
Long |
Tabula Rasa Healthcare Inc |
||
TQQQ |
55.890 |
$31.50 |
0.27% |
5.46% |
Long |
Long |
Ultrapro QQQ Proshares |
||
MIDU |
48.010 |
$166.50 |
1.57% |
31.74% |
Long |
Long |
Direxion Mid Cap Bull 3X |
||
JWN |
49.040 |
$713.00 |
6.98% |
231.64% |
MJC |
Long |
Long |
Nordstrom |
|
MRTX |
42.500 |
$1,375.00 |
14.86% |
301.43% |
Long |
Long |
Mirati Therapeutics |
||
FL |
53.980 |
$2,465.50 |
22.43% |
744.31% |
MJC |
Long |
Long |
Footlocker Inc |
|
YUMC |
39.300 |
($34.50) |
-0.28% |
-50.94% |
H ALT |
Long |
Long |
Yum China Holdings Inc |
|
RETL |
36.670 |
($262.75) |
-2.47% |
-82.07% |
MJC |
Long |
Long |
Retail Bull 3X Direxion |
|
PERY |
27.500 |
$0.50 |
0.07% |
2.41% |
MJC |
Long |
Long |
Perry Ellis Int |
|
DUST |
24.110 |
$90.75 |
0.96% |
175.78% |
H ALT |
Flat |
Long |
Gold Miners Bear 3X Direxion ETF |
|
MTSI |
22.550 |
($247.50) |
-2.38% |
-48.28% |
Long |
Flat |
Macom Technology S |
||
HZO |
23.450 |
($135.00) |
-1.26% |
-25.61% |
Long |
Flat |
Marinemax Inc |
||
SMCI |
24.100 |
$225.00 |
2.12% |
42.96% |
Long |
Long |
Super Micro Computer |
||
TG |
23.850 |
$645.50 |
6.47% |
214.79% |
MJC |
Long |
Long |
Tredegar Corp |
|
ZAGG |
15.200 |
($33.00) |
-0.33% |
-7.48% |
Long |
Flat |
Zagg Inc |
||
GDXS |
14.380 |
$70.00 |
0.77% |
140.68% |
H ALT |
Long |
Long |
Ultrashort Gold Miner Proshares |
|
IMMR |
15.170 |
$266.00 |
2.64% |
481.56% |
H ALT |
Long |
Long |
Immersion Corp |
|
HCLP |
13.600 |
($37.50) |
-0.37% |
-7.43% |
Long |
Flat |
Hi-Crush Partners LP |
||
DDD |
12.360 |
$112.00 |
1.15% |
23.23% |
Long |
Flat |
3D Systems Corp |
||
CRK |
11.500 |
$2,464.00 |
24.19% |
490.52% |
Long |
Flat |
Comstock Resources |
||
KERX |
5.260 |
($798.00) |
-7.39% |
-158.76% |
Long |
Flat |
Keryx Biopharm Inc |
||
VKTX |
9.990 |
$9,553.00 |
91.75% |
2,391.97% |
Long |
Flat |
Viking Thera Cmn |
||
TTI |
4.220 |
($855.00) |
-8.26% |
-167.51% |
Long |
Long |
Tetra Technologies |
||
CYH |
4.090 |
($742.50) |
-7.47% |
-151.40% |
Long |
Flat |
Community Health Systems |
||
BBOX |
2.400 |
($1,132.00) |
-11.11% |
-289.68% |
Long |
Long |
Black Box Cp |
||
BSPM |
2.573 |
$172.00 |
1.70% |
34.46% |
Long |
Long |
Biostar Pharmaceutic |
||
VIVE |
2.660 |
$393.00 |
3.91% |
712.89% |
Long |
Long |
Viveve Medical |
||
NOG |
2.710 |
$2,250.00 |
22.62% |
458.77% |
Long |
Long |
Northern Oil and Gas |
||
EYES |
2.040 |
$495.00 |
4.62% |
93.59% |
Long |
Long |
Second Sight Cmn |
||
TWMC |
1.100 |
($1,200.00) |
-12.00% |
-243.33% |
Long |
Long |
Trans World Entert |
||
OTIV |
1.290 |
$0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Long |
Flat |
On Track Innovations |
||
CHKE |
0.780 |
$60.00 |
0.52% |
10.45% |
Long |
Long |
Cherokee Inc |
||
VVUS |
0.755 |
($487.00) |
-4.07% |
-134.92% |
Long |
Long |
Vivus Inc |
||
Avg |
32.420 |
$398.16 |
4.05% |
124.56% |
We had one EXIT SIGNAL in our C1SPIN SUM360 SYSTEM: VIVE, SHORT COVER. Gain of 56.08%. VIVE, of course, is also a TRIANGLE2 BUY SIGNAL: RED SPIKE BUY SIGNAL + Sum360 RISER.
Our C1 SPIN Sum360 PORTFOLIO is up only 1.12%, which is 109% annualized.
Ticker |
Close |
Comment |
P&L |
ROI |
Annualized ROI |
C1 PROP1 360 HYBRID |
Name |
CAAS |
4.550 |
($292.50) |
-2.94% |
-71.57% |
Short |
China Automotive Sys |
|
CVS |
65.990 |
($34.50) |
-0.35% |
-8.51% |
Short |
CVS Corp |
|
ONS |
0.940 |
$110.00 |
1.04% |
126.79% |
Short |
Oncobiologics Inc |
|
BBOX |
2.400 |
MJC |
($1,125.00) |
-11.11% |
-270.37% |
Long |
Black Box Cp |
COUP |
53.380 |
$380.00 |
3.69% |
89.81% |
Long |
Coupa Software Inc |
|
DUST |
24.110 |
$103.50 |
0.96% |
175.78% |
Long |
Gold Miners Bear 3X Direxion ETF |
|
ILMN |
272.440 |
$159.60 |
1.49% |
36.17% |
Long |
Illumina Inc |
|
IMMR |
15.170 |
$273.00 |
2.64% |
481.56% |
Long |
Immersion Corp |
|
PERY |
27.500 |
MJC |
$161.25 |
1.59% |
41.41% |
Long |
Perry Ellis Int |
SMCI |
24.100 |
($100.00) |
-1.03% |
-187.37% |
Long |
Super Micro Computer |
|
TG |
23.850 |
MJC |
$832.50 |
8.41% |
219.24% |
Long |
Tredegar Corp |
TRHC |
54.550 |
$832.00 |
8.26% |
200.89% |
Long |
Tabula Rasa Healthcare Inc |
|
VIVE |
2.660 |
$400.00 |
3.91% |
712.89% |
Long |
Viveve Medical |
|
VOX |
82.580 |
($88.75) |
-0.85% |
-20.74% |
Long |
Telecom Services ETF Vanguard |
|
Avg |
46.730 |
$115.08 |
1.12% |
109.00% |
Our QUANT TRADE PORTFOLIO is up 2.08% in several days, annualized at 291.54%.
Ticker |
Close |
P&L |
ROI |
Annualized ROI |
QUANT TRADE |
Name |
VRML |
1.030 |
$0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Short |
Vermillion Inc |
BAS |
13.210 |
$377.00 |
3.79% |
691.19% |
Short |
Basic Energy Services |
BRZU |
24.340 |
$0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Short |
Direxion Brazil Bull 3X |
SMCI |
24.100 |
$42.50 |
0.42% |
50.69% |
Long |
Super Micro Computer |
IMMR |
15.170 |
$841.00 |
8.28% |
1,007.38% |
Long |
Immersion Corp |
VIVE |
2.660 |
$0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Long |
Viveve Medical |
Avg |
13.418 |
$210.08 |
2.08% |
291.54% |
We will try to do a PORTFOLIO REVIEW at least once a week.
Be well.
MJC
CGTS
Disclosure: I am/we are long MU, TTWO, TXN.
I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Disclosure: I am/we are long MU, TTWO, TXN.