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Long/Short Equity, Special Situations, Currencies

Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2009

Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015. From his website: INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors. Rules of Investment Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing. Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off. Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.) Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'. Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions. More information on CGTS is available at: http://home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS142.htm His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJCwriting.htm Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.


CGTS Algo Trading System

by Michael Clark

Michael Clark profile picture.

Michael Clark


Jan. 06, 2021 1:35 AM ETBA, BLNK...


A lot of EXPERTS are warning about a sell-off. Today was a good day for the BULLS.

We will talk about the ELECTION later.

We are still LONG BLNK. Our BLNK Call Options expire in about 10 days. Our intention at the moment is to exercise our calls, pay $10 per hundred for a stock trading at 40.59 today. We think BLNK has a good future as a company in a sector that is pivoting to an EV industry.

GBTC. How high can it go? We hold GBTC shares which we originally bought as call options that we exercised; one split made us twice as rich in total shares. Supply is always targeted by halving which occurs regularly, which means the supply is limite and becoming more limited over time.

Bitcoin Halving: What You Need to Know

Anway, our lates target for GBTC was 39.99. GBTC hit a high of 39.54 today.

We are currently holding DUG PUT OPTIONS with a target of 24.4.

ERX. We hold call options that expire in April. ERX began its move today.

We currently hold December 2021 Call Options on LUMINAR, LAZR. Note C1=2, TRADING SELL; C3=1, BUY.

We own JAN 2023 IDEX 2 Call Options. We almost sold them the other day since both our COUNT1 System and our COUNT3 System are bearish here; but IDEX is LONG in our TRIANGLE TRADE WEEKLY SYSTEM, up 15.75% -- and we like the way IDEX looks in the Daily Chart as well. Support at 1.81 held pretty nicely after the profit-taking sell-off that just occurred.

LTHM DEC 2020 10 CALL OPTIONS converted to shares.


Workhorse: Big Vehicle Purchase Order Validates the Bull Case, Says Analyst

Looks like the new TRADING BOTTOM is in.

SOLO has been struggling. We exercises call options in Dec at a strike price of 2.5. SOLO is off considerably from its highs of 12.76 -- but with a purchase price of 2.5, we still look ok.

Look how attractive the MOMO is in the MONTHLY CHART. HIGHER HIGH and HIGHER LOW are solidly in place.

How does IDEX look in the MONTHLY? MOMO has made a HIGHER HIGH and is pivoting to move up.

CLSK, CLEAN SPARK, in the monthly. Off to the races. This stock traded over $150 and is now at $27 and change.


CROSSOVER continues a slow deterioration.

What does this mean in terms of BEARISHNESS? Well, a slow evaporation is better than a flood, no question. AND, today was BULLISH.




If C1=1 is deteriorating , it matters that the deterioration is running to C1=2 and not to C1=3. C1=2 is a normal selling movement, and designates a correction only. A CRASH is described when C1=1 moves to C1=3.

C1=2 gaining is ok.

If you don't want to add them up, here's the changes:

C1=2 is gaining the lion's share of C1=1 disintegration, which is a good thing.

Intermediate trends:

Everything looks normal.


We want everything to remain in the BULL'S CAMP.

As of 7:24, PACIFIC TIME.

We do not believe that the US DOLLAR is finished. Which nations are raising interest rates today? Which nations WANT a strong currency? Remember, CURRENCIES are not absolutes; they are traded in pairs.

US DOLLAR/GOLD overlay updated.

Here is probably the only question that matters for 2021:

We have NOT stopped trading our FISHNET Daily System and we check it daily for images of "waves" of buying and selling. This usually tells us where we are, in terms of BULL rushing or BEAR distributing. TODAY?

Umm. BUY the USDOLLAR/SELL the Turkish Lira. A LOT of BULLISH resolution here.

Where is the wave of SHORTSELLERS? Is there one? A very small wave, hard to see.

A couple trading sells today:


We have done very well with our 3x trading, M2F ALT PLAIN System -- but gold has been tricky. New TRADED, GOLD MINERS BEARISH, LONG, NUGT.



IS THE BIG CHEAT COMING? Ossoff needs 71% of the last 398,077 votes; Warnock needs 78% of the last 396,389 votes. Does anyone anywhere carry 78% of the vote, in any district?

Is this symbolic of the Night-Cycle passing? Day-Cycle marriage of White Man (SUN) and Dark Woman (Earth). Night-Cycle marriage of Black Man (Earth) and White Woman (MOON)....?

Is this symbolic of the FEMALE PRINCIPLE APEX?


This is the same old shit, is it not. An 118,385 advantage vanishes for PERDUE in 13 minutes. An 85,145 vote advantage for Loeffler vanishes as 130,000 votes (out of 396,000) goes to WARNOCK, the Democrat. Is this a FIX? Come on. We are watching! Our Democracy is at stake!

With 398,077 votes still outstanding, Perdue leads by 115,335. Ossoff needs 282,335 of the last 398,077 or 71% of the vote.

No one gets 71% of any district, do they? Are these the pre-printed mail-in ballots they are using again?

When Loeffler was leading by 87,020 there was only 396,389 votes outstanding. Now Warnock leads by 35,031 votes, with 230,348 votes outstanding. This means WARNOCK WON 122,051 VOTES OF 166,041 CAST.

WARNOCK WON 74% OF THIS VOTE; LOEFFLER WON 26% OF THIS VOTE GROUP. is this rational? 43,990 out of 166,041 votes?

After dinner for me:

Something is rotten in Denmark.

Best. God bless America.



Disclosure: I am/we are long blnk, lthm, spce, gbtc.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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