CGTS WEDNESDAY: BRACE YOURSELF, NEXT LEG OF BULL MARKET SAYS "BIG RALLY COMING"
Long/Short Equity, Special Situations, Currencies
Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2009
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CGTS Algo Trading System
CGTS WEDNESDAY: BRACE YOURSELF, NEXT LEG OF BULL MARKET SAYS "BIG RALLY COMING"
Jul. 22, 2020 11:31 PM ET (ALGN), AXL, BGS, GPRO, LL, MED, TSLA, YY
Summary
- SHOW-DOWN DAY FOR TSLA, RIGHT? TESLA SHOWED UP.
SHOW-DOWN DAY FOR TESLA? SHOW-UP DAY INSTEAD, I guess.
If you are a BEAR and you cannot believe in TSLA's collapse, what can you believe in?
Also, it looks like the downturn in stocks is OVER. Our C1=1/C1=2 CROSSOVER will give us a SELL SIGNAL when it GOES NEGATIVE. It got as low as +51 last week. Now it is back up to +500,
When this indicator went positive again on 3/27/2020, we went LONG the market. That trade is now up 28.9%. The historic gain since 2016 is up 118.21%.
Does this mean there will be a HUGE rally here? If you understand our COUNT systems, COUNT=1 means a stock is going up; COUNT=2 means a stock is going down or at the very least resting, the stock moving sideways.
Here is a list of stocks that have transitioned from COUNT1=2 to COUNT1=1, BUY.
I'm sorry the report is not sorted in alpha order; the report shows CLOSE, TODAY's C1 reading; and LAST WEEK'S C1 reading.
AM I saying the markets are going up from here with even more gusto? YES.
We are testing a NEW 3x trading System, EXCAL P2 -- here is today's signals:
I don't want to become COMPLACENT now that the BEAR's have been pushed back into the cave -- I am committed to keep a wary eye on the VIX BEAR PROTOTYPE on pretty much a daily basis.
In the weekly chart, 23.54 (as a low) becomes a pretty important number for BEARS, since it represents a LOWER LOW and confirmation of VIX Bearishness.
Ok, remember when I wrote that TBOND BUBBLE stories were worthless. We shorted TBT and suggested you all do this as well. TBT has gone down and the WEEKLY CHART is giving a new SHORTSELL SIGNAL for TBT. Bond yields are going even lower.
Look at the ULTIMA BULLISH NUMBERS, which record (the. number of) stocks that are are recording ULTIMA>0; those with ULTIMA<0 are considered BEARISH.
We have not been tallying these numbers for long. The column on our left is BULLISH; the second column is BEARISH; the third column is the difference between the BULLS and BEARS in terms of this indicator; and the fourth colum is a percentage of BULLS vs BEARS.
It has been a steady march higher.
NEW TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS
ULTIMA-EXACAL System
B&G FOODS, which we like as a WEEKLY TRADE.
Yo9u will note that this system is quick to get back on the horse after a TRADING SELL signal.
This system does not require EXCAL to return to oversold (less than zero) in order to generate a new BUY, unlike our TRIANGLE TRADE.
The next chart will show a basic flaw with this getting back on the horse idea. See the aborted trade in JUNE when C1=1 lasted just a few days and convert4ed to C1=2 and EXCAL (still) = +1, a SELL SIGNAL. How do we solve that problem? There is no way, unless we want to force the EXCAL transition all the way back to LESS THAN ZERO.
We have tested these alternatives, the once forcing EXCAL to return to OVERSOLD (which we call ALT, ALTERNATIVE) in the test:
Both are quite accurate; one has 11 trades vs 39. One makes 717 points in trading vs. 208. So our choice is rather easy.
UUU, UNIVERSAL SECURITY INSTRUMENTS. MOMO is still breaking higher.
The best chart of our new LONG signals, probably HZO.
Unless you look at ALGN, ALLIGN TECH.
All of these stocks are on our BUY SHEET BECAUSE Count1 has returned to the BUY MODE.
The best chart, unless you consider LL, LUMBER LIQUIDATORS,.
UNLESS you also consider MED, MEDFAST.
Please also consider GPRO, GO PRO.
We had some new BUYS also click up on the radar in our TRIANGLE TRADE LP System --
Headline News:
And I say stocks are going up. Whom do you believe? I am not just "selling" my perspective on stocks, but on history and metaphysics also. Are you buying?
DON'T DESPAIR. AMERICA IS STRONG.
Patience. The SHADOW gained strength from 2001-2019. Now the SHADOW will begin losing strength from 2019-2037.
2001- SHADOW ATTACKS NY CITY. Shadow is Islam. 2019: shadow begins to evaporate.
1965: SHADOW brings Communism to most of Asia and some parts in the West. Shadow was Communism. 1983: Shadow begins to evaporate
1929: WALL STREET CRASH. Eastern Fascism on the rise. 1947: Eastern Fascism defeated, evaporating....
When it is Day in the East it is Night in the West. When it is Day in the West, it is Night in the East.
No panic (or despair) required. The Sun eclipses the Moon, Wisdom eclipses Despair. God is on the side of evolution on Earth. Two steps forward; one step back.
MJC, CGTS
Disclosure: I am/we are long GBTC, SOLO, WKHS.
I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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