CGTS WEEKLY SYSTEMS: MORE GAINS FOR OUR WEEKLY PORTFOLIOS
CGTS Algo Trading System
CGTS WEEKLY SYSTEMS: MORE GAINS FOR OUR WEEKLY PORTFOLIOS
Feb. 21, 2021 8:03 PM ETAFC, AMGN...
Are Yields About To Blast-Off: Here Are The 3 Things To Watch
Sometimes I think I work too hard and need to slow down. Then the weekend comes; and I am working again.
WEEKLY Systems give us another angle on the markets. First let me show you a couple of WEEKLY Trades, TTPLUS WEEKLY SYSTEM, we ended this week. We wondered if weekly trading was viable as an alternative procedure, if I needed an alternative with less daily work.
I think the test is revealing that WEEKLY trading can work.
TRADING SELL, FRSX, FORESIGHT AUTONOMOUS HOLDINGS, GAIN OF 532.42%
TRADING SELL, APHA, APHRIA CORP, GAIN OF 331.42%.
IF you like AMGN, TTPLUS WEEKLY says this is a good time to get back in.
AFC, ALLIED CAPITAL CORP, BUY.
CHTR, CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS, BUY.
CTXS, CITRIX SYSTEMS? Do you like it? If so, now is a good time to get in.
SOUTHERN COMPANY?
XLP, S&P STAPLES. It is a BUY here. Does not look like stocks are topping.
Here is today's (this week's) list.
I don't know what to think about UGAZF, which is a BUY here, although the DAILY SYSTEMS (FISH) tell us UNG is a SHORT.
I guess that's one vote FOR one vote AGAINST. UNDECIDED.
DO you like EFX, EQUIFAX? A week late. There are more of these.
FERRARI? RACE? In an age where everything is about RACE, how can we not be LONG RACE?
RACE call options are NOT cheap.
The first TTPLUS WEEKLY trade of lRACE would have doubled today's cost, 24-25.
53 points returned in 51 weeks.
LBRDK, no options.
FMC does have options, more reasonably priced than RACE. FMC is not sexy. RACE is VERY sexy. Sexy options always cost more.
FMC has A LOT OF POTENTIAL HERE. I grew up not far from an FMC plant in Rock Springs, Wyoming. A friend of mine worked there during the summers when he went to college.
A $12 option could double or triple if everything were to go right.
Let's look at SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LINES.
FMC forcced its way up through 111.9 RESISTANCE but then fell back as energy lessened, sellers (profit-takers) appeared. It has not fallen back to 90.53 SUPORT, which is a bullish sign.
We have a TRADING SYSTEM that sells only when OLDBOY<0 and COUNT1=2, OLDBOY LT, and FMC is a sell here by this measure. We would buy in this system only when C1=1 and OLDBOY<0.
The Trading System in the chart now is COUNT3 TRADE. COUNT3=1, BUY, LONG STILL.
I guess FMC is an REFLATION TRADE. What is a reflation trade? Bloomberg explains it for us.
Is the GLOBAL ECONOMY going to bounce back?
Probably not. Why would I say that? I think thee is still too much debt -- after all Deflation eliminates debt; Reflation follow Deflation after debt has been destroyed. We don't always get to have our cake and eat it too. Thee is a sequence to all this. 1) INFLATION, GROWTH OF DEBT; 2) DISINFLATION, PAUSE, INGESTION OF THE MEAL, THE DEBT; 3) DEFLATION, THE CASTING OFF OF THE BAD DEBT; 4) REFLATION, TAKING ON OF MORE (GOOD) DEBT.
The triangles merged on our left of the diagram below, shows these FOUR SEASONS of the ECONOMY and the keys that I present in my books as to the appropriate response to these seasons.
I support the FED NOW because it is too late to go back. The FED began a HUGE EXPERIMENT in 2001 to eliminate DEFLATION, which was its primary job when created in 1913, no matter what else the press clippings said.
We SHOULD have begun raising rates in 2001, or shortly thereafter, which Greenspan actually did. But Greenspan saw where this was going and did not want to be the GLOBAL SCAPEGOAT. So he resigned and went to worked for the BIG MONEY instead of the government job. He left it up to Bernanke to take the fall. But Bernanke thought we could borrow money for ever and have no repercussions. That is the PLAN. A PLAN which is not a plan. That is where we are now.
So does this mean we are on the RIGHT TRACK? No. As traders we have to be light on our feet. We have to be ready to turn into BEARS at short notice, because the DEFLATION we should have had from 2001-2019 has not begun yet. Can that be true?
Yes. There is a very good chance that the FIX of ZERO INTEREST RATES is not a FIX at all, but a STALL. Can the nations of the world keep interest rates at or below zero for ever? It has never been tried before. Common sense said NO.
ZIRP is an elaborate, cowardly plan to re-distribute wealth back to the masses? Is this true? That is not clear. Remember, LIBERALS are cowards who fear the poor and are easy to extort. The poor riot and loot and burn down cities and the LIBERALS think they will be able to buy off the rioters by giving them reparations for the sins of a system that is not natural, that does not worship equality.
Right? Umm. Thee is no EQUALITY in Nature. Nature despises equality. Equality is a mental human conception that finds no model in Nature. The LEFT honors Equality as a concept because the LEFT hates life and growth and human activity. The LEFT wants an unchanging, unmoving picture of reality that reality does not provide -- so they lie about it, BLUFF. They are the SMART SIDE, right? If they tell us Equality is good, we are supposed to believe them. But equality in human society almost always means economic depression, most people are equally poor. And this is what the LEFT wants. They, the LEFT, are masters of REDUCTION. Reduce complex reality to easy principle: the RICH ARE EVIL; THE POOR ARE GOOD. SO POVERTY IS GOOD,.
No one will admit they want this, or believe this, but examine actions not words, and you will see this flawed reasoning. STARVATION is a Night-Cycle reality, not a Day-Cycle reality. PLAGUES come from the MOON, not from the SUN.
The DAY is ACTIVE; the NIGHT is PASSIVE. PASSIVITY BREEDS DISEASE, SURRENDER TO DISEASE. COVID is a night-cycle plague.
G. VICO understood the flow of history. Societies move awa from GOD and toward MAN and then ineluctably away from MAN (and his plagues) and back toward GOD. If we view Amerian history through this PRISM we see this very clearly. THE PURITANS were the first European Americans and then the ARISTOCRATS were the Founding Fathers and their social structure and then the DEMOCRATS (men as Merchants, no longer as HEROES) and then the CHAOS of DEMOCRACY, in which we are bathing at the moment.
Which political party takes us back to GOD? And which party takes us further away from GOD? Does the party of ATHEISTS have a role in this sequence any longer? They DID HAVE, then the CHAOS was being created. But what about now?
Vico's democratic stage is defined as a ritual BURIAL. BURIAL is when the SEED of the NEW CYCLE gets planted.
What is the THUNDERCLAP? That is when GOD speaks, resembling THUNDER. This might be a bomb going off, a volcano blowing, a horrific earthquake and/or TSUNAMI -- which sends much of mankind fleeing to hide in the caves, understanding there is a GOD and GOD IS ANGRY. (Think of Roman citizen fleeing to the swamps of Venice to escape from the CHAOS of the fall of Rome). Atheist, Elitist, those who bluff about the extent of their knowledge, will be fleeing for the caves soon.)
Returning to God does not mean honoring old corrupt religions systems but creating new religious systems, to replace the old corrupt "human"-centered systems. Putting God back in the center of our lives will vitalize new progressive transformation out of Atheist Negation back into Life of the Spirit.
Rome passed from the Republic to the Empire to the Religious Empire almost without missing a beat. Energy passes into Mass and then Mass passes back into Energy. Everything transforms into its opposite. Then it transforms back again. In this way Matter (Energy/Spirit) cannot be destroyed; it merely changes shape, and changes perspective.
There are always two poles, and a middle principle (the "chosen few") which/who run errands and communications between the two poles. The Middle Principle re-creates the world in its own image. It re-creates Heaven; then when Heaven becomes too strong, it re-creates the Earth as a balance to Heaven's power; when the Earth becomes too strong, it re-creates Heaven to give it more power and balance it against the Earth's power.
You don't go back to religion. You go forward to religion. There is no going back to anything. Always forward to something new, which you build as a new understanding.
That was a very long digression. Sorry.
REFLATION. My view is NO REFLATION WITHOUT DEFLATION FIRST. But I am still open to the question of CAN WE GROW OUR WAY OUT OF DEBT? My thought is America might be able to do this -- we have resources and political will and philosophical daring.
If there is no reflation there will be war. Nations must move; and if they cannot move in economic movements, they will resort to the FIGHT. Perhaps the FIGHT is inevitable, like the THUNDERCLAP. Every time we elect a president we are electing a commander-in-chief. Biden or Trump. That was the question in 2020. Which president did America want to lead it into war?
Of course, we know what happened. (The people who count the votes are more important than those who vote.)
The election challenges in the courts are not over. No court ever considered the evidence of election fraud but refused to hear the challenges because of procedural issues -- mostly gutlessness, in fact. No one wanted to open that can of worms. The evidence was not examined. Briefs were filed. No jury heard any testimony. I wonder if civil suits should be the next path for contesting the result.
Paul Craig Roberts writes about the stolen election. Did you get a chance to see this?
The Proof Is In: The Election Was Stolen
My wife and I watched NBC News the night of the 2020 election. We both noticed that half-way though the night David Muir went dark. He could not participate in the joy of the election, the BIG WIN of Joe Biden. My wife and I thought: "he sees that the election has been fixed". Did anyone else notice this?
Election challenges still loom at Supreme Court
Ok, back to ITW. We always like this stock.
JAN 2022 200 calls for about 20 points.
I would probably choose FMC over ITW, because it seems relatively cheaper. But wait. One SHORT TRADE. Only one new SHORT TRADE.
Has the dust cleared enough for us to SHORT GME, GAME STOP?
GME put options are not cheap. A Jan 2023 40 PUT OPTION costs about 21 points ($2100/option). But it does have a long way to fall, if the BEARS are right about GME.
TTPLUS MONTHLY Report.
It is rare when we can "see" the MONTHLY change over -- so we need a text reading in our report which compares the current trade with the trade a month earlier.
All these issues were FLAT last month and are LONG this month. What about those that were SHORT last month and are LONG this month?
MESO was FLAT, now it is SHORT. One measly new SHORT TRADE. Umm. Melt-up evidence?
OLDBOY WEEKLY
ONLY ONE NEW SHORTSELL here: GME, GAMESTOP.
ACH was not in our OLDBOY WEEKLY Portfolio; but it is giving a TRADING SELL SIGNAL now.
OLDBOY BUY SIGNALS from the last two weeks.
OLDBOY_100_WEEKLY_PORTFOLIO_2_19_21.xlsx
Ok; one last system. The laggard of the four, FISHNET.
FISHNET_WEEKLY_PORTFOLIO_2_19_21.xlsx
THE BIG BLUFF OF ACADEMIA. The "Smart people" aren't really all that smart. THEY LEARN HOW TO BLUFF. Academia is a big bluff; and if you are good at bluffing you go far. You also have to drive out those who don't believe the BLUFF. It is the inverse of the Church, remember, so heresy is a crime they also punish severely with exile and doubt is a sin. It is a closed fraternity. If you don't call them on their bluff, they won't call you on your bluff.
JUNKIES MAKE THE BEST COLLEGE PROFESSORS.
When the COVID Narrative and Science Collide
Texas Democrats Issue a Stark Warning for Biden Over His Immigration Policies
No, Ted Cruz did not cause the crisis in Texas. If Ted Cruz had not gone to Mexico, but if he had stayed in Texas, nothing would have changed. (THE LEFT is mad; and the Ted Cruz thing is not a real issue, but AN EMOTIONAL ISSUE being created by the FEMALE LEFT, as were all the DONALD TRUMP "issues".
Symbolically, the DAY-CYCLE is the marriage of the White Man (the Sun) and the Black Woman (Earth). The Night-Cycle is the marriage of the White Woman (the Moon) and the Black Man (the Emotional Male as Earth). The Day-Cycle is the marriage of the Father-Daughter, symbolically; and the Night-Cycle is the marriage of the Mother and the Son.
Another symbol of the Night-Cycle dissipating?
WE ALL KNOW THAT SOMETHING GROTESQUE IS SWALLOWING LIBERAL AMERICA.
Whistleblower at Smith College Resigns Over Racism
The Biggest Lies of the Impeachment Saga | James Bovard
DEMOCRATIC WISDOM: WE DON'T WANT SMALL BUSINESSES THAT CAN'T PAY $15 MINIMUM WAGE."
DEMOCRAT "CREATIVITY". Instead of discipline, give in to extortion.
INSTEAD OF DISCIPLINE, PANDER TO JUNKIES -- AFTERALL, JUNKIES MAKE THE BEST COLLEGE PROFESSORS.
Is the word "MOTHER" being excised from the English language.
We don't need to worry, Joe Biden is protecting us, right?
Nothing to worry about. Government by Committee will protect us.
Have a good weekend.
MJC, CGTS
Disclosure: I am/we are long blnk, CLSK, GBTC, WKHS.
I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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