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The Political Tight Rope Of Post-Ukraine Crisis Eastern Europe.

Though perhaps Ukraine isn't in the headlines as much as it once was, it seems that the sort of center of interest if one will, may have moved from Kiev to Moscow per se. More specifically perhaps to the ruling elites of Russia, and the pressure being put on the status quo by a seeming perfect storm of factors.

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Though the ruling elites of Russia may be "furious in luxury" at the moment(Kipling's "France"(link)), it does seem as though their leaders per se, are really being put to the political test as of late. With the very dynamic, and unwritten-rule based political system of Russia, all of these economic pressures, are perhaps forcing the top of the human totem pole if one will, to perform some tricky political acrobatics. While on the one hand we have the Russian economy being hit from several angles, by both micro-economic short-comings caused by sanctions, and by more macro-factors, such as the falling price of oil(with the future Russian budget(signed just recently) being based off of $100 per barrel oil forecasts(source)) we have the Russian elites seemingly try to be Pyrrhic-ally militant to the West on the one hand and being patronizingly-comforting to both wealthy and of average means Russians on the other.

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Though Russia is continuing to increase sanctions against western commercial entities(new meat import sanctions(link)), it seems as though all these various factors aligned against the Russian economy, are continuing to put it into a sort of inflationary economic malaise. While on the one hand the elites may want to sort of maintain their leader's carefully nurtured strong man persona, a persona birthed way back when starting with the apartment complex bombing, and ye olde semi-recent war in Kosovo, on the other hand its being observed that this very sort of "brand" is perhaps starting to really bring some pressure on the Russian economy per se(link).

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Hence, even though such elites as the head of Sberbank realize that this most recent session of economic push-and-pull per se, is leading to serious "liquidity" problems in Russia(link), the Russian ruling cadre is seemingly trying to keep its head above water, by perhaps trying to provide various economic electric-blankets if one will to comfort various demographics within its society per se. To comfort the everyman we have the Russian-semi-cash-strapped government refusing to go after some low hanging fruit, and increase the semi-regulated vodka price(link). To please the "elites" and or merchants per se of all scope and size, the Russian political leaders are also doing something which is somewhat of a policy about-face, by allowing folks to repatriate their capital without any taxes to prevent them from doing so(link).

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Hence it seems that in order to try to ride out this situation, the Russian elites, are as perhaps somewhat suggested earlier, closing ranks. However, as time goes by it seems that those included in the ranks seems to be an increasingly larger and larger portion of the Russian population per se, not only those close to the ruling circle, but increasingly more everyday Russians per se, as-well. Perhaps it would be interesting to see what sort of, "unpublicized" deals are going on behind closer-doors if one will, for surely with the sort of shades-of-grey Russian political system, their must be some sort of interesting compromises going on perhaps, behind closed doors to keep the sort of dynamic political dialogues of Russia functioning semi-smoothly, if that's the case. Perhaps just as Putin was educated in the ways of power and influence, amidst the scarcity of the declining Soviet Union, perhaps behind the scenes in this sort of scarcity ruled era in Russia, the new leaders, and back-room-elites, of that former trading camp on the outskirts of the Mongol empire, are being born.

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Either way perhaps this is an interesting time for those involved in Russian politics. Just as the social discussion in the US is perhaps becoming more varied(perhaps for very different reasons), perhaps ironically, the people of Russia are also having discussions concerning the nature of control, and power per se, and hence, are though in a different place per se, perhaps closer than we may at times think. Perhaps with a large enough portfolio, all yields return to the sort of market-rate per se, but either way, this certainly must be an "interesting" time to be an elite in that land diamond mines and north-sea-oil.

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Thanks again for reading, I hope everyone's portfolios are easier to balance per se, than as seems to be the socio-political situation in Russia at the moment, and hope everyone's having a great holiday season.

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As a side note; it seems that 100 tanks or so are being moved into regions immediately bordering Russia per se, hence potentially perhaps making the situation a little more "interesting" (link).

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(image source)