Please Note: Blog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors.

Dow Theory Update For April 16: Gold And Silver Still Licking Their Wounds

|Includes: DIA, GDX, GLD, IYT, SIL, SLV, SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY)

Stocks moderately up

Turd Ferguson has elaborated on the two alternative end games for gold

I blogged yesterday that I am seeing two distinct outcomes for gold. In a nutshell: Either we are just undergoing a severe correction and even the end of the bull market, or we are getting very close to the demise of all gold surrogates, namely "paper gold" which will be followed by a reset of the gold price.

Turd Ferguson in his "tfmetalsreport" blog further expounds such two alternative scenarios. I feel it is a must-read for all gold holders.


The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed up. The primary and secondary trend is bullish.

Today's volume was lower than yesterday's. Advancing prices were not met by expanding volume, which is bearish.

In spite of the pivot high we say on 04/10/2013 (which was a bullish pivot), the overall pattern of volume is bearish as there are more "minuses" than "pluses." The chart below says it all:



A modest rebound: Volume retreated

Gold and silver

GLD and SLV closed up, albeit with indecision, which IMHO, is bearish. In any instance, the primary and secondary trend for gold and silver is bearish.

GDX didn't even manage to close up and closed…down. SIL closed modestly up. The primary and secondary trend is bearish.


The Dow Theorist