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5/15/10 WEEKLY RAIL SHIPPING DATA: SOME IMPROVEMENT STILL CHUGGING ALONG

Below is the updated thirty-two-week data compilation of 2009/10 rail shipping weekly figures compared to 2008/09. The Delta change illustrates the rate of change between the previous weeks data. The average at the bottom shows how the delta change average is changing over time. Why is this data useful: To track actual economic recovery outside of government stimulus money, which has distorted real GDP growth data.
 
5/22/10 STATEMENT: Small increases continue in rail data across all three time periods tracked. Nothing very significant. The current reported delta averages continue to revert toward the changes in their averages, reported at the bottom. All industrial groups tracked are positive. We are still down –9.7% to –11.5%, compared to two years ago. 
 
RAIL TRAFFIC
2010/09 COMPARED TO 2009/08
 
 
 
Yr to Date
 
Current Wk
 
4 Wk Roll Av
DATE
 
Delta
 
Delta
 
Delta
 
 
Change
 
Change
 
Change
5/15/2010
7.9
0.8
16
1
15
-0.2
5/1/2010
7.1
0.5
15
0.2
15.2
1.6
4/24/2010
6.6
0.5
14.8
-0.7
13.6
0
4/17/2010
6.1
0.7
15.5
0
13.6
2.4
4/10/2010
5.4
0.7
15.5
6.7
11.2
1.8
4/3/2010
4.7
0.3
8.8
-5.8
9.4
-0.1
3/26/2010
4.4
0.9
14.6
8.2
9.5
1.5
3/19/2010
3.5
0.3
6.4
-1.5
8
0.1
3/12/2010
3.2
0.5
7.9
-1.4
7.9
3.2
3/5/2010
2.7
0.8
9.3
1
4.7
1.6
2/27/2010
1.9
1
8.3
2.9
3.1
0.5
2/20/2010
0.9
0.8
5.4
10
2.6
0.4
2/13/2010
0.1
-1
-4.6
-7.6
2.2
-1.5
2/6/2010
1.1
0.4
3
-4.2
3.7
3
1/30/2010
0.7
2.1
7.2
3.7
0.7
1.9
1/23/2010
-1.4
2.9
3.5
3.4
-1.2
0.4
1/16/2010
-4.3
4.3
0.1
8.7
-1.6
-1.1
1/9/2010
-8.6
6.7
-8.6
-8.4
-0.5
-0.2
1/2/2010
-15.3
0.2
-0.2
-5
-0.3
1.3
12/26/2009
-15.5
0.3
4.8
1
-1.6
1.8
12/19/2009
-15.8
0.4
3.8
9.6
-3.4
2.1
12/12/2009
-16.2
0.1
-5.8
-0.9
-5.5
0.4
12/5/2009
-16.3
0.2
-4.9
0
-5.9
1.7
11/28/2009
-16.5
0.2
-4.9
0.4
-7.6
1.8
11/21/2009
-16.7
0.2
-5.3
3.1
-9.4
1.9
11/14/2009
-16.9
0.2
-8.4
2.7
-11.3
1.4
11/7/2009
-17.1
0.2
-11.1
1.5
-12.7
0.9
10/31/2009
-17.3
0.3
-12.6
-0.4
-13.6
0
10/24/2009
-17.6
0.3
-12.2
1.7
-13.6
0.4
11/11/2009
-17.9
0.1
-13.9
1.1
-14
2
10/3/2009
-18
0.1
-15
1.2
-16
1.2
9/26/2009
-18.1
0
-16.2
0
-17.2
0
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1/23/2010
AVERAGE=
0.98
AVERAGE=
1.16
AVERAGE=
0.94
1/30/2010
AVERAGE=
1.04
AVERAGE=
1.30
AVERAGE=
0.99
2/6/2010
AVERAGE=
1.01
AVERAGE=
1.01
AVERAGE=
1.10
2/13/2010
AVERAGE=
0.91
AVERAGE=
0.58
AVERAGE=
0.97
2/20/2010
AVERAGE=
0.90
AVERAGE=
1.03
AVERAGE=
0.94
2/27/2010
AVERAGE=
0.91
AVERAGE=
1.11
AVERAGE=
0.92
3/5/2010
AVERAGE=
0.90
AVERAGE=
1.11
AVERAGE=
0.95
3/12/2010
AVERAGE=
0.89
AVERAGE=
1.00
AVERAGE=
1.05
3/19/2010
AVERAGE=
0.86
AVERAGE=
0.90
AVERAGE=
1.01
3/26/2010
AVERAGE=
0.87
AVERAGE=
1.18
AVERAGE=
1.03
4/3/2010
AVERAGE=
0.84
AVERAGE=
0.93
AVERAGE=
0.99
4/10/2010
AVERAGE=
0.84
AVERAGE=
1.13
AVERAGE=
1.01
4/17/2010
AVERAGE=
0.83
AVERAGE=
1.09
AVERAGE=
1.06
4/24/2010
AVERAGE=
0.82
AVERAGE=
1.03
AVERAGE=
1.03
5/1/2010
AVERAGE=
0.81
AVERAGE=
1.01
AVERAGE=
1.05
5/15/2010
AVERAGE=
0.81
AVERAGE=
1.01
AVERAGE=
1.01
 
 
5/7/2010 STATEMENT: All 7 of the industrial groups followed are again positive. Each of the averages followed are continuing to rise, compared to last year. The delta change between weeks is ok. All is ok and the DJI only went down to 9869 yesterday. All is well when you have a 12.33% correction. A good time to buy rail stocks, that is if you could have made the trade, some of mine didn’t trade yesterday afternoon.
 


Disclosure: none