Entering text into the input field will update the search result below

CGTS TUESDAY: GET BACK ON THE HORSE AND RIDE

Sep. 15, 2020 11:11 PM ET4 Comments
Please Note: Blog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors.

Long/Short Equity, Special Situations, Currencies

Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2009

Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015. From his website: INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors. Rules of Investment Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing. Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off. Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.) Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'. Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions. More information on CGTS is available at: http://home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS142.htm His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJCwriting.htm Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.


CGTS: THE NEW SCIENCE OF INVESTING

CGTS Algo Trading System

by Michael Clark

Michael Clark profile picture.

Michael Clark

CGTS TUESDAY: GET BACK ON THE HORSE AND RIDE

Sep. 15, 2020 11:10 PM ET

CGTS TRADING POSTURE: GO. GREEN LIGHT. BUY.

CGTS DIAGNOSTICS: SELLING FIRE contained; losing oxygen. NONE of our Early Warning Signs are now negative.

We like the fact that EXCAL BULLISHNESS never faltered. Of course, neither did (so far) COUNT! or COUNT3.

UTLIMA is VERY SENSITIVE; EXCAL is not. Both are useful to us in this distinctive way.

We are VERY interested in how Count1=0, UNDECIDED, when through the roof last FEB-MARCH, when stocks collapse, and did nothing this time.

Is that a MARKET TELL? If so, it could be HUGELY VALUABLE.

RAW DATA

The VIX SCARE is over, at least for now.

FISHNET-EXCAL is suggesting that the actual trading bottom wass last FRIDAY.

We afre testing FISHNET-EXCAL as a short-term trading system. WE LIKD IT AA LOT so far. We think this may be the short-term cash-cow we have been looking for.

See above, ZM, ZOOM, was a TRADING SELL LAST week. How did it do? 116% in 25 trading days.,

What about TRADING THE INDEXES?

ULTIMA-EXCAL, which has been our BEST system is suggesting the TRADING BOTTOM was yesterday.

We have not used ULTIMA-EXCAL much for non-3x issues. We want to.

TRIANGLE TRADE PLUS DAILY REPORT.

WE have a new BUY in this system.

A couple new TRADING SELLS. BRAZIL; and IPATF.

AAPL is NOT A BUY in this system yet; so keep your powder dry and get ready to pounce.

2020_PORT_3x_ULTIMA_EXCAL_3x_PORT_92620.xlsx

2020_PORT_TRIANGLE_TRADE_PLUS_PORT_91520.xlsx

2020_RP_91520.xlsx

We had a medical day today; a lot of time in transit around a medical appointment. So we had less time to work.

We hope to go back to a DAILY TRACKING of COUNT1 LONG-TERM and COUNT3 LONG TERM. These systems have done superbly.

COUNT3 first. COUNT1 is clouded with 3x SHORT confusion.

Best,

MJC, CGTS

HEADLINE NEWS

Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

To ensure this doesn’t happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser.
Is this happening to you frequently? Please report it on our feedback forum.
If you have an ad-blocker enabled you may be blocked from proceeding. Please disable your ad-blocker and refresh.