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CGTS WEDNESDAY: ARE STOCKS GETTING TIRED? ONE WOULD EXPECT A PULLBACK AT SOME POINT.

Feb. 10, 2021 10:59 PM ETDoorDash, Inc. (DASH), TGTX, LABDVANI2 Comments
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Long/Short Equity, Special Situations, Currencies

Seeking Alpha Analyst Since 2009

Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015. From his website: INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors. Rules of Investment Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing. Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off. Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.) Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'. Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions. More information on CGTS is available at: http://home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS142.htm His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJCwriting.htm Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.


CGTS: THE NEW SCIENCE OF INVESTING

Summary

  • BUY COTY, AYX, DASH, EYES, OPENW, DBX, TGTX, TA.
  • BUY PUT OPTIONS ON LABD.
  • SHORTSELL THE ETERNALRE IMPEACHMENT -- AND THE NEW AMERICAN HEROES, THE DEMOCRATS.

CGTS Algo Trading System

by Michael Clark

Michael Clark profile picture.

Michael Clark

CGTS WEDNESDAY: ARE STOCKS GETTING TIRED? ONE WOULD EXPECT A PULLBACK AT SOME POINT.

Feb. 10, 2021 10:56 PM ETDASH, EYES...

Summary

  • BUY COTY, AYX, DASH, EYES, OPENW, DBX, TGTX, TA.
  • BUY PUT OPTIONS ON LABD.
  • SHORTSELL THE IMPEACHMENT -- AND THE NEW AMERICAN HEROES, THE DEMOCRATS.

STOCKS PULLED BACK A BIT TODAY. MOSTLY RED TODAY.

MOSTLY RED IN OUR closely-watched stock also.

Profit-taking.

We do not believe the commodity cycle is what it seems to be. It is being fueled by a weak Dollar. IF the Dollar was really broken, we would be on-board. But we don't think that.

We also feel the same about the global economic recovery and INFLATION. We feel we are still heading into DEFLATION globally -- too much debt that has to be broken down -- but we believe THE WEST is experiencing economic growth 2019-2037, which will NOT trigger inflation globally and will not cause interest rates to rise significantly. The latest rally in TBT, essentially 10-year interest rates on TBONDS, is essentially a BEAR RALLY. Long view reamins bullish on bonds, bearish on yield.

One of our readers congratulated us on our BULLISH CALL on TLRY, which has out-run even our generous predictions.

What comes next?

We have some new trades tonight.

COTY, BUY, despite a rather ominous MOMO picture. CGTS OLDBOY TRADE 100.

AYX, ALTERYX, BUY, same system.

TA, TRAVELCENTERS OF AMERICA, BUY, M2F ALT PLAIN, x3 System.

TGTX, TG THERA, BUY, M2F ALT PLAIN x3 System. Momo here is very nice.

DBX, DROPBOX, BUY. Same system.

SHORT LABD, M2F ALT PLAIN x3. This is a 3x issue; and this system has a good record trading it.

That is a nice trading record.

219 day-to-expiration SEPT 14 put options @ 5.2 seem like a pretty good bet here.

COUNT3 TRADE Report.

3x_M2F_ALT_PLAIN_PORTFOLIO_2_10_21.xlsx

C3_TRADE_PORTFOLIO_2_10_21.xlsx

FISHNET_DAILY_PORTFOLIO_2_10_21.xlsx

M2F_ALT_PLAIN_PORTFOLIO_x3_2_10_21.xlsx

OLDBOY_100_PORTFOLIO_2_10_21.xlsx

RP: computer crash today; we will add it later.

CGTS MARKET DIAGNOSTICS

Short-hand, look at this?

C1=1 gains from 1217 yesterday to 1238 today.

C1=2 declines from 516 to 497.

These are both positives for the BULLS.

C1=3 languaished at 70-71. No growth in real BEAR POWER.

C1=4 falls from 93 to 90. BEAR RALLY weakening in SHORT stocks.

Look how C1 and C3 compare. C1 is 739 stocks away from a correction; C3 is 1263 stocks away from a correction.

No Fear at the moment.

CROSSOVERS

CROSSOVER TRADE: LONG.

Early-Warning Signs: ALL POSITIVE.

Intermediate trends.

Futures were down across the board early. Now gaining.

DATA

We want to BUY THIS LATER, at 31.

NEWS HEADLINES

The media hysteria continues. Watching the impeachment report one would think hundreds had been killed and wounded. The desire to demonize the RIGHT continues by the media but it is NOT working. So, Mike Pence was scared; and Nancy was abused verbally; and she had to hide under her desk. TIMEOUT. That was supposed to be a SAFE SPACE. KINDERGARTEN COUNTRY.

COWARDS ARE NOW RUNNING AMERICA.

Knee=jerk liberal (moral-environmental) response almost always WRONG.

COWARDS, PLEASE STEP FORWARD.

When in doubt, just change the name.

Who Wanted Pandemic Lockdowns?

A good question.

CANCEL THE NBA. MOVE THE CAPITOL TO OMAHA.

CORN has had a nice rally. It is still long-term BEARISH. It is a weak DOLLAR rally, nothing more.

WHEAT, same story.

A strong Dollar will cripple inflation. Is that what we want? If it is, then raise interest rates, and crumple stocks. Oh, that's not a good idea. ZERO RATES are still coming. BECAUSE OUR LEADERS ARE COWARDS. What is the RIGHT thing to do? BLUFFING is what the whole world is good at.

Whistle past the graveyard.

Rigged impeachment, contempt for due process

Keep the faith. The NIGHT always passes. It takes a bit longer for the Night to pass if it is WINTER also.

MJC, CGTS

Disclosure: I am/we are long BLNK, TSLA, SOLO, CLSK, WKHS.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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