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Starbucks Results Short-Term Disappointing, But Long-Term Prospects Make It A BUY

Sep. 05, 2017 9:40 AM ETSBUX
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  • Starbucks results short-term disappointing, but long-term prospects make it a BUY.
  • It has two growth factors: 1)The Push Towards Digital Relationships and Mobile Payment and 2)China Presents Unparalleled Growth Potential
  • Financial Analysis of Starbucks also indicates that it has positively performing revenue growth and ROE.

Starbucks 3 months

Starbucks 5 year

Disappoing Short-term Results:

Starbuck's stock price has fallen as much as 18% from its high reached on June 2, 2017. The company's recent quarterly earnings report disappointed investors.

Last quarter, Starbucks added 575 net new stores globally. Starbucks now has a total of 26,736 stores across 75 countries. Its revenues in Q3 increased by 8% from Q3 2016.

Short-term looking, Starbucks' EPS and operating margin were disappointing. Management attributed to decline in operating margin to increased investments in US store partners and lowered beverage comps combined with strong food sales (food has lower gross margin than beverage). Another factor was the closedown of 379 Teavana malls, which Starbucks has committed to close down by the Spring of 2018.

Positive Long-term Prospects:

However, Starbucks has a few initiatives to grow its business as its growth factors.

1)    The Push Towards Digital Relationships and Mobile Payment

Beside the mentioned initiatives to improve its throughput and earnings, Starbucks is continuing its push towards building digital relationships with its customers and encouraging mobile payments. 

2)    China Presents Unparalleled Growth Potential

Starbucks also has a strong growth engine that will unlock value for its shareholders in the next decade. Its comps growth was 7% in the past quarter. Its operating margin in China was 26.6%. China is Starbucks' fastest and largest international market. Now there are only 2800 stores but the company hopes to see 5000 stores by 2021. According to US Department of Agriculture, Chinese coffee consumption has nearly tripled in the past four years.

Financial Analysis of Starbucks

1. Strong revenue growth

2. Strong return on equity (ROE) :
ROE significantly exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.

3. Net operating cash flow slightly increased to 1150.60 million or 6.39% when compared to the same quarter last year.

Analyst's Disclosure: I am/we are long SBUX.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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