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CGTS WEDNESDAY: TIME TO SHORT GOLD? TWO TRADES TODAY SAY SHORT GOLD, SILVER.

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Long/Short Equity, Special Situations, Currencies

Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2009

Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015. From his website: INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors. Rules of Investment Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing. Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off. Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.) Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'. Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions. More information on CGTS is available at: http://home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS142.htm His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJCwriting.htm Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.


CGTS: THE NEW SCIENCE OF INVESTING

Summary

  • DIAGNOSTICS: no sign of market weakness.
  • COUNT3: BUY QQQJ, QQQM, LIVX, MGTI, CYY, CCIV, PLTR, SNOW, U.
  • COUNT3 SHORSELL: FROG, SUMO, ENT, THTI.

CGTS Algo Trading System

by Michael Clark

Michael Clark profile picture.

Michael Clark

CGTS WEDNESDAY: TIME TO SHORT GOLD? TWO TRADES TODAY SAY SHORT GOLD, SILVER.

Dec. 17, 2020 1:22 AM ETAGQ, CYDY...

Summary

  • DIAGNOSTICS: no sign of market weakness.
  • COUNT3: BUY QQQJ, QQQM, LIVX, MGTI, CYY, CCIV, PLTR, SNOW, U.
  • SHORTSELL: FROG, SUMO, ENT, THTI.

GOLD BUGS ARE BACK ON CENTER STAGE AGAIN, but this time in the role of the SHORT? 3x ETF UGLDF, says it is time to SHORT. MOMO pattern (red, three panes from the top) is BEARISH. LOWER LOW; LOWER HIGH.

This is a call from M2F ALT PLAIN SYSTEM, for 3x-options, which has been a very good system. UP 63.5% since 10/29/2020, a bit more than a month.

Mostly winning trades here, as you can see.

Shouldn't DGLDF be a BUY just the same. Yes. M2F ALT PLAIN.

What about SILVER? Should it not also be targeted for a SHORT TRADE? Well, it will target itself.

Such as AGQ, for instance.

Our most recent M2F ALT PLAIN trade has been YANG SHORT/YINN LONG -- we said these were not true inverse ETFS because YANG and YINN mirrored different indexes. Sure enough: 1.8% gain for YANG; 1.3% gain for YINN. We favored the YANG Puts if you wanted to play.

What about GOLD as an underlying issue? GLD momentum. Look at the blue MOMO line. Recent MOMO is down. LOWER LOWS; LOWER HIGHS.

I WOULD NOT SHORT GLD here -- it seems to be sticking to 168.4 RESISTANCE.

Gold is languishing even as BITCOIN is roaring higher. Something in the water?

28.97 TARGET for GBTC is this UPSWING. Every two years BITCOIN supply gets cut in half, remember, making it twice as rare (and twice as valuable?). Is there a battle between alternative "currencies" going on in the world, between BITCOIN and tradtiional PRECIOUS METALS.

We added some new stocks to our list because readers wanted us to: most are not interest charts at this point. All our BEARISH and SHORT but one, MMP. And they all seem to be, but the one, healthcare companies. We will follow all four. We are glad to follow stocks you are following.

45.10 is RESISTANCE. You can see how the stock hesitated as it approached 45.1; then rallied above it; then was pulled back again. SUPPORT now at old Resistance, 40.52.

Our options on NMM expire on Friday. I guess we'll have to exercise them. NMM refuses to go away.

AAL is coming due in January. Next stop is 38.

SPCE call options expire in January also. It has corrected but wants to go to 42. Is this a company of the future? I know; depends what the future is. DEPENDS WHOSE FUTURE IT IS.

ON THAT SAME NOTE: Time to Heel or Time to Fight. Notice the spelling of heel (not JB's HEAL, that is).

The Burning Platform

JOE BIDEN and the NEW RESET?

The two systems (one system in different markets) are doing VERY WELL. The 3x we know about; the stock system is also doing quite well. Up 14.2% in a month and a half.

We are LONG FSLR, FIRST SOLAR, and M2F ALT PLAIN is giving us a BUY SIGNAL TODAY.

M2F ALT PLAIN LONGS today.

M2F ALT PLAIN SHORTS

You will notice that RKT is a SHORT on this C1-based M2F ALT PLAIN. It is LONG on the C3-based C3 2021 System.

Which do we believe? MOMO tells a (subtle) story. The MOMO LINE is bullish. See below. This stock is (at least trying to or is) pivoting to the upside, after a long bearish gallop. KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS ONE, RKT, IF you are trading it.

One of our very best systems is COUNT3 2021.

We intend to look more closely at our COUNT1, COUNT2 and COUNT3 Systems.

Today's trading REPORT. There are two columns of COUNT3 2021. The First is this month's trade designation; the second, to our right, is LAST MONTH's C3 2021 reading.

A couple of interesting SHORTS: FROG; and SUMO. FROG. I know some readers like this stock. COUNT3 does not like it. MOMO does not like it.

SUMO, SUMO LOGIC. This one has had a nice run up, even as C3 was saying AVOID, SHORT. MOMO is breaking however.

ENT, SHORTSELL. GLOBAL EAGLE.

THTI, HEAT TRANSFER. This one had a violent rally; now it seems to be ready to fall back.

Heat Transfer, you say? What/Who is Heat Transfer?

Both QQQJ, NEXT GENERATION NASDAQ, and QQQM, NDX 100 INDEX, just accrued enough data to become eligible for COUNT3 -- and both start with BUY SIGNALS. We like both.

CHURCHILL CAPITAL SPAC.

PLTR, PALANTIR.

Counter-terrorism and surveillance software development. Is this something America needs? Of course we do. Everyone else is developing this capacity also.

SNOW.

LIVX, LIVE-EX MEDIA

UNITY SOFTWARE. Some of you are buyers already.

MGTI, Raleigh, NC, BITCOIN MINING.

Why do we like COUNT3 so much? Mainly we like this system's return on investment.

As we say, we intend to focus on the following in our DAILY Report: 1) 3x TRADING; 2) DIAGNOSTICS; 3) COUNT1, COUNT2, and COUNT3 trading systems. We intend to focus on WEEKLY STOCK TRADING also, as a separate weekend event (Friday, plus).

2020_RP_121620.xlsx

COUNT3_2021_PORT_121620.xlsx

CGTS DIAGNOSTICS

The Dow was weak all day; other stocks behaved pretty well until the final hour. NDX finished strong; as did SPX.

PRE-MARKETS look productive.

Our closely-watched stock did ok, with GBTC and SPCE stealing the show. SPCE after two days of selling.

C1=1, BUY, has been ping-ponging a bit this last week. Above 50% is bullish. But we ae concerned it might be losing strength.

CROSSOVERS: TOP TWO CROSSOVERS MUST GO NEGATIVE FOR US TO SELL THE MARKET AND SHORT IT.

CROSSOVER TRADE: UP 42.16% IN 2020.

DIAGNOSTIC SCORESHEET. It's all good (GREEN). No sign yet of disintegration.

DATA

Headline News

CHINA CHEATS, we all know that. THEY PLAY BY THEIR OWN RULES. ONLY A FOOL PRETENDS THIS IS NOT SO. ECONOMIC DATA IS ALWAYS MANUFACTURED; POLITICAL DATA IS FABRICATED. CHINA BLUFFS AND LIES -- REMEMBER "THE TRUTH" ABOUT COVID? TRUSTING CHINA WILL BE A MISTAKE, AS SIMPLE AS THAT.

WHO DIDN'T WEAR HIS MASK? (I have read that 80% of those old people who have died of COVID -- "related to" COVID -- were people who were wearing masks. Who knows what is true?)

WELL. IRAN'S KHAMENEI must be a good man; because he is wearing a mask.

ISN'T THIS what THE LEFT wanted? WHEN GLOBAL WARMING/GLOBAL COOLING/CLIMATE CHANGE did not work, COVID became the next best thing.

How do I answer that? Read TURN OUT THE LIGHTS. In it I state my belief that 18 years of INFLATION, ECONOMIC GROWTH, DEBT GROWTH, needs 18 years to DEFLATE. So, what do we do now? Can we INFLATE our way out of DEBT? It has never been done on this scale before. COVID is designed to make it impossible to even try.

94.6 of the people older than or 70 years of age who get COVID survive, even of those with underlying conditions. 6% die. But what % of those 6% would be dying anyway, from old age?

I guess they had to remove President Trump, using the same reasoning. People don't know what's true. So people who know what is true need to protect the world by eliminating those who say what they find....untrue, displeasing.

THE TOTALITARIAN LEFT IS MAKING ITS NEW MOVE TO SAVE THE WORLD FROM ITSELF. IT DID NOT WORK SO WELL IN CAMBODIA, DID IT? IN CHINA, IN RUSSIA, IN CUBA, IN VIETNAM.

Ok; that's enough.

Love to all.

MJC, CGTS

Disclosure: I am/we are long blnk, tsla, wkhs, solo.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Additional disclosure: short YANG, TBT, SOXS

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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