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OVTI’s Big Loss: Downgrading the iPhone 4 Maker

Apr. 19, 2011 9:40 AM ETOVTI, AAPL
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James Hartje's Blog
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Read full article at: stocksonwallstreet.net/featured/ovtis-bi...

Awhile back we wrote about the companies other than Apple that make money off the production of the iPhone 4 in “How To Make Money Off the iPhone Other Than Investing in Apple” After a huge downgrade, one of the picks Omnivision Tech (NASDAQ: OVTI) has become not so attractive as an overall investment due to the fact they might have lost out on their edge for the contracts to the iPhone 5 to Sony.

This news alone makes me skeptical about the long-term profitability of OVTI, anyone invested should be wary that future earnings estimates might miss due to the significant amount of business lost if they don’t secure a deal with the iPhone 5.  Rumors speculate that Sony will win out for Apple, as OVTI’s new 8mp sensor may not be ready for the initial iPhone 5 launch in July, suggesting Sony could win all of initial iPhone 5 procurement orders. I also believe there is now a higher likelihood that Sony secures the iPhone 5 as a whole knocking at OVTI completely. As result, many firms have downgraded OVTI from Buy to Neutral and I too am staying away.  What could have been a $30 stock now looks more like mid-$20 and not worth the risk if earnings to miss in 3rd quarter.

The Apple loss wasn’t Omnivision only loss, they also have lost significant market share among PCs and have struggled in China as of late.  All this does not bode well for the company as a whole and it’s very likely now that Omnivision could face a difficult second-half outlook.

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Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in OVTI over the next 72 hours.

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