(Chart courtesy of FX Solutions' FX AccuCharts. Price on 1st pane, Slow Stochastics on 2nd pane; horizontal support/resistance levels in yellow; uptrend lines in green; downtrend lines in red; 50-period simple moving average in light blue.)
10/20/2009 – EUR/USD – Price action on EUR/USD, a daily chart of which is shown, has just reached a new 14-month high, and has stalled around yet another resistance level (just under the 1.5000 price region), within the context of a strong continuing uptrend. This uptrend is framed by a clear parallel uptrend channel that has been firmly in place since the March lows. The overall trend and directional bias continue to be bullish, although the short-term uptrend since the beginning of this month has been excessively steep. Therefore, a bearish correction may soon be in the making, with strong dynamic support residing around the bottom border of the parallel uptrend channel. Any strong breakout above 1.5000 would be a significant trend move that could potentially carry the momentum to target further key resistance around 1.5300, which represents the double-top trough that occurred in mid-2008. The all-time high just above 1.6000 represents an important longer-term target if the current uptrend continues its course.
James Chen, CMT
Chief Technical Strategist
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